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View Full Version : Official "guess how much we will raise" game




Zarxrax
12-15-2007, 02:04 PM
Ok, here's the rules: Post the amount that you think will be raised during the tea party. You are allowed only 1 guess, and your guess must be posted by midnight tonight, Eastern Standard Time. We will use the total value reported on ronpaulgraphs.com as the official value for the purposes of this game.
DONT make the same guess that anyone else has made. Whoever comes closest to the final value wins!


I'll start things off with my guess:
$11,253,178.01

Doriath
12-15-2007, 02:06 PM
$8,675,309.00

(I got that number from Jenny...) :D

hummtide
12-15-2007, 02:20 PM
$18,452,301

turbosaab
12-15-2007, 02:25 PM
my guess is $7.5 million

ClayTrainor
12-15-2007, 02:30 PM
$12,423,111

shrapnel88
12-15-2007, 02:36 PM
$10,200,100

louisiana4liberty
12-15-2007, 02:38 PM
$13,500,000.00

cien750hp
12-15-2007, 02:40 PM
$1

TheNewYorker
12-15-2007, 02:42 PM
Anywhere from 1 million to 20 million is my guess. I'm psychic. I will be correct... we will see.

doronster195
12-15-2007, 02:49 PM
10,000,001.00

ItsTime
12-15-2007, 02:50 PM
6.4 million

PatriotOne
12-15-2007, 02:54 PM
$6.75 M

LARRY08RP
12-15-2007, 02:56 PM
11,500,500.50

stewie3128
12-15-2007, 02:58 PM
$7.4 million

Sputnik
12-15-2007, 03:17 PM
I say $8 Million. I hope my guess is short.

the_oco
12-15-2007, 03:18 PM
$1

Lol, we're not playing the Price is Right here...


I think We'll push up against 9,000,000. Anything more and I promised I'd take out my employees who donate at least $5 for steak dinner. I mean hell, who wouldn't want to donate $5 to get a $30 steak?

Original_Intent
12-15-2007, 03:22 PM
8.5 million.

My guess is the Q4 total at end of day tomorrow is $20,100,000.00

Duckman
12-15-2007, 03:29 PM
9 million!

gregmo
12-15-2007, 03:31 PM
7,177,777.76

markj
12-15-2007, 03:33 PM
17.76 million total for the quarter.

Dave Pedersen
12-15-2007, 03:36 PM
$13,223,146

May God Bless America

Visual
12-15-2007, 03:52 PM
Realized the number was already taken...

Uhh.... I'm betting on 6,789,012

gold standard
12-15-2007, 04:00 PM
$8,214,117

Todd
12-15-2007, 04:00 PM
I hope and pray it's over 10, but the realist in me says 6.8.

I think if we get near 20 total people will push it on over....

cswake
12-15-2007, 04:23 PM
I originally thought about ~6 million. Just observations of what people are saying elsewhere about how they will:
- donate for the first time
- donate double or triple what they did November 5th
- donate Christmas present money
- donate in circles of friends/family

Factor in all the media coverage, Paul's mention of our event, the various endorsements through mailing lists, and this is going to be something very big. Combine that with the exponential curve that this campaign has been growing at and only a few donors who hit their max. I'm throwing my original estimate out and calling:

$13.6 million.

Young_Apprentice
12-15-2007, 04:27 PM
$12,081,985

eddie83
12-15-2007, 04:28 PM
$10.6 million

Midnight77
12-15-2007, 04:30 PM
$6.7 Million

garyallen59
12-15-2007, 04:30 PM
6,213,411.19

dj191
12-15-2007, 04:33 PM
$8,850,000

Pauliana
12-15-2007, 04:36 PM
7,900,000

amistybleu
12-15-2007, 04:36 PM
8.3 million :);):);):);):)

Solas
12-15-2007, 04:36 PM
$5,250,000

I hope my guess is blown away.

xerigen
12-15-2007, 04:37 PM
8.6 million.

eok321
12-15-2007, 04:38 PM
$9,760,000

CavortingChicken
12-15-2007, 04:39 PM
10,100,000.00

kjk437
12-15-2007, 04:56 PM
$7 million.

