georgia_tech_swagger
01-03-2008, 09:24 PM
1) The polls aren't right on Paul... but they're not that wrong. Add the margin of error to Paul's percentage, and that's about what he came in at.
2) We are doing absolutely *TERRIBLE* in urban areas. We need to target these areas, because they're clearly going to Obama, and much higher than average to McCain and Fred. Polk County alone cost us TWO SPOTS in the final returns in Iowa. I don't know about NH, but Greenville AND SPARTANBURG are the Polk County of South Carolina. If you lose those counties here in SC as badly as you did in Iowa ... the results will be equally dismal statewide. Doing poorly there will WHIPE OUT all gains you could make in the midlands and lowcountry.
3) If we don't show some improvement in NH... it's virtually over. We've devoted so much time there. So much money. SC, NV, MI have all been neglected somewhat for NH. It's got alot of independents. It's Free State Project home turf. It has a Libertarian and anti-war streak. This is pretty much all of our eggs in one basket, like Edwards in Iowa.
2) We are doing absolutely *TERRIBLE* in urban areas. We need to target these areas, because they're clearly going to Obama, and much higher than average to McCain and Fred. Polk County alone cost us TWO SPOTS in the final returns in Iowa. I don't know about NH, but Greenville AND SPARTANBURG are the Polk County of South Carolina. If you lose those counties here in SC as badly as you did in Iowa ... the results will be equally dismal statewide. Doing poorly there will WHIPE OUT all gains you could make in the midlands and lowcountry.
3) If we don't show some improvement in NH... it's virtually over. We've devoted so much time there. So much money. SC, NV, MI have all been neglected somewhat for NH. It's got alot of independents. It's Free State Project home turf. It has a Libertarian and anti-war streak. This is pretty much all of our eggs in one basket, like Edwards in Iowa.