• swissaustrian's Avatar
    Yesterday, 06:04 PM
    The state of Hesse is where Frankfurt (am Main) is located. It is the financial hub of Germany with the headquarters of the European central bank (ECB) and Deutsche Bank which has been in massive trouble for a long time. A former governor of Hesse said in a video interview today that he would never have expected this guy to commit suicide under any circumstances
    4 replies | 198 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 05:59 PM
    This Swiss project is brandnew. Its run by a great team and I am asking you guys to please spread this info. I suggested something like this here before Here is the developpers page on a Swiss hackathon page: https://devpost.com/software/immunity-certificate-blockchain-secured-proof-of-immunity
    3 replies | 46 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 05:50 PM
    That guy should be sued together with FOX, the CDC and the surgeon general.
    2 replies | 79 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 10:01 AM
    He neg repped you because you are debating instead of discussing. This shouldnt be about winning an argument at all costs, this should be about truth. The whole point of this thread was to show an alternative to the current measures that ultimately costs LESS lives.
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 06:47 AM
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-austria/austria-to-make-basic-face-masks-compulsory-in-supermarkets-idUSKBN21H16A Austria will require shoppers to wear basic face masks in supermarkets in a bid to slow the still too-rapid spread of the coronavirus, Chancellor Sebastian Kurz said on Monday. Austria has closed schools, restaurants, bars, cultural venues and other gathering places, including non-essential shops. People have been told to stay at home and work from there if possible. The country has reported 108 deaths and more than 9,000 cases so far, fewer than its neighbors Italy and Switzerland and within its health system’s capacity for now, but Kurz said its intensive care capacity could be exceeded by mid-April. “As of the moment these masks are handed out in front of supermarkets it will be compulsory to wear them in supermarkets,” Kurz said, adding that the aim in the medium-term was for people to wear them in public more generally as well.
    2 replies | 79 view(s)
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    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 04:45 AM
    Added a TLDR to the OP for the speed readers: 1. The data does not show a difference in the rate of spread between countries that have enacted draconian social distancing versus the countries that mostly just use face masks, gloves and frequent hand and surface cleaning/disinfection. 2. It costs about 10 times less to equip an entire population with 3 masks, 3 pairs of gloves and a gallon of rubbing alcohol per day compared to a draconian lockdown. 3. The cost of the protective equipment and cleaners is less than 5 dollars per day and person. Compare that to the 1200 dollars that the goverment is dumping on everyone and the 2+ trillion in corporate wellfare.
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 04:42 AM
    Health care workers touch sick patients in closed rooms while the patients are not wearing masks. If you had read my entire post, you would have seen the point that masks are about the protection of the other person by stopping virally loaded spit and slime droplets that you are exhaling / emitting. That is why they only work if everybody wears them. Health care workers are much more exposed than the average person. And they are overworked.
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 04:38 AM
    How does the quality of a hospital or the per capity availability of beds change the rate of spread outside of the hospital? Argument is invalid.
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    Yesterday, 04:37 AM
    That correlation does not hold true for Seol, South Korea or Tokio, Japan (3 times bigger than NY). South East Asians understand hygiene way better than NYers.