JDeVriese
12-15-2007, 05:05 PM
$11,500,501

futureinmind
12-15-2007, 05:11 PM
7,868,000

Ibtz
12-15-2007, 05:26 PM
$9,975,462

mdf1960
12-15-2007, 05:27 PM
$8,695,453.91

CJP
12-15-2007, 05:34 PM
8,510,001

islather
12-15-2007, 05:37 PM
$10,050,000

jgmaynard
12-15-2007, 05:39 PM
I predict we will raise six million dollars and then Ron will spend it all on one of those really cool bionic men for the campaign... :D

JM

tropicangela
12-15-2007, 05:39 PM
10 million

Brutus
12-15-2007, 05:41 PM
$7,000,254.00

jondisx
12-15-2007, 05:42 PM
14 m 300 thou

Zydeco
12-15-2007, 05:49 PM
$6.8 million

scbissler
12-15-2007, 06:08 PM
$7,134,825.33 - exactly.

Regarius
12-15-2007, 06:52 PM
7.75 million, give or take 50 thousand.

Exact guess? 7,747,000.

ronpaulitician
12-15-2007, 07:39 PM
$7.1 million

JoshLowry
12-15-2007, 07:53 PM
$10,643,035.00

golfboy
12-15-2007, 07:53 PM
11 million.

i predicted 4.2 million in the chat in the wee hours of november 5th. Not sure if anyone here remembers that but well...there u go.

i was kind of laughing when i saw the official numbers at 4.2 million.

Natalie
12-15-2007, 07:54 PM
8 mil

jumpyg1258
12-15-2007, 07:55 PM
$9,119,119.11

Oh wait this isn't for Rudy, umm how about this number instead...

$8,455,980.00

Man from La Mancha
12-15-2007, 08:11 PM
Wow all of you will be blown away if that is all your expecting:p

http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/1539/blackwsmalldv3.gif (teaparty07.com)ronpaulblimp.com...donate both

donttreadonme
12-15-2007, 08:15 PM
$7,844,443.50

Gimme Some Truth
12-15-2007, 08:17 PM
6 million

bmcosti
12-15-2007, 08:18 PM
7,600,020.08.

RonPaulwillWin
12-15-2007, 08:22 PM
8.5 mill - as some other people are saying...I hope my guess is way short.

Midnight77
12-15-2007, 08:24 PM
Wow all of you will be blown away if that is all your expecting:p

http://img151.imageshack.us/img151/1539/blackwsmalldv3.gif (teaparty07.com)ronpaulblimp.com...donate both

I've been saying $6.5.

I'd rather it be this way so if we achieve that great.

And if we blow that figure away .... :D

Underpromise and overdeliver.

Mckarnin
12-15-2007, 08:26 PM
$7,987,654.00

Waldo
12-15-2007, 08:31 PM
http://arbyte.us/blog_archive/2005/11/drevil_million_dollars.jpg One Hundred BILLLLION Dollars!

shortna
12-15-2007, 08:37 PM
8,798,000.99

reduen
12-15-2007, 08:40 PM
7.7 mill!

Danny
12-15-2007, 08:43 PM
$5.56 Million.

Keep in mind, my guess for 11/5 was 350k-500k. :)

azam
12-15-2007, 08:46 PM
6,000,001.00

mokkan88
12-15-2007, 08:52 PM
$7,688,254.56

rockwell
12-15-2007, 08:54 PM
5.75

Malum Prohibitum
12-15-2007, 08:57 PM
whatever it takes to get us to 20M for the quarter.

TheIndependent
12-15-2007, 09:00 PM
$7.76m

MRoCkEd
12-15-2007, 09:00 PM
$ 8,008,135

yeah, that's right.

shepburn
12-15-2007, 09:03 PM
$14,001,776.00

Several multiples from 11-5 in play:
2x subscribers
5x Media exposure for Teaparty (maybe more)
1.25x average donation size (i.e. more max donars using this day then before)
2x poll numbers (i.e. much more name recognition)

anything i'm forgetting?

Derek Johnson
12-15-2007, 09:09 PM
10,500,017.76

Subscribers are fine and dandy, but the media hype [gee thanks main stream media] will throw this one high this time around, above 10 million....

