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View Full Version : Momentum building: Ron Paul at 14% in the latest Rasmussen Poll




Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 08:02 PM
RP did very well in today's debate, McCain had most to lose and he stayed on the defensive and Romney got most attacked.

With that behind us, good news that points to momentum building in NH at the right time. RP can build on this in NH .




January 4, 2008

New Hampshire GOP Primary

John McCain ........ 31%

Mitt Romney ..........26%

Ron Paul ............... 14%

Mike Huckabee ......11%

Rudy Giuliani ..........8%

Fred Thompson ...... 5%


http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_republican_primary

Break away 7% of McCain support and 4% of Romney and RP can stage a major upset and be among top 2. It is possible but will take a lot of insurgent effort and smart strategy to target NH audience.

Target McCain's 100 year Iraq war and that Romney really has no message that a dozen other candidates don't. People want change if we can convince them that we have the right message and formula for change.

Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 09:32 PM
New Spot: "Troops Support Ron Paul"

http://blog.washingtonpost.com/channel-08/2008/01/new_spot_troops_support_ron_pa.html

pickfair
01-05-2008, 09:34 PM
YES! Finally. I'm counting on the New Hampshirers... New Hampshirians?? Whatever you call them... :p

bobo37
01-05-2008, 09:36 PM
YES! the numbers are going straight up thanks to the ground attack.

Airborn
01-05-2008, 09:38 PM
Great, with 14%.. I would say Ron will come closer to 18% - 20%

risk_reward
01-05-2008, 09:39 PM
That is not a poll.

0zzy
01-05-2008, 09:41 PM
That is not a poll.

what is it?

Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 09:42 PM
That is not a poll.


Are you kidding?



The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows John McCain leading Mitt Romney by five percentage points. It’s McCain 31% Romney 26%. The survey was conducted Friday night, the night following the Iowa caucuses.

Ron Paul earns 14% of the vote and Mike Huckabee gets 11% as the only other candidates in double digits. Rudy Giuliani attracts 8% of the vote, Fred Thompson 5%, some other candidate 2%, and 3% are not sure.

The Republican race remains fluid as nearly a third of GOP voters say they could still change their mind. Sixty-four percent (64%) of McCain’s voters say they are “certain” they will vote for him. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Romney supporters are that certain along with 83% of Ron Paul voters and 66% for Mike Huckabee.

pickfair
01-05-2008, 09:44 PM
83% of Ron Paul's supporters will NOT change their minds. Awesome.

Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 09:45 PM
83% of Ron Paul's supporters will NOT change their minds. Awesome.

Wonder where they get such conviction from :)

Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 09:59 PM
Ground attack is doing a great job.

44% in NH are independents, there is room to win more support for sure.

LiveFreeorDie
01-05-2008, 10:02 PM
John McCain will NOT get 31% and Huckabee WILL get more than 11%.

These polls are worthless.

risk_reward
01-05-2008, 10:05 PM
John McCain will NOT get 31% and Huckabee WILL get more than 11%.

These polls are worthless.

Everyone is so gullible. Did anyone bother to read it?

"These numbers reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. "


This "prediction market" is worthless.

Liberty Star
01-05-2008, 10:13 PM
John McCain will NOT get 31% and Huckabee WILL get more than 11%.

These polls are worthless.


Polls are very rough indicators and very flawed ones at times and can be easily manipulated. NH is very fluid at this stage, I think you are right.




Everyone is so gullible. Did anyone bother to read it?

"These numbers reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. "


This "prediction market" is worthless.


That only applies to the national numbers at the bottom, not the main NH survey numbers on top.


Nationally, in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Rasmussen Markets data, there is no clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination.

NerveShocker
01-05-2008, 10:24 PM
That seems accurate to me, especially with how many independents their are(Which Ron Paul had the most votes from in Iowa). By the way the part where it says this is from a prediction market was not related to the poll. The poll was taken as it says from a survey of 441 likely GOP voters.

Mark Rushmore
01-05-2008, 10:28 PM
Everyone is so gullible. Did anyone bother to read it?

"These numbers reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. "

QF fun. Re-read it yourself. ;)