PDA

View Full Version : Low Nevada turnout could mean a win for us




Jeremy
01-16-2008, 04:49 PM
According to this ( http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?t=91466 ), about 30 thousand people will be voting in NV.

If you compare the amount of Paul supporters to the entire state population....

RP votes in.... / Population in entire state : Percent (people who voted for RP compared to total population)
Iowa: 11,817 / 2,926,324 : 0.404%
New Hampshire: 18,303 / 1,235,786 : 1.481%
Michigan: 54,434 / 9,938,444 : 0.548%

Nevada has a population of 2,495,529. If we have the same percent as Iowa (lowest percent), we will have about ten thousand votes.

10 thousand is one third of 30 thousand.

AlexMerced
01-16-2008, 04:53 PM
I imagine we can do better since we have much more solid organization in Nevada

Jeremy
01-16-2008, 04:55 PM
Well this is assuming 30000 people will vote... we really don't have a way of knowing this =o

rooteroa
01-16-2008, 04:56 PM
Is Nevada the one that has a caucus in the early morning? If so, good luck getting the young people out to vote.

Jeremy
01-16-2008, 05:04 PM
I dunno

rooteroa
01-16-2008, 05:06 PM
yeah, 9AM

jasonuher
01-16-2008, 05:09 PM
Didn't we say this about MI? and NH? and IA?

Seriously, stop saying this.

Jeremy
01-16-2008, 05:13 PM
Didn't we say this about MI? and NH? and IA?

Seriously, stop saying this.

I never heard of such a low prediction for those states. 30000 is not much...

Richandler
01-16-2008, 05:20 PM
Well do we have 15,000 people in Nevada ready to wake up early and vote for Ron Paul?