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
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    03-29-2020, 05:41 PM
    EDIT: TLDR for the speed readers 1. The data does not show a difference in the rate of spread between countries that have enacted draconian social distancing versus the countries that mostly just use face masks, gloves and frequent hand and surface cleaning/disinfection. 2. It costs about 10 times less to equip an entire population with 3 masks, 3 pairs of gloves and a gallon of rubbing alcohol per day compared to a draconian lockdown. 3. The cost of the protective equipment and cleaners is less than 5 dollars per day and person. Compare that to the 1200 dollars that the goverment is dumping on everyone and the 2+ trillion in corporate wellfare. --------- The following proposal is more than a thought experiment. It is basically enacted in South Korea, according to the leading epidemiologist in South Korea: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gAk7aX5hksU
    58 replies | 374 view(s)
  • swissaustrian's Avatar
    03-29-2020, 05:14 PM
    South Korea has relatively loose regulations against corona and still managed to slow the spread due to mutual mask wearing and disinfection. He mentions: - voluntarism - capitalism - universal mask wearing - sensible hygiene - cloroquine and aids medications - 15 year time frame for a vaccine
    0 replies | 47 view(s)
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    03-28-2020, 11:46 AM
    I know this is a controversial topic. I have had family members in situations as described here. Please keep the discussion civilized. Thank you. The bottleneck in the current intensive care treatment of corona patients is respirators. Even more extreme measures like pulmonary bypasses, i.e. the oxygenation of the patients’ blood outside of the body and the shutdown of the lungs, are rarely discussed, but seem to be in use on occasion. This text will focus on respirator use as a legal barrier for the consensual termination of treatments. The chance of survival for a respirator patient with covid-19 is around 40%. Even if the patient survives, chronic lung damage is likely. Treatments usually last for more than a week and intensive care occupancy stretches out much longer than for other respiratory conditions. The risk group for such severe outcomes is clearly defined. Corona epidemic deaths have almost exclusively been limited to people with serious pre-existing conditions (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory) and very high age. The first 2500 deaths in Italy had 99.2 % pre-existing conditions and a median age of 80.5 years. None under 30 died at all. The extreme measures that governments are taking to slow the spread and therefore ultimately respirator demand are also meant to buy time to acquire more respirators. Unfortunately, though, some members of risk groups are not participating in the social distancing and hygiene measures with the necessary diligence. Some are disregarding them altogether. It seems that some are consciously taking a chance at getting seriously ill. They have lived their lives and they know that they will die of something and they are accepting that corona might be the cause. That is their good right. However, if they are gambling with death, they might also be willing to preemptively forego their option to be hooked up to a respirator. This is perfectly legal in most countries via an advance health care directive. After such an opt-out, their treatments would be limited to palliative care, thereby reducing the demand for respirators. Advance health care directives are also reducing the responsibility and frequency of physicians to make life or death decisions. Some countries have legalized assisted suicide and such options are also the patients good right, provided they are consciously taking the decision to die.
    0 replies | 38 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 04:53 PM
    This should benefit miners somewhat. But they are facing shutdowns from corona measures and the closed refineries are not processing their ores (I dont know when they get paid, before or after refining). But the super low oil prices should help them.
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 04:51 PM
    spot prices are in sync again, but there is still a 23 USD spread to the next futures contract (April). Usually that is only a few USD. And the futures curve is partially in backwardation (earlier maturities are priced higher than later).
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 09:15 AM
    great info and good luck with your project @ presence
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 06:48 AM
    CME resolving physical gold squeeze with delivery of 100-ounce, 400-ounce and 1-kg bars https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-03-24/CME-resolving-physical-gold-squeeze-with-delivery-of-100-ounce-400-ounce-and-1kg-bars.html Increasing pressure from market players and significant liquidity issues in the gold market are prompting CME Group to make some changes in how it delivers its physical gold. Tuesday evening, the futures exchange announced the launch of a new gold futures contract with expanded delivery options that include 100-troy ounce, 400-troy ounce and 1-kilo gold bars. The new contract is expected to launch with the first expiration of April 2020, pending regulatory approval, the exchange said. The news comes after an intense trading day in the gold space as the market has seen strong physical demand and dwindling supply.
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 05:58 AM
    Is the text of the bill public already? I would guess there are tons or poison pills and special favors in there.
