Poll Of Pollsters: Rating The Nh Pollsters

[Bradley in DC]

POLL OF POLLSTERS: RATING THE NH POLLSTERS

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_of_pollsters_rating_the_n.php

In New Hampshire, the pollsters rated most reliable are ABC News/Washington Post (72% reliable), CNN/WMUR/University of New Hampshire (65%), CBS News/New York Times (61%), the Pew Research Center (59%) and the Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire (56%). Keep in mind that the same University of New Hampshire Survey Center partners with both CNN/WMUR and the Boston Globe.

As in Iowa, the two lowest scoring pollsters are Zogby International and the American Research Group. The "not at all reliable" score is again by far the highest (54%) for Zogby.

[angrydragon]

How reliable is that poll?

[Bradley in DC]

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/in_iowa_somebody_was_right.php

Needless to say, from the pollster's perspective, there were three big winners in Iowa last night: Barack Obama, Mike Huckabee and J. Ann Selzer, the pollster for the Des Moines Register...

A friend within the Obama campaign tells me they went to great lengths to prepare newcomers for the process of switching their registration: they described the process in radio spots, campaign literature, canvass scripts, email and four direct-mail pieces sent to identified supporters. Other campaigns presumably provided similar preparation for identified caucus newcomers...

So to be clear. Ann Selzer changed nothing about her methods, stood by her result and earned vindication, demonstrating the considerable integrity and courage that had already earned her the respect of her colleagues. Mark Penn trashed her poll and then changed his story.