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RSDavis
12-17-2007, 01:49 PM
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Ron Paul Roundup (12-17-07) MONEYBOMB EDITION!
by RS Davis (http://blog.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=blog.view&friendID=194780914&blogID=338927747&Mytoken=EB63424D-E59C-4EB0-B95290DC40772A9839174624)


Hello Freedomphiles! Dear lord, there were so many news stories in my stack of stuff, I am going to have to break today's Roundup into two posts, one dedicated solely to the money bomb. I have never had this many stories to share with you.

So, let's get started, yes? We will begin the night before, and examine what people were saying before the whole thing began. USADaily had their own estimate (http://www.usadaily.com/article.cfm?articleID=200621):

Republican presidential candidate and Texas Congressman Ron Paul's campaign will likely exceed its fourth quarter fundraising goal of $12 million this weekend.

On November 5, independent supporters organized a special donation day and raised a record $4.2 million dollars online. Supporters have another donation event planned for Sunday December 16 called the Boston Tea Party to commemorate the historic event.

The Tea Party website has about twice as many pledges as the November 5th website which could translate into a 6-10 million dollar day. Paul's campaign will have several spokesmen available tomorrow to discuss the expected record breaking day.

You know how I say that gambling sites are nothing but futures markets, and are probably the most accurate way to forecast likely results. Not everyone has all the information, but the aggregate effect of all these people betting pushes the likelihood - the odds - in an accurate direction.

Here's what Gambling911.com was predicting (http://www.gambling911.com/Ron-Paul-121507A.html):

While the news media continues to talk about Barack Obama passing by Hillary Clinton in the early primary state polls and Mike Huckabee seemingly coming out of nowhere to overtake both Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani in the very vulnerable Republican race for the 2008 White House, all eyes this weekend (at least when it comes to the bookmaking community) are focused on who many consider to be a long shot candidate - Ron Paul. That long shot, however, is the focus of a much ballyhooed "money bomb" on Sunday forecast by oddsmakers to reel in around $6 million.

"The $6 million mark is where the oddsmakers have set the shortest odds," says Payton O'Brien, Senior Editor of Gambling911.com.

Justin Gardner over at Donkelephant had a less optimistic take (http://donklephant.com/2007/12/15/how-much-will-the-ron-paul-tea-party-raise/):

That's the question all the campaigns are asking themselves tonight. From Republicans to Democrats, I guarantee you they're keeping a close eye on the Paulites. They know the bigger the number is tomorrow, the bigger threat Paul is long term. Yes, I'm talking about 3rd party. Because don't tell me that Ron Paul supporters will stop just because he doesn't win the GOP nomination. I think that's highly unlikely.

So, can he beat $6 million in one day? I don't think so. I think he's going to break $5 million though and end this quarter with a handsome $17 million take.

The Western Standard also weighed-in (http://westernstandard.blogs.com/shotgun/2007/12/pauls-tea-party.html):

Two hours to go until the Ron Paul Boston Tea Party fund raising event begins. Predictions for how much will be raised range from $4 million to $8 million. Just prior to the November 5th one-day "money bomb," those kinds of predictions would have resulted in uncontrollable laughter. But the chuckles have stopped, and Ron Paul is having trouble figuring out how to spend all of his new-found wealth.

USADaily, which predicted $6 - $10 million, was saying this (http://www.usadaily.com/article.cfm?articleID=201463):

At this point it looks like because of the 'Tea Party' Ron Paul will end up pulling in somewhere between 6-7 million dollars for the day, although, a late surge could send it higher. Doing so will put Paul's campaign in a position to hit the 20 million dollar mark this quarter, which is staggering given Paul only raised just over 5 million in the third quarter.

Ron Paul has out raised all of his GOP opponents this quarter and most likely is sitting on more cash as well. Over 100,000 people have donated to Paul's campaign this quarter demonstrating his popular support among Republicans.

Strategically Paul's campaign is in the strongest position now to win the GOP nomination. Unlike his opponents, Paul's donor base, because it is so huge, isn't close to being maxed out according to contribution laws. Multi-million dollar fund raising events similar to today are being planned by grassroots organizers not associated with Paul's campaign for each month leading up to the general election.

