PDA

View Full Version : CNN NH 1/6: Paul at 10% (but behind Rudy and Huck)




Micahyah
01-06-2008, 05:09 PM
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/01/06/poll-obama-jumps-ahead-of-clinton-in-new-hampshire/

The poll suggests that Sen. John McCain of Arizona remains the front runner in the battle for the GOP nomination in New Hampshire. Thirty-two percent of likely Granite State Republican primary voters are backing McCain, with 26 percent supporting former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Both candidates are down one point from Saturday’s CNN/WMUR poll.

The shakeup on the Republican side is for third place. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, at 14 percent, now has slightly more support than former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, at 11 percent. In Saturday’s poll, Giuliani had 14 percent and Huckabee had 11 percent.

Even though he was vastly outspent by Romney, Huckabee won Iowa’s Republican caucuses, with Romney coming in second.

“Huckabee has switched places with Rudy Giuliani. Huckabee’s got "the Little Mo’’ coming out of Iowa,” says Schneider.

Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is in fifth place at 10 percent in the poll, with Rep. Duncan Hunter of California and former Sen. Fred Thompson of Tennessee both at 1 percent.

For the CNN/WMUR survey, 341 New Hampshire residents likely to vote in the Democratic primary and 268 Granite State residents likely to vote in the Republican primary were interviewed. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 5 percentage points.

ronpaulitician
01-06-2008, 05:14 PM
I think we need to come in ahead of at least one of the other candidates, and we need to get at least more than 10%.

Iowa4Paul
01-06-2008, 05:15 PM
Ok, what happened here? we were at 3rd. This is bullshit.

Ronin
01-06-2008, 05:15 PM
Up from 9%. Yippee! :rolleyes:

Meiun
01-06-2008, 05:16 PM
Gawd!! Stop posting these damn polls! Go outside and pass out some Slim Jims. People need to know that there are RP supporters EVERYWHERE!

Ron Paul, RON PAUL, RON PAUL!

Find some way TODAY to get MORE VOTES in YOUR PRECINCT for RON PAUL!

NMCB3
01-06-2008, 05:19 PM
Doesn't basing a poll on 268 likely voters border on irrelevant?

OrbitalGun
01-06-2008, 05:19 PM
with a 5% MOE, 3rd is still up for grabs.

Sey.Naci
01-06-2008, 05:19 PM
What does this mean? It means that Paul is TIED for 2nd with Jules and Huck. Look at the Margin of Error: 5%. And as someone else has pointed out, the 11% is a 2-point INCREASE.

OptionsTrader
01-06-2008, 05:21 PM
Ok, what happened here? we were at 3rd. This is bullshit.

Thank's for the immature first post, I know what list to put ya on.

Ronin
01-06-2008, 05:37 PM
What does this mean? It means that Paul is TIED for 2nd with Jules and Huck. Look at the Margin of Error: 5%. And as someone else has pointed out, the 11% is a 2-point INCREASE.

You're referring to the Rasmussen poll where Paul dropped from 14 to 11%. RP was at 9% in the last CNN/WMUR poll.

Churchill2004
01-06-2008, 06:18 PM
From another poll thread:


Assuming indys make up 32% of all GOP primary voters (which is what the pollsters are predicting) and if Paul gets the same percentage of independents he got in Iowa (he'll likely get more), that would give him 9% of the total without getting a single vote from a registered Republican.

Iowa was almost completely registered Republicans, and of the Take-Back-America-For-Jesus! variety type to boot, and he got 10%.

A 3-5% gain over Iowa wouldn't be a surprise, and would put Paul in 3rd place.