jamesmadison
01-06-2008, 11:44 AM
ok, so we know the internet is full of paul bots and that we dial the phones at fox 1000 times even though only 1 vote is allowed. we know this already.
What will happen in new hampshire and what happened in iowa?
we dominate the internet, but is the internet still not a function of reality in which we can conclude that our support in regions of the internet will translate into a certain amount of vote? i believe it is the case. even if we are much overrepresented on the internet this still correlates within regions to actual support.
so lets see google trends...
IOWA:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+thompson&date=ytd&geo=usa.ia&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Huckabee #1(red), Ron Paul #2(blue), Romney #3(orange), Thompson #4(purple), McCain #5
Ok, if we swap RP and Romney this is basically what happened in Iowa because 3-5th was within 3% of the vote and there was a major fiasco within the campaign and the lost database of 17,000 voters.
New Hampshire:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+fred+tho mpson&date=ytd&geo=usa.nh&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Ron Paul #1 - NO ONE ELSE REGISTERS. PERIOD
New hampshire is OURS for the taking.
Now lets look at the democrats.
IOWA:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=obama,+hillary+clinton,+edwards&date=ytd&geo=usa.ia&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Obama #1(blue), Edwards #2(orange), Clinton #3(red) - 100% accurate prediction.
New Hampshire:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=obama,+hillary+clinton,+edwards,+ron+paul&date=ytd&geo=usa.nh&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Obama #1(blue), Edwards #2(orange). If we add ron pau(green)l he's very close and probably would be higher if we compared him to barak obama but barak doesn't like to be added.
Ok, so lets look at the overall united states.
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+fred+tho mpson&date=ytd&geo=all&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
RP #1(blue), Huckabee #2(red), Romney #3(yellow), McCain #4(green), Giuliani#5(purple),
This seems to becoming a fairly accurate prediction of what could happen as is apparent in the prediction on the democrats side in iowa and the near prediction of the republican caucus. I think we should do VERY well in new hampshire and i am optomistic about the rest of the nation. McCain shows almost no support in both iowa and new hampshire and very little support (only ahead of giuliani nationally) - this seems to indicate his support is either fake or coming from people who do not use the internet.
Still kicking obamas ass on the internet.
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+obama&date=ytd&geo=all&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
What will happen in new hampshire and what happened in iowa?
we dominate the internet, but is the internet still not a function of reality in which we can conclude that our support in regions of the internet will translate into a certain amount of vote? i believe it is the case. even if we are much overrepresented on the internet this still correlates within regions to actual support.
so lets see google trends...
IOWA:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+thompson&date=ytd&geo=usa.ia&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Huckabee #1(red), Ron Paul #2(blue), Romney #3(orange), Thompson #4(purple), McCain #5
Ok, if we swap RP and Romney this is basically what happened in Iowa because 3-5th was within 3% of the vote and there was a major fiasco within the campaign and the lost database of 17,000 voters.
New Hampshire:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+fred+tho mpson&date=ytd&geo=usa.nh&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Ron Paul #1 - NO ONE ELSE REGISTERS. PERIOD
New hampshire is OURS for the taking.
Now lets look at the democrats.
IOWA:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=obama,+hillary+clinton,+edwards&date=ytd&geo=usa.ia&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Obama #1(blue), Edwards #2(orange), Clinton #3(red) - 100% accurate prediction.
New Hampshire:
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=obama,+hillary+clinton,+edwards,+ron+paul&date=ytd&geo=usa.nh&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
Obama #1(blue), Edwards #2(orange). If we add ron pau(green)l he's very close and probably would be higher if we compared him to barak obama but barak doesn't like to be added.
Ok, so lets look at the overall united states.
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+huckabee,+romney,+mccain,+fred+tho mpson&date=ytd&geo=all&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N
RP #1(blue), Huckabee #2(red), Romney #3(yellow), McCain #4(green), Giuliani#5(purple),
This seems to becoming a fairly accurate prediction of what could happen as is apparent in the prediction on the democrats side in iowa and the near prediction of the republican caucus. I think we should do VERY well in new hampshire and i am optomistic about the rest of the nation. McCain shows almost no support in both iowa and new hampshire and very little support (only ahead of giuliani nationally) - this seems to indicate his support is either fake or coming from people who do not use the internet.
Still kicking obamas ass on the internet.
http://www.google.com/trends/viz?q=ron+paul,+obama&date=ytd&geo=all&graph=weekly_img&ctab=0&sa=N