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View Full Version : New Hampshire leads in campaign donors




PimpBlimp
12-24-2007, 03:27 PM
http://i209.photobucket.com/albums/bb188/shamash_bucket/ronpauldonors.jpg

508.8 per million of the population in NH donated so far to the Ron Paul campaign

Good news and not something you can spam easily.

pic from http://www.ronpaulgraphs.com

Geronimo
12-24-2007, 03:42 PM
This is good news. Thanks for posting that.

Paulite5112007
12-24-2007, 04:22 PM
During money bombs i think they miss a lot of people - (Iv'e not seen what the raw data stream looks like).

rich34
12-24-2007, 04:51 PM
If the amount of people that donate per capita equals out to more votes I don't see how Ron can't win this thing.

spacebetween
12-24-2007, 04:58 PM
Leading in donors per capita does not equate to leading in donors.

California and Texas, for example, have a much, much larger population than New Hampshire. So, it's not unlikely that one of them is actually leading in donors, but lagging in donors per capita.

Just clearing it up. :D

Wikipedia has New Hampshire's population at 1,235,786. dang

rich34
12-24-2007, 04:59 PM
I was referring to New Hampshire. A high donor count equals more activist which should equal more votes.

spacebetween
12-24-2007, 05:02 PM
I was referring to New Hampshire. A high donor count equals more activist which should equal more votes.

Yeah, it's really good there!

RP supporters should saturate that state!

Risiko
12-24-2007, 05:42 PM
Yea, New Hampshire is perhaps the most important state for us because it is so early and at the same time has so much relative support.

Get the word out there!

Jaykzo
12-24-2007, 05:54 PM
New Hampshire's population-
1,235,786

For every million people, 508 donated to Paul.



508 = x
1,000,000 1,235,786


1,000,000x = 627,779,288

627,779,288 = 627
1,000,000



So 627 people in New Hampshire donated to Ron Paul. Lets assume (heres where things get speculative) that 1% of Paul's voters have donated to his campaign.

If 627 is 1% of his voter base, that means he has roughly 62,000 voters. In a state that will draw an estimated 200,000 Republican voters, that means he'll take about one-third of the vote.

Does anyone have any sources or statistics on the number of donators compared to the number voters, from previous campaigns? That would make this calculation much more accurate.

nist7
12-24-2007, 06:00 PM
New Hampshire's population-
1,235,786

For every million people, 508 donated to Paul.



508 = x
1,000,000 1,235,786


1,000,000x = 627,779,288

627,779,288 = 627
1,000,000



So 627 people in New Hampshire donated to Ron Paul. Lets assume (heres where things get speculative) that 1% of Paul's voters have donated to his campaign.

If 627 is 1% of his voter base, that means he has roughly 62,000 voters. In a state that will draw an estimated 200,000 Republican voters, that means he'll take about one-third of the vote.

Does anyone have any sources or statistics on the number of donators compared to the number voters, from previous campaigns? That would make this calculation much more accurate.

But Ron Paul supporters are also more likely to donate than other supporters.

Where did you get that only 1% of the supporters donated to the campaign? That seems like a very low pecentage....

Jaykzo
12-24-2007, 09:34 PM
But Ron Paul supporters are also more likely to donate than other supporters.

Where did you get that only 1% of the supporters donated to the campaign? That seems like a very low pecentage....

Thats the thing- I have NO sources for information on that number. It was just an estimate, the real percentage of donors per voters may be much lower or higher.

It would be very hard to estimate that number without any real data. But in states like Iowa and New Hampshire, where they are permeated with politics, I'd imagine that people are less likely to donate and more likely to vote. I chose 1% as an estimate figure.