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View Full Version : Bloomberg/LA Times Poll -- Ron Paul 1% in IA, 4% in NH (these guys are hilarious)




csen
12-27-2007, 07:47 PM
http://www.latimes.com/media/acrobat/2007-12/34457997.pdf

Page 9:

Iowa (likely voters):
Huckabee 36%
Romney 28%
Thompson 10%
McCain 8%
Giuliani 8%
Hunter 2%
Paul 1%

New Hampshire (likely voters):
Romney 34%
McCain 20%
Giuliani 17%
Huckabee 12%
Paul 4%
Thompson 4%

Oh man, are these guys gonna be in for a surprise...

Ron LOL
12-27-2007, 07:48 PM
Please don't reply to this thread if you don't have a sense of humor :D

aspiringconstitutionalist
12-27-2007, 07:49 PM
http://www.latimes.com/media/acrobat/2007-12/34457997.pdf

Page 9:

Iowa (likely voters):
Huckabee 36%
Romney 28%
Thompson 10%
McCain 8%
Giuliani 8%
Hunter 2%
Paul 1%

New Hampshire (likely voters):
Romney 34%
McCain 20%
Giuliani 17%
Huckabee 12%
Paul 4%
Thompson 4%

Oh man, are these guys gonna be in for a surprise...

I love how the 1% poll in Iowa was taken during the same exact time period as the 10% poll in Iowa. They can't both be right.....:p

noxagol
12-27-2007, 07:49 PM
Wow, that is really off. I think everyone, including ourselves, is in for a big surprise in seven days.

tmg19103
12-27-2007, 07:51 PM
When was this poll taken, 10 months ago? Too much.

Man from La Mancha
12-27-2007, 07:51 PM
Great they will never suspect whats coming and will be sleeping and drunk.

.

Richandler
12-27-2007, 07:55 PM
The more these polls come out the more we need to realize the Margin of error is like 20+%. After I think it was last week or the week before McCain was polling 6% and 22% in the same state and on the same week. I need to make a short video on this or something. Or someone who is really good at doing this needs to put together a short 2-3 minute showing how scientific polls are extremely flaw. I know Penn & Teller have already done a show, but seeing a little short video with simple animation showing that the margin of error is greater than the poll numbers themselves would be brilliant!

Zydeco
12-27-2007, 08:01 PM
A poll being taken seriously that bears the name of a likely presidential candidate?

Imagine if there were a Putin Polling Company in Russia or a Sarkozy Opinion Research Group. We'd point at them and say "Banana Republic!"

RP=RonPaul=RedPill
12-27-2007, 08:02 PM
lol

RevolutionSD
12-27-2007, 08:04 PM
Yes this poll is right!
Even though my meetup group has grown by 400% in 6 months, people are dropping off the Paul bandwagon all over the country!

DAMMIT this election will render msm polls meaningless from here on!

Ara825
12-27-2007, 08:06 PM
It must have been a mistake, someone just simply forgot to add the 0 bless there hearts. You know, human error and all that....LMAO

brumans
12-27-2007, 08:10 PM
Does anyone seriously believe that Hunter has DOUBLE the support in Iowa than Ron Paul?

literatim
12-27-2007, 08:12 PM
There is 7% missing in the total for Iowa and 9% for NH.

PimpBlimp
12-27-2007, 08:17 PM
How is that even possible? I am not laughing at all.

paulitics
12-27-2007, 08:19 PM
Didn't we get 9% in the straw poll? My estimate is we have doubled nationally since then.

fortilite
12-27-2007, 08:22 PM
If Ron Paul gets 1% or less in Iowa I pledge I will purchase a subscription to the LA Times.

skinzterpswizfan
12-27-2007, 08:26 PM
I am very confused by these results. They have him on par with Duncan Hunter; I just don't see how that can be right. Should be interesting to see just how right (more like how wrong) this polls ends up being.

literatim
12-27-2007, 08:27 PM
It is what you call a weighted poll. They multiply the actual votes my some obscure number to bring out the results they believe are correct.

constitutional
12-27-2007, 08:29 PM
If Ron Paul gets 1% or less in Iowa I pledge I will purchase a subscription to the LA Times.

ditto that. In fact, I will buy subscriptions for all my friends and family members.

bgky4paul
12-27-2007, 08:33 PM
Great they will never suspect whats coming and will be sleeping and drunk.

I think you just described the pollsters and Old Media to a tee!