Klobuchar ends campaign, endorses Biden

[oyarde]

She will be in dallas tonight for creepy joe

[oyarde]

Lets be clear . There are no more warren , bootyjudge , klobuchar voters and endorsements from them mean nothing to the voters . Bernie will be getting votes .

[trey4sports]

Looks like we're setting up for a showdown between comrade bernard and creepy joe. What a time to be alive@!

[RonZeplin]

All of the establishment neocons are endorsing Uncle Joe, wadda surprise. :sleeping:

They be, feelin' the Bern soon.

[AngryCanadian]

Looks like we're setting up for a showdown between comrade bernard and creepy joe. What a time to be alive@!
Creepy joe who does ya know what lol.

[Brian4Liberty]

Klobuchar looking for the VP position under creepy Joe.

[Swordsmyth]

Klobuchar looking for the VP position under creepy Joe.
Or Hitlery.

[Anti Globalist]

She never had a chance of being the nominee. Now she has to try to get the VP slot.

[euphemia]

She was about the only sane one in the group.

[Swordsmyth]

On Monday afternoon, Sen. Amy Klobuchar suspended her campaign for president (https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/sen-amy-klobuchar-ends-presidential-bid/story?id=67498586), and she will now endorse former Vice President Joe Biden at a rally tonight. It’s hard to miss that this came on the heels of former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg dropping out (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-buttigieg-dropped-out/). (Buttigieg, too, is planning to endorse Biden (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/02/us/politics/pete-buttigieg-endorses-joe-biden.html).) It sure seems like the establishment wing of the Democratic Party is trying to consolidate its vote and stop Sen. Bernie Sanders from winning the nomination.
And according to the latest FiveThirtyEight forecast (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/), Klobuchar’s decision makes a small amount of progress toward that goal — with a big asterisk. Sanders now has a 1 in 6 (17 percent) chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates in our forecast; that’s a tad lower than the 1 in 5 (20 percent) chance he had immediately before Klobuchar dropped out. But Biden’s chances didn’t go up; he was at 1 in 7 (15 percent) before and is at 1 in 7 (14 percent) now.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Screen-Shot-2020-03-02-at-5.26.11-PM.png?w=575 (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/) Instead, the scenario in which no candidate receives a majority is only getting more and more likely: It’s up to a 7 in 10 (69 percent) chance after being at 2 in 3 (65 percent) at midday. And Sanders is still — barely — the candidate most likely to have a plurality of delegates when voting is over, which could be important in the event no one wins a majority. (There are lots of scenarios where the plurality winner is nominated without a contested convention.) Sanders has just over a 1 in 2 chance (54 percent) of a delegate plurality, while Biden has just under a 1 in 2 chance (45 percent).


The near-term impact of Klobuchar’s withdrawal could be small as well. She wasn’t polling high enough in most Super Tuesday states for her former voters to meaningfully affect Sanders’s or Biden’s chances of winning them. However, her exit does make it slightly more likely that candidates like Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren or former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg exceed 15 percent (the threshold needed to win delegates) in some states and districts. Their average forecasted national delegate hauls edged up accordingly; Biden’s went up by 29, Bloomberg’s by 26 and Warren’s by 21. (Sanders’s went down by 29.)
But Klobuchar’s withdrawal does change the shape of the race in one Super Tuesday locale: her home state of Minnesota (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/minnesota/), where she was previously a slight favorite to beat Sanders. Now, however, our forecast gives Sanders a 2 in 3 (66 percent) chance of carrying the Gopher State. Funnily enough, Klobuchar retains a 1 in 4 (23 percent) chance of winning the state; she is still on the ballot, after all, and early voting has been taking place there for weeks. But Klobuchar’s departure doesn’t hand as many delegates to Sanders in Minnesota as you might think. Before she dropped out, our model expected Sanders to win an average of 27 delegates in Minnesota; now, we are forecasting him to win an average of 30. In terms of Minnesota delegates, Biden and Warren appear to be the bigger beneficiaries of Klobuchar’s exit; Biden gained an average of 6.5 delegates and Warren gained an average of 4.8. What happens in Minnesota tomorrow now will certainly be worth watching.
Indeed, Klobuchar’s endorsement of Biden doesn’t mean all of her voters will flock to the former vice president en masse. According to two polls conducted last week (by Morning Consult (https://twitter.com/cameron_easley/status/1234549160344420353) and SurveyUSA (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3e396fbb-2173-478d-9abf-33406b33fc0b)), Biden was the second choice of only about 16 or 17 percent of Klobuchar supporters — about the same number who had Warren or Bloomberg as their backup. (Buttigieg was actually their top second choice in both polls.) Our model reassigns a dropout’s supporters to other candidates based on which remaining candidates have the closest proximity scores to the dropout (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeight-2020-primary-model-works/) along axes measuring factors such as ideology, outsider-insider status and highbrow-middlebrow positioning. The model thinks Biden and Bloomberg are the closest fits for Klobuchar supporters, followed by Warren and finally Sanders.
On the other hand, earlier polls and our model might be underestimating the amount of Klobuchar’s support that will go to Biden. Klobuchar’s endorsement probably will mean something to some of her former supporters. For that matter, Buttigieg’s endorsement could also move his former supporters to Biden in ways we aren’t yet factoring in. And both of their dropouts come at a time when anti-Sanders factions are sending pretty clear signals that like-minded voters should coalesce around Biden.

