American Research Group Poll

[wgadget]

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/american-research-group-does-iowa-again-122507001.html

The third item to note is the fact that Ron Paul is at 10% That is major news when considering Paul is putting most of his eggs on a good performance in New Hampshire. But I believe he has got to do well in Iowa for Independents in New Hampshire to come out in droves for him. If Hillary really wins Iowa in as convincing of fashion as it appears she may, those Independents may flock to the Republican race and cast a vote for candidates like McCain and Paul.

[daikonv]

i believe this has been posted multiple times, but thank you for your update :)

[AggieforPaul]

new and exciting

[ashlux]

This has been posted on numerous threads here. But for anyone who missed the results:

Iowa
Candidate 12/20-12/23 12/16-12/19
Rudy Giuliani 14% 13%
John McCain 17% 20%
Fred Thompson 3% 5%
Mitt Romney 21% 17%
Mike Huckabee 23% 28%
Ron Paul 10% 4%
Duncan Hunter 2% -
Alan Keyes 2% 1%
Other(vol.) 8% 11%

[Thatguyuknow]

What are the MoE on these things? It seems the difference from Ron Paul and #1 is around 12-13% so if there was a 4% margin of error... not out of the realm of possibilities that with some extra help Ron could take it.

[jgmaynard]

But I believe he has got to do well in Iowa for Independents in New Hampshire to come out in droves for him. If Hillary really wins Iowa in as convincing of fashion as it appears she may, those Independents may flock to the Republican race and cast a vote for candidates like McCain and Paul.

Iowa never has much of an effect on us - we NH Inds have been discussing all the candidates for months on in, and how Iowa ends up isn't going to have much of an impact. Just as an example, in 92, Clinton finished 5th in Iowa, 2nd here, and won the White House.

JM

[FreedomLover]

I'm not saying the results arn't accurate for the sample, but ARG is probably the worst polling firm. Rasmussen, Gallup, Zogby, hell even Fox are better indicators.