Nice fact from recent poll!

[sirachman]

Heres the poll: http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FOX_NH-2_DEC_RELEASE_WEB.pdf

Here is the polled fact:

Romney>Certain to support:60% |May change mind:40%
McCain>Certain to support:54% |May change mind:44%
Giuliani>Certain to support:55% |May change mind:45%
Paul>Certain to support:88% |May change mind:10%
Huckabee>Certain to support:47% |May change mind:51%


Check that out Ron Paul's supporters are the MOST certain to support him, and Huckabee's supporters are the LEAST certain to support him!

[BillDayton]

And from Fox News, no less. Thank you for this.

[sirachman]

Your quite welcome this made me think WOW!!!!!

[ronpaulfollower999]

nice :)

[Ron LOL]

An important statistic. If you want to do some bad math for the sake of feeling good, you could multiply current poll results by the certain-to-support percentage for each candidate. Doing so would probably tend to put RP in 2nd-3rd place in most state polls, which is kind of what we've all expected (with some notable exceptions like NH, SC, NV...)

[sirachman]

=) Now all we need is that percentage to be representative of more voters in their stupid polls and then we will get more attention. But alas I guess we have to do that on our own... :P

[tsetsefly]

important indeed!!

[Vendico]

Also note they didn't include that in their article.

[sirachman]

Please make sure to check this out everyone! Bump!!

[xexkxex]

:D

[Ibgamer]

We got this!

[Birdlady]

Heres the poll: http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FOX_NH-2_DEC_RELEASE_WEB.pdf

Here is the polled fact:

Romney>Certain to support:60% |May change mind:40%
McCain>Certain to support:54% |May change mind:44%
Giuliani>Certain to support:55% |May change mind:45%
Paul>Certain to support:88% |May change mind:10%
Huckabee>Certain to support:47% |May change mind:51%


Check that out Ron Paul's supporters are the MOST certain to support him, and Huckabee's supporters are the LEAST certain to support him!

That's huge imo.

[Gump9005]

Amazing...amazing.

[Austin]

I did some number crunching. Here are the polling numbers after the likelihood of support has been applied.

Romney: 33 --> 20%
McCain: 20 --> 11%
Giuliani: 16 --> 9%
Huckabee: 11 --> 5%
Paul: 8 --> 7%

I think it is safe to say that we will place in the top 2 in New Hampshire.

[ionlyknowy]

I bet we see 80% voter turnout for RP on election day... and the others see about 10%

[Ronin]

An important statistic. If you want to do some bad math for the sake of feeling good, you could multiply current poll results by the certain-to-support percentage for each candidate. Doing so would probably tend to put RP in 2nd-3rd place in most state polls, which is kind of what we've all expected (with some notable exceptions like NH, SC, NV...)

Did this earlier. If my math is correct, 48% of the electorate still is "swayable" i.e. not committed. It also bumps Huckabee below us overall.

Candidate Committed Percent

Romney 198 (33% * 1000* 60%) 19.8% (198/1000*100)
McCain 108 10.8%
Giuliani 88 8.8%
Paul 70 7.04%
Huckabee 52 5.17%

Total voters=1000
Swing voters: 48% (100 - sum of percents)

Logic correct?

[tsetsefly]

bump