Justin Gardner over at Donkelephant, who predicted less than $5 million, had this (http://donklephant.com/2007/12/16/ron-paul-breaks-one-day-fundraising-record/) to say:

The original record was set in 2004 by John Kerry to the tune of $5.7 million. And that was after the Democratic convention. Think of all the press surrounding that event. Think of the drive to try and get Bush out of the White House.

And yet with very little fanfare, Ron Paul has gone over $6,000,000 today.

That puts his total raised this quarter at around $18,000,000. And there's still one more money bomb to go on December 31st.

Gambling911.com, which estimated $6 million, reported (http://www.gambling911.com/Ron-Paul-121707.html) after it was over:

Heading into the final hours of the biggest single fundraising day for a Presidential candidate, Congressman Ron Paul appeared to be well on his way to making just over $6 million. The bookmakers at Sportsbook.com had been offering an OVER/UNDER total bet on the amount of money taken in during the December 16 fundraiser. Gambling911.com initially helped Sportsbook.com set the line at $5 million, but heavy action prompted the popular online gambling website to move the line up to $6 million.

By 11:00 pm EST, a whopping $17.6 million had been raised during the 4th quarter of 2007, way more than the $12 million initial goal. Approximately $6 million was raised over the last 24 hours, making this the biggest ever one day fundraising event for a US Presidential candidate.

Told you they were wicked-accurate. Moving on, let's look at the big boys of the MSM. About halfway through the day, the Associated Press was reporting (http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hyQLduiFMFTNmeUdgpf5cMvLi6awD8TIQLB81):

Republican presidential hopeful Ron Paul's supporters were hoping Sunday for another fundraising bonanza to boost the 10-term Texas congressman's campaign for the White House.

Called a "Money Bomb," the goal is to raise as much money as possible on the Internet in one day. The campaign's previous fundraiser brought in $4.2 million.

As of 5:30 p.m. EST, donations were approaching $4 million, according to the campaign Web site. Those donations are processed credit card receipts, said Paul campaign spokesman Jesse Benton. Benton said the median donation is about $50 in the fundraiser, which was the idea of Paul supporters who are not officially connected to the campaign.

And The Washington Post was saying (http://blog.washingtonpost.com/the-trail/2007/12/16/on_tea_party_anniversary_ron_p.html?hpid=topnews):

Rep. Ron Paul, whose rock star status on the Internet has singlehandedly fueled his campaign, is poised to break another online fundraising record.

His own.

On Nov. 5, which was Guy Fawkes Day, a symbol of rebellion in British history, Paul hauled in $4.3 million in 24 hours -- the most money raised online by a candidate in a single day. Today, the 234th anniversary of the Boston Tea Party, the day that helped spark the American Revolution, Paul's Web-savvy, intensely loyal supporters planned another "money-bomb." And by 6 p.m. EST, the "Paulites" had raised $4.1 million from more than 30,000 donors, bringing the Texas Republican's fundraising total this quarter to $15.8 million. And counting.

How about USAToday? They said (http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2007/12/ron-paul-meets.html):

At $13.8 million and counting, the presidential campaign of Republican Rep. Ron Paul says it has already topped its fourth-quarter goal of raising $12 million.

The campaign just sent out the word in an e-mail blast to reporters.

"The outpouring of support is astounding. Americans are rallying to Dr. Paul's message and showing that they want a government that respects their rights and protects their freedoms," Paul campaign manager Lew Moore says in that press release.

The Washington Times said (http://washingtontimes.com/article/20071217/NATION/236923491/1002):

Rep. Ron Paul of Texas yesterday broke the single-day Republican presidential-campaign fundraising record he set last month, raising about $6 million and giving him almost $18 million for the fourth quarter.

His new record came on a day in which former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney found himself on the defensive on NBC's "Meet the Press" program, former Sen. Fred Thompson of Tennessee took shots at the rest of the field on CBS' "Face the Nation" and Sen. John McCain of Arizona prepared to accept today the endorsement of Sen. Joe Lieberman, a Democrat-turned-independent.

