njandrewg
01-08-2008, 11:47 PM
First of all lets talk about the competition: going into the next states its a draw.
We have:
-Huckabee who won Iowa, who we all know will never get the nomination, but he'll be a good contender so he'll get his fair share of votes. + lets not forget he only won Iowa because he spent his year there exclusively.
-McCain who won NH, who was able to get even less votes than he got in 2000. And he had a huge advantage, he spent all his year in NH and had the left overs from his 2000 Run. Where he got 115,000 votes. So a lot of people voted for him w/o updating on his record. Which is why as some people pointed out half the people voted for him because they thought he was anti-war.
-Romney: sure he got 2nd in his first 2 states. But he has plenty of $$$ to stay in the race and will be able to compete and get his fair share of votes. + he has the highest delegate #.
-Giuliani: sure he wasn't doing so hot now, but we'll be coming into states where he'll be competing, so once again he'll split the vote.
-Thompson: South Carolina is where he is at, so the next state will be split also.
Second lets talk about voter turn out.
We have:
just had the few states where everyone comes out to vote, no matter what, because its the state's past time. As we get into other states that number will go down big time. Hell I heard on TV that something like 70% of NH people came out to vote. High voter turn out is a bad thing for us, because voter apathy is our advantage. As we get further down through the states, less and less people will come out to vote, so our small core group will be doing just fine.
Third lets talk about the delegates.
We have a total of 2,380 delegates in all 50 states. The current leader is Romney with 30 delegates. Do you guys not understand what a drop in the bucket that is? The ONLY thing the early states are good for is filtering out the candidates. And declaring the "front runners". But this is not your typical election so this has done nothing.
Now lets talk about the future. Its quiet obvious that we need to do more to get the people out. Hell in NH we did worse than the official polls had us at. The problem is college students and them being a bunch of lazy asses. We need to create some sort of mail list to remind people on the day of election to get to the polls. We also need to work on getting Ron's name and positions out...hell there are plenty of Republicans against the war why not play up on that issue?
Also about those flyers, the problem with them is they are NOVELS, seriously its a block of text with all of Ron's positions. Noone reads them. Thats a problem, hell I can tell that 99% of people have their minds wondering as they are reading this because of it's length. So how about pointing out certain positions, and ushering people to a website with all the info?
Something along the lines of: "Ron Paul, the only Republican candidate for president who wants to bring our troops back from Iraq". You KNOW people will find that out eventually, so come out with that, get the people who are interesting in that, then on a website, at something like www.simplyron.com or something like that have that novel, with instructions how to vote. And a mailing list to get a reminder to go vote.
Seriously guys we've come from nothing in a short amount of time, sure the NH could have been the magic bullet, but we've all seen the media, the magic is short lived, and winning outside of NH will be an even bigger magic bullet. Instead of moping about not doing well, realize that the horses haven't even left the stables yet, and that we have plenty of power to make this happen. We just have to use our current resources and bring it up a notch.
And lets not forget that Ron still has a shit ton of money to work with, which is more than Huckabee and McCain going into states where those guys haven't put any effort in.
Seriously guys we've been doing better and better as the months went on, we still have a WHOLE MONTH before super tuesday. It ain't over until the fat lady sings. Hell even after super tuesday, we can focus on those states everyone forgets, get those delegates, and still make a decent amount of delegates, so that we get taken seriously at the national convention.
We have:
-Huckabee who won Iowa, who we all know will never get the nomination, but he'll be a good contender so he'll get his fair share of votes. + lets not forget he only won Iowa because he spent his year there exclusively.
-McCain who won NH, who was able to get even less votes than he got in 2000. And he had a huge advantage, he spent all his year in NH and had the left overs from his 2000 Run. Where he got 115,000 votes. So a lot of people voted for him w/o updating on his record. Which is why as some people pointed out half the people voted for him because they thought he was anti-war.
-Romney: sure he got 2nd in his first 2 states. But he has plenty of $$$ to stay in the race and will be able to compete and get his fair share of votes. + he has the highest delegate #.
-Giuliani: sure he wasn't doing so hot now, but we'll be coming into states where he'll be competing, so once again he'll split the vote.
-Thompson: South Carolina is where he is at, so the next state will be split also.
Second lets talk about voter turn out.
We have:
just had the few states where everyone comes out to vote, no matter what, because its the state's past time. As we get into other states that number will go down big time. Hell I heard on TV that something like 70% of NH people came out to vote. High voter turn out is a bad thing for us, because voter apathy is our advantage. As we get further down through the states, less and less people will come out to vote, so our small core group will be doing just fine.
Third lets talk about the delegates.
We have a total of 2,380 delegates in all 50 states. The current leader is Romney with 30 delegates. Do you guys not understand what a drop in the bucket that is? The ONLY thing the early states are good for is filtering out the candidates. And declaring the "front runners". But this is not your typical election so this has done nothing.
Now lets talk about the future. Its quiet obvious that we need to do more to get the people out. Hell in NH we did worse than the official polls had us at. The problem is college students and them being a bunch of lazy asses. We need to create some sort of mail list to remind people on the day of election to get to the polls. We also need to work on getting Ron's name and positions out...hell there are plenty of Republicans against the war why not play up on that issue?
Also about those flyers, the problem with them is they are NOVELS, seriously its a block of text with all of Ron's positions. Noone reads them. Thats a problem, hell I can tell that 99% of people have their minds wondering as they are reading this because of it's length. So how about pointing out certain positions, and ushering people to a website with all the info?
Something along the lines of: "Ron Paul, the only Republican candidate for president who wants to bring our troops back from Iraq". You KNOW people will find that out eventually, so come out with that, get the people who are interesting in that, then on a website, at something like www.simplyron.com or something like that have that novel, with instructions how to vote. And a mailing list to get a reminder to go vote.
Seriously guys we've come from nothing in a short amount of time, sure the NH could have been the magic bullet, but we've all seen the media, the magic is short lived, and winning outside of NH will be an even bigger magic bullet. Instead of moping about not doing well, realize that the horses haven't even left the stables yet, and that we have plenty of power to make this happen. We just have to use our current resources and bring it up a notch.
And lets not forget that Ron still has a shit ton of money to work with, which is more than Huckabee and McCain going into states where those guys haven't put any effort in.
Seriously guys we've been doing better and better as the months went on, we still have a WHOLE MONTH before super tuesday. It ain't over until the fat lady sings. Hell even after super tuesday, we can focus on those states everyone forgets, get those delegates, and still make a decent amount of delegates, so that we get taken seriously at the national convention.