More at: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-klobuchars-exit-boosts-the-odds-no-one-will-win-a-delegate-majority/

[eleganz]

She was about the only sane one in the group.

The only moderate. There were a couple of other earlier candidates that were also against the marxists but they got wiped out easily.

Democrat party is amazingly entertaining.

[r3volution 3.0]

Even the Dems aren't quite ready for hardcore bolshevism.

Give it a decade though.

Or less, if there's a big spike in the unemployment rate; But then it won't matter whether it's Trump or Bernie.

Get ready for "shovel ready" boondoggles.

*Though the boondoggles of [insert your party] are of course better than those of [insert other party], so there's that.

[oyarde]

Even the Dems aren't quite ready for hardcore bolshevism.

Give it a decade though.

Or less, if there's a big spike in the unemployment rate; But then it won't matter whether it's Trump or Bernie.

Get ready for "shovel ready" boondoggles.

*Though the boondoggles of [insert your party] are of course better than those of [insert other party], so there's that.

Oh I think those dem constituents are ready for bolshevism .

[r3volution 3.0]

Oh I think those dem constituents are ready for bolshevism .

Biden won South Carolina by c. 30%, so, no, they're not.

Rome wasn't unbuilt in a day Injun; you'll have a wait a little longer for us palefaces to destroy ourselves.

Not much longer, perhaps, but a bit.

[oyarde]

Biden won South Carolina by c. 30%, so, no, they're not.

Rome wasn't unbuilt in a day Injun; you'll have a wait a little longer for us palefaces to destroy ourselves.

Not much longer, perhaps, but a bit.

South Carolina is an outlier . 60 percent of the dem primary are black voters. Coming up for comrade Bernie are tastier states like California .

[r3volution 3.0]

South Carolina is an outlier . 60 percent of the dem primary are black voters. Coming up for comrade Bernie are tastier states like California .

...where the average voter will be more reasonable?

[Gumba of Liberty]

Instead of a conspiracy by headquarters for both to drop out to make way for senile, creepy joe, could it be that Pete dropped out and endorsed to get the VP spot and Amy K jumped out to convince Joe otherwise?

[Gumba of Liberty]

Even the Dems aren't quite ready for hardcore bolshevism.

Give it a decade though.

Or less, if there's a big spike in the unemployment rate; But then it won't matter whether it's Trump or Bernie.

Get ready for "shovel ready" boondoggles.

*Though the boondoggles of [insert your party] are of course better than those of [insert other party], so there's that.

They can’t do it without taking the guns first. Too risky right now - the White Army (As opposed to the Red Army) would win.

[r3volution 3.0]

They can’t do it without taking the guns first. Too risky right now - the White Army (As opposed to the Red Army) would win.

I'm in favor of private ownership of firearms, but that's really some delusional stuff.

"They" don't need to take anyone's guns to do anything; "they" get voted in every two years.

The idea that anyone in this country is going to use their guns for revolutionary purposes could not be more laughable.

[r3volution 3.0]

Let me put it this way @Gumba of Liberty (http://www.ronpaulforums.com/member.php?u=29629):

If people won't spend three minutes every couple years to voted correctly, what are the odds that they want to fight in a bloody revolution?

[Gumba of Liberty]

I'm in favor of private ownership of firearms, but that's really some delusional stuff.

"They" don't need to take anyone's guns to do anything; "they" get voted in every two years.

The idea that anyone in this country is going to use their guns for revolutionary purposes could not be more laughable.

Who said anything about starting a revolution? The American people have our traditions and our Bill of Rights. The “revolutionaries” (tyrants) are the ones that want the guns. And yes, fake Bolshevik tyrants need to take the guns from the masses to carry out “the revolution” (neo-feudalism), they sure do. A disarmed population makes is much easier and safer for tyrants to convince their henchmen to crush dissent.

This is elementary stuff. American & Russian Revolutions 101. And btw, the only delusion is believing that anyone in this country is going to use their guns for revolutionary purposes as long as other people can shoot back. No Gun Confiscation = No Communist Revolution