Mr. Paul's campaign shattered its goal of raising $12 million this fundraising quarter — the amount his campaign had said it needed to run the necessary ads in Iowa and New Hampshire to raise his name recognition.

The Los Angeles Times also had something to say (http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2007/12/rp.html):

Well, it looks like Ron Paul, the 10-term Republican congressman from Texas with the libertarian ideas, and his brave band of fervent followers have broken their own one-day online fundraising record.

Back in November, the Paul campaign reported raising $4.2 million online in one day with what they call a "money bomb," a fundraising gimmick devised by Trevor Lyman, a musician and self-appointed Paul fundraiser profiled by The Times' Dan Morain yesterday. Sunday's gimmick was to celebrate the anniversary of the Boston Tea Party on a website with a drawing of Paul that looks remarkably like that president on the penny.

As of shortly after midnight Sunday Pacific time, the Paul website was reporting more than $6 million raised on Sunday from more than 30,000 donors and an amazing fourth-quarter fundraising total surpassing $18.1 million. The little-known pro-life Texan, who favors abolishing much of the federal government and the Federal Reserve, could raise the most money of any Republican candidate this quarter. A spokesman said the average donation was $50.

And with more local moneybomb flavor is The Boston Globe, who said this (http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/12/17/ron_paul_backers_stage_boston_tea_party_raise_mill ions/):

Ron Paul supporters marched through the snow yesterday from the State House to Faneuil Hall, then smashed the one-day fund-raising record for a Republican presidential candidate...

..."This basically shows that Ron Paul is a viable candidate," said Rachael McIntosh, a spokeswoman for what was dubbed Boston TeaParty07. "People are so engaged in this campaign because it's coming from the grass roots."

The supporters of the Texas congressman pick anniversaries of such historical events to highlight what they call the "Ron Paul Revolution."

Moving on to the less-than-mainstream outlets, let's look at what The Nolan Chart was reporting. The first (http://www.nolanchart.com/article565.html) comes from libertarian writer William Westmiller:

Unofficially, the Ron Paul campaign raised $5.92 million dollars on-line yesterday. That's the largest amount every raised by any candidate on-line in any electoral campaign ever, anywhere. Over 57,668 Paul supporters can be justly proud of themselves and delighted about what those kind of funds can bring to their campaign...

...there is no way to tell, from FEC reports, what day the contributions were sent or received. The only thing known is when they were entered into the computerized reporting systems. The last day of a quarterly reporting period may be the most hectic. That's when Hillary Clinton's campaign entered $6.2 million dollars of contributions: June 30, 2007. At the time, her campaign publicized several million-dollar fundraising events in the prior week, but took no credit for any one-day record for receipts.

Ron Paul beat that record too! In addition to the on-line contributions, he received over $400,000+ in off-line contributions on Sunday, bringing his verified record one-day fundraising total of $6.32 million.

And the second (http://www.nolanchart.com/article561.html) comes from centrist writer Grizzle Griz:

Ron Paul celebrated the Anniversary of the Boston Tea Party by raising more than $6.0 million by 8:30 PM pacific time. He has already beaten his own record for the highest fundraising drive of any GOP candidate ever and, at $17 million and counting, he will probably be the best-funded Republican candidate in the 4th quarter. By the stroke of midnight, more veterans, homeowners, businesspeople, and families donated to Ron Paul's campaign than to any other campaign on any single day in history...

...An imposing new band of political allies have formed to take back the GOP. The Old Conservatives have returnedfor another battle over the Barry Goldwater / Jerry Falwell divide, including Goldwater the younger. We witnessed American mayors, wall-street traders, and quick-witted Texas judges open their pocketbooks to end neoconservative influence on the Old Conservative wing. In addition, the two youngest voter generations who will suffer the consequences of governmental largess are tipping this old balance of power.

Generation X is under fourty-five but they are coming into power. Their parents' obstinant polarization has become a burden. The government has already sold their their Social Security Trust to China and sent them to fight a preemptive war on a half-baked theory. Now it is taxing their own children before they are already born. They can only secure their future if they discipline the federal government's monetary diet and eliminate its incompetance.

