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freedominnumbers
01-01-2008, 01:33 PM
h ttp://news.aol.com/political-machine/2007/12/21/straw-poll-dec-21-jan-4

I declared RP the winner in any state where he leads by 5+ points. If less than a 5 point lead the win goes to the runner up to be safe.

Update: RP gains Louisiana(Huck), loses Iowa(Huck), Virginia(Huck), Arizona(McCain)
RP still has a majority lead, though barely.

Candidate:
State - Delegates

Ron Paul:
Alaska - 27
California - 171
Colorado - 44
D.C. - 19
Hawaii - 18
Idaho - 30
Illinois - 68
Indiana - 55
Kansas - 37
Louisiana - 44
Maine - 19
Maryland - 35
Michigan - 59
Minnesota - 39
Missouri - 55
Montana - 22
Nebraska - 31
Nevada - 32
New Hampshire - 22
New Mexico - 30
North Dakota - 24
Ohio - 86
Oregon - 28
Pennsylvania - 72
Texas - 148
Vermont - 15
Washington - 38
Wisconsin - 38
Total - 1,306

Huckabee:
Alabama - 46
Arkansas - 34
Georgia - 70
Iowa - 38
Kentucky - 43
Mississippi - 36
North Carolina - 67
Oklahoma - 39
South Carolina - 45
South Dakota - 25
Virginia - 61
West Virginia - 28
Total - 632

Giuliani:
Connecticut - 28
Delaware - 16
Florida - 112
New Jersey - 31
New York - 99
Total - 286

Romney:
Massachusetts - 41
Utah - 34
Total - 75

Thompson:
Tennessee - 53
Total - 53

McCain:
Arizona - 51
Rhode Island - 18
Wyoming - 26
Total - 94

Updated: 14:33PM 01/01/08

ndega360
01-01-2008, 02:16 PM
It is an internet poll, but with nearly a quarter of a million votes, it sure seems to be more statistically accurate than what Frank Luntz could ever pull off. Additionally, with the exception of Ron Paul, each state seems to be in line with the MSM's polls taken. Huckabee and Romney strong in Iowa. McCain is strong in NH, Huckabee is weak in NH. Guiliani is strong in Florida. Romney has strong mormon support in UT and his home state of MA. McCain has AZ. Everything is in line, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF RP!!!!

Paul.Bearer.of.Injustice
01-01-2008, 02:23 PM
Man I hope this is accurate

AParadigmShift
01-01-2008, 02:33 PM
That's a My-T-Fine lookin' map right about now. Aside from Utah/Mass. (Mittens) and New York/Jersey (Ghouliani), what's been up with the Carolinas' fondness for Huckleberry in this poll?

Fun stuff.

Santana28
01-01-2008, 02:39 PM
i've been saying it all along... let the "big boys" fight over the first in the nation primaries... all Ron Paul has to do is sweep the other 47 states or so ;)

Ethek
01-01-2008, 02:41 PM
We still need that majority lead

rp4evar08
01-01-2008, 02:44 PM
If you change the requirements to giving the winner to second place if ron paul leads by less then 9% then the results are very similar....


Candidate:
State - Delegates

Ron Paul:
Alaska - 27
California - 171
Colorado - 44
D.C. - 19
Hawaii - 18
Illinois - 68
Indiana - 55
Kansas - 37
Maine - 19
Michigan - 59
Minnesota - 39
Montana - 22
Nebraska - 31
Nevada - 32
New Hampshire - 22
New Mexico - 30
Oregon - 28
Pennsylvania - 72
Texas - 148
Vermont - 15
Washington - 38
Wisconsin - 38
Total - 1,032

Huckabee:
Louisiana - 44
Missouri - 55
North Dakota - 24
Ohio - 86
Alabama - 46
Arkansas - 34
Georgia - 70
Iowa - 38
Kentucky - 43
Mississippi - 36
North Carolina - 67
Oklahoma - 39
South Carolina - 45
South Dakota - 25
Virginia - 61
West Virginia - 28
Total - 841

Giuliani:
Maryland - 35
Connecticut - 28
Delaware - 16
Florida - 112
New Jersey - 31
New York - 99
Total - 321

Romney:
Idaho - 30
Massachusetts - 41
Utah - 34
Total - 105

Thompson:
Tennessee - 53
Total - 53

McCain:
Arizona - 51
Rhode Island - 18
Wyoming - 26
Total - 94


I still find it hard to believe huckabee has so much support... how come he doesn't raise much money????

Mental Dribble
01-01-2008, 02:52 PM
he doesnt raise money because 1) his supports think hes in good shape 2) many of his supporters are not as intensely behind him as youd need to be to give the man money.

ndega360
01-01-2008, 02:52 PM
Official polls have come out saying RP is leading in Alaska. EDIT: Right now he has 53% here (in this AOL poll).

ronpaulfollower999
01-01-2008, 03:09 PM
Official polls have come out saying RP is leading in Alaska. Right now he has 53% here.

Link please.

ProBlue33
01-01-2008, 03:20 PM
Yup thats a good way to put it, Fred looks weak, McCain is still too pro-war, Rudy is mister 9/11, Huckabee seem to be the new favorite, but his supporters are CFR sponsored he must not win at all costs.
And Mitt can't gain traction beyond 2 states.

cheese
01-01-2008, 03:26 PM
woah, it's close in Iowa. Paul/Huck in virtual tie.

ndega360
01-01-2008, 03:26 PM
This link shows a poll conducted statewide in Alaska- http://www.ktuu.com/Global/story.asp?S=7479052

freedominnumbers
01-01-2008, 03:44 PM
The Huck/Paul tie in Iowa is new. Paul was winning a day or two ago handily.

I think this online poll will actually show pretty accurately as time goes by.

NCSURonPaulAddict
01-01-2008, 03:58 PM
Please help out NC! I can't stand for my home state to be labled "Huckabee."

Pastanoose
01-01-2008, 11:00 PM
we have lost 14 states in the past few hours...