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View Full Version : 50 to 75k NH votes needed to win




Johnnybags
07-14-2007, 07:31 AM
If near 500k primary votes are cast(likely) with 1/2 going to dems, if we can get 50k to 75k votes it will be a victory. Say Mitt gets 25%, Ghouliaini 20%, McCain 15% or so of 250k Repub votes that will leave 100k up for grabs? This is probably fairly close to reality(60% frontrunners). Is it possible to find 50k votes in NH? I think so, how about a pledge to vote for Ron on pledgebank if 49,999 agree to do so? We are going to need near this amount at a minimum to be close to winning. I know turnout will be high.

MozoVote
07-14-2007, 07:43 AM
I think McCain will get 5% or less, assuming he is even still in.

Johnnybags
07-14-2007, 07:47 AM
Its possible he will get 5 to 10 percent, he is not quitting beforehand, no matter, I still say the top three get 60 percent or so together, Mitt 30,Ghouliani25 and McCain 5 under your scenario or somewhere close. Fact is we need 50k votes firm. Can it be done? You opinion please.

rockfree33
07-14-2007, 07:54 AM
At the rate of success in Ron Paul's campaign, I think it's possible to gather up 50,000 votes. A big test for the campaign is the upcoming Iowa straw poll, if he doesn't get a decent chunk of the votes there, it would be a big setback. Nobody thought that over a thousand people would rally for Dr. Paul in Iowa, but it happened. IMHO, he is going to keep surprising a lot of people.

rockjoa
07-14-2007, 08:14 AM
At the rate of success in Ron Paul's campaign, I think it's possible to gather up 50,000 votes. A big test for the campaign is the upcoming Iowa straw poll, if he doesn't get a decent chunk of the votes there, it would be a big setback. Nobody thought that over a thousand people would rally for Dr. Paul in Iowa, but it happened. IMHO, he is going to keep surprising a lot of people.

Also consider the Celebration of Freedom and Liberty was only planned in a week and yet had about 1200 people!:D

Slugg
07-14-2007, 08:44 AM
I thought Rudy, Fred, and McCain were stepping out of the iowa straw poll....