The Southern Political Report is saying (http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1217_83.aspx):

In our lifetimes, the great renegades of presidential politics have almost always been Democrats...

...That's why Ron Paul's campaign has made this year's presidential race distinctively different, as much so in its way as the battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

This time around, the really uneasy moments of conflict over the most controversial issue of the race, the war in Iraq, have taken place in Republican debates. Dennis Kucinich in his liberal way is just as opposed to the war as Paul in his libertarian way, but he doesn't draw boos from Democratic audiences. Paul is a candidate truly at odds with the positions of his party, while claiming to represent its deepest principles.

Monsters and Critics also weighs in (http://news.monstersandcritics.com/usa/news/article_1381459.php/Again_Ron_Paul_supporters_pour_millions_into_campa ign_coffers):

Fact: No other candidate on either camp has achieved this grass roots donation level from Jane and John Q. Public.

The Associated Press reports that of 5:30 p.m. EST, donations were approaching $4 million, according to the Paul campaign Web site.

The donations are processed credit card receipts, said Paul campaign spokesman Jesse Benton.

Benton said the median donation is about $50 in the fundraiser.

The Moderate Voice was surprised (http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/ron-paul/16547/ron-paul-campaign-breaks-own-fundraising-record/):

Having drawn media attention for amassing $5.2 million in fundraising during the third quarter (nearly matching rival John McCain's $5.5 million during the same quarter), the Ron Paul campaign quickly raised the ante and challenged its supporters to raise $12 million during the fourth quarter. It was a particularly ambitious plan, given that even high profile candidates Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, and John Edwards had failed to net that much money during the third quarter (see Q3 fundraising totals).

Yet, Ron Paul's loyal supporters answered the call–putting together a grassroots effort to help their candidate meet this lofty goal. Help in this endeavor came from a most unlikely source—Trevor Lyman, a musician and internet entrepreneur who had never voted in a presidential election and had not even met Congressman Ron Paul. Lyman spearheaded the This November 5th internet fundraising campaign that netted the maverick congressman an impressive $4.3 million on November 5th. Lyman has also spurred today's internet fundraising campaign, which takes place on the 234th anniversary of the Boston Tea Party.

As of 7:00 PM EST, Ron Paul has managed to rake in an impressive $4.4 million, eclipsing his own $4.3 million one day internet fundraising record set on November 5th. Having begun the day with a fourth quarter fundraising total $11.5 million, the Ron Paul campaign now has $15.9 million.

And finally, LawFuel reported (http://lawfuel.com/show-release.asp?ID=16467):

The Ron Paul fund raiser campaign keeps getting stronger, with the latest campaign raising $3.7 million since midnight, according to fundraising director Jonathan Bydlak.

"Over 30,000 of your fellow Americans have made a contribution today, including more than 13,000 who have done so for the first time", he reported to supporters.

"As always, you're helping Ron Paul blow past everyone's expectations and moving Dr. Paul one step closer to President Paul. We're all honored to be a part of this historic campaign. We have nothing but admiration for the support that each of you gives everyday to Ron Paul and the cause of freedom.

This Roundup is dedicated to local booster Matt, who spent the day yesterday at at the Rams/Packers game yesterday, giving out over 700 free hot dogs, as well as hot cocoa, hot coffee, cookies, and seven cases of soda. There were 30 signs and about 30 people hadning out literature. He says it was "very successful."

And also to Nettie, who braved the elements on Saturday in Michigan, just to get a chance to tell off Rudy Giuliani.

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VeteranDave
12-17-2007, 04:52 PM
Sweet...now who do I have to kill to ensure a fair election? JK...I'm done w/ killing, but I do want to know what I can do to help this man get his message out to the masses. My parents don't have internet, and if it weren't for me, they would still be voting for Rudy. And all I did was print off a few pages of RPs bio from his website. People just need to KNOW about him. That's all, and we OBVIOUSLY can't rely on the main stream media to do so. How can I help?