    13 replies | 624 view(s)
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    03-25-2020, 05:55 AM
    It is really sadening that this is essentially a supply chain disruption issue. Refineries in Switzerland can not work, American gold buyers can not get shipments from Europe etc. Precious metals markets are not relevant to the average Joe. But many other markets are impacted by similar supply chain disruptions which include hygiene products and sooner or later also medications. People are going to die because of this. Mining shares have rallied quite a lot recently. I think this is only partially justified, since many mines are shut down. Newmont (NEM) has revoked their 2020 production guidance because of mine shutdowns: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/newmont-nem-withdraws-2020-view-143402632.html
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
  • swissaustrian's Avatar
    03-24-2020, 10:44 AM
    I can ensure you, usually their quotes are equal, appart from cents. The bid/ask spreads on kitco were also huge at some point, in excess of 20 USD.
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-24-2020, 06:54 AM
    price wise i agree. but Bloomberg is most respected by far
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
  • swissaustrian's Avatar
    03-24-2020, 05:54 AM
    I noticed something very strange. Gold spot price quotes on various plattforms are no longer in sync. As of March 24th, 7:55 am Eastern Kitco: 1663 https://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html Goldprice.org: 1594 https://goldprice.org/spot-gold.html Bloomberg: 1600 https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/XAU:CUR
    29 replies | 907 view(s)
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    03-24-2020, 05:31 AM
    royal canadian is a buyer of mining supply, so that is negative. but obviously refining (the 3 swiss companies are also refiners, not just mints) is processing of mining supply, so that is super positive (supply shrinkage) about 1/4 of mining supply world wide is shut down, including Peru.
    8 replies | 339 view(s)
  • swissaustrian's Avatar
    03-23-2020, 03:26 PM
    Very likely. We are probably just witnessing the natural peak of this in the next few weeks with or without all the goverment measures. Without testing, there are no cases and many countries have just started testing a few weeks ago. The elderly who are dying now are not likely to be in contact with this early on, since they live in relative solitude of nursing homes and/or are leaving their homes rather rarely, so they should be behind the general population in terms of getting infected.
    4 replies | 151 view(s)
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    03-21-2020, 06:58 PM
    this is the actual Italian death statistic from today: - total deaths: 3770 - no deaths under 30 - 30-39: 11 - 40-49: 31 - 50-59: 111 https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/bollettino/Infografica_21marzo%20ENG.pdf
    19 replies | 600 view(s)
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    03-21-2020, 06:40 PM
    German chancellor Angela Merkel, 65 years old, has gone shopping to a supermarket in Berlin. Her cart contained 4 bottles of wine and an extra small package of toilet paper. She has no kids, so she an her husband can get really drunk this weekend. It strengthens your immune system, I guess. Seems liske she isnt all that concerned about the virus. Otherwise she wouldnt engage in such a ridiculous propaganda stunt. Even her security is well hidden in this "spontaneous" picture.
    9 replies | 324 view(s)
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    03-21-2020, 03:37 PM
    epoch times is doing a phenomenal job interviewing real experts on China. you can basicly blindly pick any video and its going to be informative.
    2 replies | 149 view(s)
  • swissaustrian's Avatar
    03-21-2020, 03:20 PM
    I am intending to give the following text to some economists and physicians I know as food for thought. Would like to get your input. Most of the Western world is under almost complete shutdown due to the corona outbreak. The rationale is to slow the spread and protect the health care systems from collapse due to demand at magnitudes over intensive care capacities. There is an urgent need for creative solutions that open up a pathway back to normal life. A sober look at the epidemiological data is a sensible starting point. 1. Some health facts Corona does NOT compare to the Spanish flu of 1918. Back then, healthy children and young adults were massively overrepresented among the dead. 2019/20 corona epidemic deaths have almost exclusively been limited to people with serious pre-existing conditions (hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory, cancer) and very high age. The first 2500 deaths in Italy had 99.2 % pre-existing conditions and an average age of 80.5 years. No one under 30 died at all. The life expectancy of Italians is 83.5 years, so the lost years of those dying are fortunately limited. Half of the dead had 3 or more prior illnesses. 70% of the dead Italians and 60% of infected are men.
    2 replies | 186 view(s)
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