Even my father in law, who thinks Mitt will win the nod, gave me 30 bucks to add to my donation.

philipsantamaria
12-15-2007, 09:12 PM
$8,560,813.39

erran speaker
12-15-2007, 09:19 PM
i'm torn.... i want $8,463,515.00

but i think it's going to be $6,223,590.00

:)


$9,119,119.11

Oh wait this isn't for Rudy, umm how about this number instead...

lol...

bgoldwater
12-15-2007, 09:37 PM
6.8

Gr8Dalmuti
12-15-2007, 09:51 PM
$9.15 million

kutibah
12-15-2007, 09:57 PM
$7.65 Million

LBennett76
12-15-2007, 10:03 PM
Let's see I was only off by like 30,000 last time. So let's see what I can come up with now. hmmmmm....
$8,491,677.08

son of liberty
12-15-2007, 10:04 PM
$7,365,021.55

Shii
12-15-2007, 10:07 PM
$10,000,000.00 exactly

Brian Bailey
12-15-2007, 10:07 PM
15.7

defcreative
12-15-2007, 10:08 PM
http://arbyte.us/blog_archive/2005/11/drevil_million_dollars.jpg One Hundred BILLLLION Dollars!

LMAO, priceless. :D


$7,612,824.00

francisco
12-15-2007, 10:35 PM
$1

I see we have a "Price is Right" fan.

However, I think the rule here is "closest to actual", not the "Price is Right" rule "closest without going over." OP, please correct me if I'm wrong as it makes for different strategy.

My guess: $6,567,000.00

Now nobody better pimp me by bidding $6,567,000.01

ayort
12-15-2007, 10:38 PM
I guess around 24,485,672 total donated tomorrow. for a grand total of $36,031,267.49 on the boards by midnight tomorrow.

AlienLanes82
12-15-2007, 10:39 PM
I'm going to play the pleasantly surprised pessimist.

Tea party fizzles.

$2,381,438.46.

Leslie Webb
12-15-2007, 10:41 PM
$8,750,000

Kamakize
12-15-2007, 10:45 PM
My offical guess at 11:42pm on the eve"

$11,301,966.72

using a highly secret method of time/previous funds and hype and of course sure darn guessing.

vertesc
12-15-2007, 10:47 PM
$8.3 million

paulitics
12-15-2007, 10:52 PM
8.233 mill.

Freedom
12-15-2007, 10:55 PM
$7,803,933.35

Laserbeast
12-15-2007, 10:56 PM
11.46 mil

tnvoter
12-15-2007, 11:19 PM
I'll start things off with my guess:
$11,253,178.01


Before clicking on this thread I was thinking $11.2 Mill. Seriously.

secron7
12-15-2007, 11:43 PM
8.4 million

Spike
12-15-2007, 11:51 PM
7.8 Million!

Thanehand
12-16-2007, 12:00 AM
$34,562,103.23 for December 16th ;)

After all, that's only $1.4mil or so an hour :D

Can you imagine if Ron had $46mil for the fourth quarter from THE PEOPLE?!

/me introduces the media to the media's foot

Jennifer
12-16-2007, 12:03 AM
My guess is 16 million

bgky4paul
12-16-2007, 12:03 AM
At this posting, we are on pace to hit $9.1 million.

foofighter20x
12-16-2007, 12:10 AM
$1

Actual retail price is...!! :eek:

AgentPaul001
12-16-2007, 12:10 AM
$11,083,242

So $11 Million+!

sroll2237
12-16-2007, 12:15 AM
$8,447,439

Just enough to get us to $20M!

Cleaner44
12-16-2007, 12:16 AM
$6,000,000

secron7
12-16-2007, 12:17 AM
8,976,922.08

werdd
12-16-2007, 12:29 AM
17,760,177.60

bgky4paul
12-16-2007, 12:33 AM
At this posting, we are on pace to raise $8.6 million.

Zarxrax
12-16-2007, 12:27 PM
Posting a summary of all the guesses that made it in. And geez, this thread was back on page 15! Forum very active today? :D

These are the guesses that made it in before the time limit. Guesses in parentheses means its a duplicate of a guess someone had already made.
Two users made guesses based on the total donated for the quarter. For these two users I calculated their guess for the tea party based on a starting value of $11,551,156.57.

