2000/2004 Caucus/Primary Turnout & Delegate Votes

[derdy]

Thought some people would find this interesting.


http://elections.gmu.edu/Voter_Turnout_2004_Primaries.htm

You can also get voter turnout, details, etc for your precinct by contacting your local GOP chairman (if you're not one already) :D

Feel free to add other sources for info.

EDIT: Added the following courtesy of TheAmistad

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...00/whitehouse/

Username: fox_qajgev@dynmail.no-ip.org
Password : fox_qajgev

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/wy/

[JustBcuz]

thx for posting that

:)

[Perry]

Last I heard the Iowa republican national committee was expecting 80,000.

[Bradley in DC]

Last I heard the Iowa republican national committee was expecting 80,000.

I've been hearing different estimates in the 80-85k range. (but who knows?)

[amistybleu]

Hopefully there is a huge blizzard that would hamper the brainwashed voters leaving Paul with a landslide victory.

[Perry]

I've been hearing different estimates in the 80-85k range. (but who knows?)

Are these numbers private or is there some sort of a public record that is updated often?

[Bradley in DC]

Are these numbers private or is there some sort of a continuing public record that is updated often?

Oh, sorry, just a mental tally I've been keeping from a variety of sources. :o

[Perry]

edit: Nevermind.
I just realized what a stupid question that was. :p:p

[derdy]

Here's turnout from 2000

Iowa Republican
Caucus: Monday, January 24, 2000County Conventions: Saturday, March 4, 2000District Conventions: Saturday, April 29, 2000State Convention District Caucuses: Friday, June 9, 2000State Convention: Saturday, June 10, 2000Voter Eligibility: Closed Caucus
Delegate Selection: Caucus/Convention
25 total delegates - 6 base at-large / 15 re: 5 congressional districts / 4 bonus*Forbes, Stev 26,338 30%
Keyes, Alan 12,329 14%
Bauer, Gary 7,367 9%
McCain, John 4,053 5%
Hatch, Orrin 888 1%
Uncommitted 25. 100%
---------- ---- ------- ---- ------- ----

Popular Vote Floor Vote Hard Total
Bush, George 35,384 41% 25. 100%

TOTAL 86,359 100% 25. 100% 25. 100%


EDIT: That didn't post like I thought it would. What's the code to post a table?

here's the link with the data http://www.thegreenpapers.com/PCC/Tabul.html

[Paul10]

...

[constitutional]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/wy/

Scroll down and choose any state. Interesting #s.

[derdy]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/wy/

Scroll down and choose any state. Interesting #s.

Does it have anything for 2000? I ask because 2004 Bush was an incumbent for GOP, so 2000 might be better to go off of.

[mosquitobite]

Here's turnout from 2000

Iowa Republican
Caucus: Monday, January 24, 2000County Conventions: Saturday, March 4, 2000District Conventions: Saturday, April 29, 2000State Convention District Caucuses: Friday, June 9, 2000State Convention: Saturday, June 10, 2000Voter Eligibility: Closed Caucus
Delegate Selection: Caucus/Convention
25 total delegates - 6 base at-large / 15 re: 5 congressional districts / 4 bonus*Forbes, Stev 26,338 30%
Keyes, Alan 12,329 14%
Bauer, Gary 7,367 9%
McCain, John 4,053 5%
Hatch, Orrin 888 1%
Uncommitted 25. 100%
---------- ---- ------- ---- ------- ----

Popular Vote Floor Vote Hard Total
Bush, George 35,384 41% 25. 100%

TOTAL 86,359 100% 25. 100% 25. 100%


EDIT: That didn't post like I thought it would. What's the code to post a table?

here's the link with the data http://www.thegreenpapers.com/PCC/Tabul.html


I think 2000 is a better indicator since 2004 Bush was really pretty much unopposed.

Think we can gain 35K supporters in Iowa? :D

[constitutional]

Does it have anything for 2000? I ask because 2004 Bush was an incumbent for GOP, so 2000 might be better to go off of.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/politics/elections/2000/whitehouse/

Username: fox_qajgev@dynmail.no-ip.org
Password : fox_qajgev


Looks like the site is broke. Some result not appearing for me.

[derdy]

I think 2000 is a better indicator since 2004 Bush was really pretty much unopposed.

Think we can gain 35K supporters in Iowa? :D

The link I posted was from 2000. I definitely think it's going to be a lot closer than anyone things in IA.

[derdy]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/politics/elections/2000/

Ask and you shall receive.

Thanks for that!

[Perry]

I think 2000 is a better indicator since 2004 Bush was really pretty much unopposed.

Think we can gain 35K supporters in Iowa? :D

There is one variable that is not in play. That is 9/11. Had Bush not gone uncontested in 2004- 04 would have been a better indicator however.

[Perry]

Ok in case anyone caught the post that I edited out I've got my sanity back now and here is the question I MEANT to ask.

Is information on the number of registered republican voters available and updated publicly or are these numbers released solely at the discretion of the republican party?

[peacemonger]

THIS IS A VERY IMPORTANT POINT!!!

Both Alan Keys and John McCain both had 8% in the Des Moines Register Poll just before the caucus.

In the final vote tally, Alan Keyes had 14% and John McCain had 5%. Why is this important? Because Ron Paul is polling at about 8% (Which we all know is wrong because of cell phones).

The real difference is that some candidates get the kind of voters who show up on caucus day and some voters don't. To put simply, I would realistically expect Ron Paul to get over 20% of the vote. The only question is how much more than that. If Alan Keyes could almost double his polling numbers, then I would expect Ron Paul to perform much better than that.

[peacemonger]

New Iowa Poll is out NOW. Breaking News...

Huck 32
Mitt 26
McCain 13
Paul 9
Thompson 9
Giuliani 5

This means we are actually probably polling in the mid to upper teens if you count cell phones. If we can double our numbers like Keyes did in 2000, and if some of the other voters don't show up, we could really pull off a first or second place finish with no trouble! Anything less than 3rd is absolutely NOT a possibility!

[Jeremy]

Didn't realize how many went to NH

Makes IA look like a joke

[inibo]

New Iowa Poll is out NOW. Breaking News...

Huck 32
Mitt 26
McCain 13
Paul 9
Thompson 9
Giuliani 5

This means we are actually probably polling in the mid to upper teens if you count cell phones. If we can double our numbers like Keyes did in 2000, and if some of the other voters don't show up, we could really pull off a first or second place finish with no trouble! Anything less than 3rd is absolutely NOT a possibility!

Do you have a source for this?

[PrimarilyPaul]

And ensure your state is rife with Ron Paul supporters who turn out in the primary by going here: http://www.primarilypaul.com/register