csen
12-21-2007, 05:18 PM
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/nh_the_gallup_likely_voter_mod.php
It's an eight-question survey where you need at least 6 points to be considered a likely voter. Here are the questions that would knock out first-time/seldom voters (this is for a NH poll):
1B. How often would you say you vote -- always, nearly always, part of the time, or seldom?
1C. Do you happen to know where people who live in your neighborhood go to vote? (Yes or no)
1D. Have you ever voted in the polling place or ward where you now live? (Yes or no)
D9. Thinking back to the election in November of 2006 when John Lynch ran against Jim Coburn for governor of New Hampshire did things come up that kept you from voting, or did you happen to vote in that election? (Yes or no)
D10. Please tell me whether you, yourself, ever voted in each of the following kinds of elections. How about...
A. A Republican or Democratic primary for president
B. A Republican or Democratic primary for U.S. Senator or Congressman
C. A Republican or Democratic primary for Governor
(A yes on any earns a point).
So if you're a first-time voter or even a seldom voter, are absolutely sure you're going to vote for Ron Paul, there's no way you could show up as a likely voter on the Gallup survey. Pretty interesting.
It's an eight-question survey where you need at least 6 points to be considered a likely voter. Here are the questions that would knock out first-time/seldom voters (this is for a NH poll):
1B. How often would you say you vote -- always, nearly always, part of the time, or seldom?
1C. Do you happen to know where people who live in your neighborhood go to vote? (Yes or no)
1D. Have you ever voted in the polling place or ward where you now live? (Yes or no)
D9. Thinking back to the election in November of 2006 when John Lynch ran against Jim Coburn for governor of New Hampshire did things come up that kept you from voting, or did you happen to vote in that election? (Yes or no)
D10. Please tell me whether you, yourself, ever voted in each of the following kinds of elections. How about...
A. A Republican or Democratic primary for president
B. A Republican or Democratic primary for U.S. Senator or Congressman
C. A Republican or Democratic primary for Governor
(A yes on any earns a point).
So if you're a first-time voter or even a seldom voter, are absolutely sure you're going to vote for Ron Paul, there's no way you could show up as a likely voter on the Gallup survey. Pretty interesting.