$00,000,001.00 - cien750hp
$02,381,438.46 - AlienLanes82
$05,250,000.00 - Solas
$05,560,000.00 - Danny
$05,750,000.00 - rockwell
$06,000,000.00 - jgmaynard
($06,000,000.00 - Gimme Some Truth)
$06,000,000.00 - azam
$06,208,843.43 - markj
$06,213,411.19 - garyallen59
$06,223,590.00 - erran speaker
$06,400,000.00 - ItsTime
$06,567,000.00 - francisco
$06,700,000.00 - Midnight77
$06,750,000.00 - PatriotOne
$06,789,012.00 - Visual
$06,800,000.00 - Todd Morris
($06,800,000.00 - Zydeco)
($06,800,000.00 - bgoldwater)
$07,000,000.00 - kjk437
$07,000,254.00 - Brutus
$07,100,000.00 - ronpaulitician
$07,134,825.33 - scbissler
$07,177,777.76 - gregmo
$07,365,021.55 - son of liberty
$07,400,000.00 - stewie3128
$07,500,000.00 - turbosaab
$07,600,020.08 - bmcosti
$07,612,824.00 - defcreative
$07,650,000.00 - kutibah
$07,688,254.56 - mokkan88
$07,700,000.00 - reduen
$07,760,000.00 - TheIndependent
$07,747,000.00 - Regarius
$07,800,000.00 - Spike
$07,803,933.35 - Freedom
$07,844,443.50 - donttreadonme
$07,868,000.00 - futureinmind
$07,900,000.00 - Pauliana
$07,987,654.00 - Mckarnin
$08,000,000.00 - Sputnik
($08,000,000.00 - Natalie)
$08,008,135.00 - MRoCkeD
$08,214,117.00 - gold standard
$08,233,000.00 - paulitics
$08,300,000.00 - amistybleu
($08,300,000.00 - vertesc)
$08,400,000.00 - secron7
$08,448,843.43 - Malum Prohibitum
$08,455,980.00 - jumpyg1258
$08,491,677.08 - LBennett76
$08,500,000.00 - Original_Intent
($08,500,000.00 - RonPaulwillWin)
$08,510,001.00 - CJP
$08,560,813.39 - phillipsantamaria
$08,600,000.00 - xerigen
$08,675,309.00 - Doriath
$08,695,453.91 - mdf1960
$08,750,000.00 - Leslie Webb
$08,798,000.99 - shortna
$08,850,000.00 - dj191
$09,000,000.00 - the_oco
($09,000,000.00 - Duckman)
$09,150,000.00 - Gr8Dalmuti
$09,760,000.00 - eok321
$09,975,462.00 - Ibtz
$10,000,000.00 - tropicangela
($10,000,000.00 - Shii)
$10,000,001.00 - doronster195
$10,050,000.00 - islather
$10,100,000.00 - CavortingChicken
$10,200,100.00 - Shrapnel88
$10,500,017.76 - Derek Johnson
$10,600,000.00 - eddie83
$10,643,035.00 - JoshLowry
$11,000,000.00 - golfboy
$11,200,000.00 - tnvoter
$11,253,178.01 - Zarxrax
$11,301,966.72 - Kamakize
$11,460,000.00 - Laserbeast
$11,500,500.50 - LARRY08RP
$11,500,501.00 - JDeVriese
$12,081,985.00 - Young_Apprentice
$12,423,111.00 - ClayTrainor
$13,223,146.00 - Dave Pederson
$13,500,000.00 - louisiana4liberty
$13,600,000.00 - cswake
$14,001,776.00 - shepburn
$14,300,000.00 - jondisx
$15,700,000.00 - Brian Bailey
$18,452,301.00 - hummtide
$24,485,672.00 - ayort
$100,000,000,000.00 - Dr. Evil via Waldo

quickmike
12-16-2007, 12:30 PM
13.735 million.

Zarxrax
12-16-2007, 12:32 PM
13.735 million.

Guessing is over, no more contestants :)

thechitowncubs
12-16-2007, 12:34 PM
8.1 Million

Zarxrax
12-16-2007, 11:24 PM
Geez, this post was back on page 32, after only about 11 hours of no posts :p

I'm not sure of the official numbers yet, but I think it's safe to narrow the contestants down to the following:
(values in parenthesis indicate a duplicate of a guess someone else made first)

$05,750,000.00 - rockwell
$06,000,000.00 - jgmaynard
($06,000,000.00 - Gimme Some Truth)
$06,000,000.00 - azam
$06,208,843.43 - markj
$06,213,411.19 - garyallen59
$06,223,590.00 - erran speaker
$06,400,000.00 - ItsTime
$06,567,000.00 - francisco