View Full Version : What I dont understand is
INforRP
01-15-2008, 10:22 PM
How do they call the race when 9% of the votes are in? Are all communities that homogeneous? CNN called Romney the winner with 9% of the votes in.
icon124
01-15-2008, 10:23 PM
yea i will never understand that either...all i can say is voter fraud
Trigonx
01-15-2008, 10:23 PM
we are talking about AMERICAN people, so yes.
Eponym_mi
01-15-2008, 10:24 PM
statistical models
Redcard
01-15-2008, 10:24 PM
Its statistics, polling, and getting good trending lines.
Most polls you see out there are done on even LESS data.
liberty_Forever
01-15-2008, 10:25 PM
the media is so full of shit...
"statistical models" is how Moody's and Fitch's turned subprime mortgage trash into AAA rated paper treasure.
exit poll statistics.
The early results confirm what they have and when you get to a certain point, you know within the required standard devitations who is going to win.
Check it out, how often are they wrong when they call the winner?
ronpaulyourmom
01-15-2008, 10:26 PM
The results are combined with the exit polls they conduct, they match trends, demographics, and all that jazz, and then can make calls that are honestly quite accurate.
RSLudlum
01-15-2008, 10:26 PM
so...they could really get tripped up if a majority of one candidates voters came in late in the polls?
Redcard
01-15-2008, 10:27 PM
so...they could really get tripped up if a majority of one candidates voters came in late in the polls?
They can, but they typically don't call a race until they have enough of a "feel" for the disprate types of communities in the polling area.
pathis
01-15-2008, 10:30 PM
I find it very odd that the percentages stay about the same starting at around 3% reporting as they do all the way up to 100%. All 3 primaries have been like this. I guess maybe I just havent watched enough elections and this is a norm?
but, from what Ive seen. once you see the breakdown at around 3% you already know the outcome.
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