Bradley in DC
07-02-2007, 07:06 PM
CA GOP PRIMARY: (http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ec38422b-02ed-40df-9c11-51682465127d)
Has Fred Thompson Hit The Ceiling? Seven months to the newly accelerated and suddenly critical California Republican Primary, the contest re-stabilizes, with Rudolph Giuliani 13 points ahead of John McCain and Fred Thompson, who tie for 2nd place, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely GOP Primary voters, conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KGTV-TV San Diego.
Giuliani's 13-point advantage today is identical to his lead 60 days ago, in SurveyUSA's May 2007 tracking poll, and a slight increase from the 7-point advantage Giuliani had in June. Fred Thompson, who went from 11 points in May to 21 points is June, has stopped climbing, and settles in at 19 points in July. Is this Thompson's ceiling? Or has Thompson, whose official entry into the race may come at any moment, not yet begun to fight?
Mitt Romney runs 4th today, at 9%, down ever-so-slightly from 12% in May and 11% in June. Undeclared candidate Newt Gingrich is at the moment not a factor, at 6%. Today, 9% of CA likely GOP voters prefer one of the other Republicans running, who include Mike Huckabee, Tommy Thompson, Ron Paul, Duncan Hunter, Jim Gilmore, Tom Tancredo and Sam Brownback.
[I take it from the wording that Dr. Paul is doing better than most 2nd tier candidates at this point behind only Huckabee and Tommy who is likely to drop out after Ames and beating Hunter in his home state and Tancredo where immigration should be a good issue.]
Has Fred Thompson Hit The Ceiling? Seven months to the newly accelerated and suddenly critical California Republican Primary, the contest re-stabilizes, with Rudolph Giuliani 13 points ahead of John McCain and Fred Thompson, who tie for 2nd place, according to a SurveyUSA poll of likely GOP Primary voters, conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, and KGTV-TV San Diego.
Giuliani's 13-point advantage today is identical to his lead 60 days ago, in SurveyUSA's May 2007 tracking poll, and a slight increase from the 7-point advantage Giuliani had in June. Fred Thompson, who went from 11 points in May to 21 points is June, has stopped climbing, and settles in at 19 points in July. Is this Thompson's ceiling? Or has Thompson, whose official entry into the race may come at any moment, not yet begun to fight?
Mitt Romney runs 4th today, at 9%, down ever-so-slightly from 12% in May and 11% in June. Undeclared candidate Newt Gingrich is at the moment not a factor, at 6%. Today, 9% of CA likely GOP voters prefer one of the other Republicans running, who include Mike Huckabee, Tommy Thompson, Ron Paul, Duncan Hunter, Jim Gilmore, Tom Tancredo and Sam Brownback.
[I take it from the wording that Dr. Paul is doing better than most 2nd tier candidates at this point behind only Huckabee and Tommy who is likely to drop out after Ames and beating Hunter in his home state and Tancredo where immigration should be a good issue.]