ReallyNow
12-28-2007, 04:55 AM
http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=24174&s=rcmp
3.
Rep. Tom Tancredo's (Colo.) decision to drop out of the race at the last minute equally helps former Sen. Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and Romney, with some of his support likely going to Representatives Ron Paul (Tex.) and Duncan Hunter (Calif.). Romney garnered Tancredo's endorsement, which has some value, but immigration voters will be most attracted to Thompson. That said, Tancredo's supporters were a small bunch to begin with.
4.
Thompson is counting on a late surge in Iowa. He's shown some superficial signs of success, garnering the backing of Iowa's two grassroots conservative heroes: an endorsement from immigration hawk Rep. Steve King (R) and the support of Tancredo's former Iowa chairman, Bill Salier, who challenged liberal Rep. Greg Ganske (R) in the U.S. Senate primary in 2002. However, it's not yet clear whether Thompson is connecting with Iowa voters on the ground.
5.
The campaign of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is looking imperiled. His New Hampshire poll numbers, like his national poll numbers, have steadily fallen since mid-November. He can't count on a strong showing in Iowa or South Carolina, and so all his hopes will rest on big wins in Florida (January 29) and on February 5 Mega-Tuesday after a month of losses. His best hope is if Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Michigan go four different ways, which is very possible.
6.
If Huckabee does not win Iowa, his run may be over, especially if he has to compete with Thompson in Southern states. Even if Huckabee wins Iowa, his chances at winning the nomination are slim. His coffers are too empty, his conservative credentials too flimsy, and his campaign infrastructure too sparse.
7.
For Ron Paul, a third-place finish in Iowa is not out of the question.
3.
Rep. Tom Tancredo's (Colo.) decision to drop out of the race at the last minute equally helps former Sen. Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and Romney, with some of his support likely going to Representatives Ron Paul (Tex.) and Duncan Hunter (Calif.). Romney garnered Tancredo's endorsement, which has some value, but immigration voters will be most attracted to Thompson. That said, Tancredo's supporters were a small bunch to begin with.
4.
Thompson is counting on a late surge in Iowa. He's shown some superficial signs of success, garnering the backing of Iowa's two grassroots conservative heroes: an endorsement from immigration hawk Rep. Steve King (R) and the support of Tancredo's former Iowa chairman, Bill Salier, who challenged liberal Rep. Greg Ganske (R) in the U.S. Senate primary in 2002. However, it's not yet clear whether Thompson is connecting with Iowa voters on the ground.
5.
The campaign of former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is looking imperiled. His New Hampshire poll numbers, like his national poll numbers, have steadily fallen since mid-November. He can't count on a strong showing in Iowa or South Carolina, and so all his hopes will rest on big wins in Florida (January 29) and on February 5 Mega-Tuesday after a month of losses. His best hope is if Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Michigan go four different ways, which is very possible.
6.
If Huckabee does not win Iowa, his run may be over, especially if he has to compete with Thompson in Southern states. Even if Huckabee wins Iowa, his chances at winning the nomination are slim. His coffers are too empty, his conservative credentials too flimsy, and his campaign infrastructure too sparse.
7.
For Ron Paul, a third-place finish in Iowa is not out of the question.