PDA

View Full Version : Trump warns he could abandon China trade deal as advisers tout progress




Zippyjuan
03-01-2019, 01:28 PM
Failure with North Korea and now possible failure to achieve a deal with China? More "winning"? Or new tactic?

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china/trump-warns-he-could-abandon-china-trade-deal-as-advisers-tout-progress-idUSKCN1QH22F


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday warned he could walk away from a trade deal with China if it were not good enough, even as his economic advisers touted “fantastic” progress toward an agreement to end a dispute with the Asian country.

The United States and China have imposed tit-for-tat tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of each others’ goods, roiling financial markets, disrupting manufacturing supply chains and shrinking U.S. farm exports.

“I am always prepared to walk,” Trump said in Hanoi, after cutting short a summit meeting with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un that failed to reach a nuclear deal. “I’m never afraid to walk from a deal. And I would do that with China, too, if it didn’t work out.”

The United States had been poised to hike tariffs on some $200 billion in Chinese imports to 25 percent from 10 percent after Friday if no deal was reached by then. But on Sunday, Trump announced that he would delay the hike in duties due to progress in negotiations with Chinese officials last week.

Since then, Trump administration officials have offered few details on the discussions.

“The progress last week was fantastic,” White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said on CNBC on Thursday, noting that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer read Chinese officials “the riot act” in talks last week.

“We are heading toward a remarkable, historic deal,” he added.

Kevin Hassett, chairman of the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers, was similarly upbeat, saying on Fox Business Network that Lighthizer and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He drafted “sketches of an agreement on intellectual property theft and trade ... that really makes sense for both parties.”

“If you look at the paperwork we’ve got and the line-by-lines that people have sketched out, it’s just about as favorable as you could hope for,” Hassett said, adding that final details would need to be approved by Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at a meeting at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida.

ONTRASTING VIEWS
Lighthizer, Trump’s chief trade negotiator, on Wednesday was more cautious about the negotiations in testimony to the House Ways and Means Committee, saying much more work needed to be done to nail down an agreement and it was too soon to predict the outcome of talks.

He also said the United States would need to maintain the threat of tariffs on Chinese imports for years, even if the two countries strike a deal, a gloomy prospect for companies seeking to end trade war uncertainty.

Lighthizer had said the United States is seeking an agreement that prohibits China from competitively devaluing its currency as part of trade talks, following past manipulations of the yuan.

Adding more details, Kudlow said China would need to report any intervention in the foreign exchange market.

“The documents are very clear: I mean, even things like the currency deal ... got no manipulation; they’ve got to report any interventions in the market. That’s part of it,” Kudlow said.

His comments came as the United States won a World Trade Organization ruling that China’s domestic price supports for wheat and rice were excessive and violated WTO obligations.

Trump administration officials have frequently criticized the Geneva-based WTO for its inability to rein in China’s trade practices and non-market economic policies.

Zippyjuan
03-01-2019, 01:30 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/27/trade-deficit-in-goods-jumps-12point8-percent-amid-tariff-battle.html


Trade deficit in goods jumps 12.8 percent amid tariff battle

The U.S. trade deficit in goods jumped to end 2018 amid a surge in imports, a move that could cause fourth-quarter economic growth estimates to be lowered, according an advanced look from the Census Bureau on Wednesday.

December saw a $79.5 billion goods deficit, up 12.8 percent from the $70.5 billion in November. The move came amid a $4 billion decline in exports, to $135.7 billion, and a $5 billion increase in imports, to $215.2 billion.

The Census report does not include services.

Trade deficits continued to grow throughout the year for the U.S. despite President Donald Trump's moves to curb the shortfall through tariffs. The White House and China are in the middle of negotiations aimed at beating a March 1 deadline after which more aggressive tariffs could take effect. Trump, however, said it's unlikely the U.S. would amp up the tariffs if the deadline isn't met.

Wednesday's numbers could lead economists to trim their estimates for fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP). Expectations currently are for growth to come in around 1.8 percent, according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve, while CNBC's Rapid Update estimate is at 2 percent. Trade deficits subtract from GDP.

The quarterly calculation, though, could get a boost from inventories, which rose 1.1 percent at the wholesale level and 0.9 percent in retail, according to the advanced estimate.

The government will release its preliminary fourth-quarter GDP estimate Thursday morning.

AngryCanadian
03-01-2019, 02:35 PM
If he Trump wants to win over his supporters he should fire all those NeoCons that he has in his admin right now.
Including Bolton, if he doesn't he will only further get screwed over.

Zippyjuan
03-01-2019, 02:39 PM
If he Trump wants to win over his supporters he should fire all those NeoCons that he has in his admin right now.
Including Bolton, if he doesn't he will only further get screwed over.

Trump only hires the best people. He says so.

Zippyjuan
03-01-2019, 07:55 PM
Trump asks China to reduce tariffs. Offers nothing in exchange other than how awesome it would be for Trump. How can they possibly pass that up? Amazing deal! (He did not reduce any tariffs with Mexico and Canada after NAFTA Jr was agreed to) They are already amazed with his incredible large brain (he says so).

"I love tariffs!" Trump has proclaimed.

1101620176947236866

spudea
03-01-2019, 08:06 PM
If they tariff our goods 25% and before trump we tariffed their goods 3%, they have been the benefactors of decades of trade imbalance. I see no reason to go easy on them.

Zippyjuan
03-01-2019, 08:10 PM
If they tariff our goods 25% and before trump we tariffed their goods 3%, they have been the benefactors of decades of trade imbalance. I see no reason to go easy on them.

What are the respective average tariff rates for the two countries? (it is complicated to calculate- do you take the average of all the rates of tariffs for different items? Do you weight them based on how much of a item the country buys? Do you include items not subject to tariffs in the figure?) Some estimate the average China tariff on goods subject to tariffs at about six percent. For the US to China, about 3.5%- both pretty low.

Swordsmyth
03-02-2019, 04:06 AM
Good!