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DamianTV
02-05-2018, 05:20 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-05/white-house-issues-statement-todays-historic-market-crash


Today, the Dow Jones suffered (including the plunge after hours) its biggest point crash in history, turning negative for the year, which for a president who takes particular delight in every uptick in the market, was terrible news.

So, as many expected, the White House issued a statement after the close, commenting on today's market crash.

Predictably, there was little commentary of the "day to day" moves, and instead Trump deflected by pointing out that he is now focusing on the economy's "long-term fundamentals" instead.

Full statement below:

"The President’s focus is on our long-term economic fundamentals, which remain exceptionally strong, with strengthening U.S. economic growth, historically low unemployment, and increasing wages for American workers. The President’s tax cuts and regulatory reforms will further enhance the U.S. economy and continue to increase prosperity for the American people.

Translation: Trump will never again tweet about the market.

Related Thread in Economy Forum:

Dow Plunges Almost 1200 Points Today ….In Biggest-Ever One Day Drop
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?519112-Dow-Plunges-Almost-1200-Points-Today-%85-In-Biggest-Ever-One-Day-Drop

This belongs in General Politics due to Political reaction, even if cause is economic.

But but but, Everything Is Awesome!!!1!11!1!!!!1!!!! ... and where's Zippy?

Zippyjuan
02-05-2018, 05:30 PM
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-05/white-house-issues-statement-todays-historic-market-crash



Related Thread in Economy Forum:

Dow Plunges Almost 1200 Points Today ….In Biggest-Ever One Day Drop
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?519112-Dow-Plunges-Almost-1200-Points-Today-%85-In-Biggest-Ever-One-Day-Drop

This belongs in General Politics due to Political reaction, even if cause is economic.

But but but, Everything Is Awesome!!!1!11!1!!!!1!!!! ... and where's Zippy?

Point wise it was the biggest drop ever- but in percentage terms, it barely made the Top 300.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dows-percent-decline-barely-cracks-the-top-300-2018-02-05


Dow's percent decline barely cracks the top 300

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -4.60% has bounced nearly 750 points off its low, but was still down 849 points to be on track for the biggest point decline in the index's 121-year history. At the intraday low, the Dow was down 1,597.08 points. The current percentage decline of 3.33%, however, barely cracks the top 300, to put it around 291st, according to FactSet data.

kahless
02-05-2018, 05:40 PM
DOOM! The market is back to where it was only a month and a half ago. oh the humanity.

nikcers
02-05-2018, 05:56 PM
DOOM! The market is back to where it was only a month and a half ago. oh the humanity.

I guess it depends on how you measure it. The market was trending upward only a month ago...

dannno
02-05-2018, 05:58 PM
I guess it depends on how you measure it. The market was trending upward only a month ago...

Lol, 1 day constitutes a trend?

nikcers
02-05-2018, 05:59 PM
Lol, 1 day constitutes a trend?
Last month it was trending upward for more then one day.

DamianTV
02-05-2018, 06:05 PM
Lets make sure people understand what I am not saying. Im not saying "this is the big one" or "the whole thing is now collapsing", only indicating that these things would not occur with Sound Money. There is a "Big One" that is coming, but this isnt it. This news article only shows that there are structural flaws in a monetary system that can NOT be sustained. This is just a crack in the wall.

kahless
02-05-2018, 06:07 PM
I guess it depends on how you measure it. The market was trending upward only a month ago...

It was sarcasm. Even with the drop were still at historic highs. It could drop over a thousand points for a few days and it would still be in 2017 territory.

nikcers
02-05-2018, 06:07 PM
Lets make sure people understand what I am not saying. Im not saying "this is the big one" or "the whole thing is now collapsing", only indicating that these things would not occur with Sound Money. There is a "Big One" that is coming, but this isnt it. This news article only shows that there are structural flaws in a monetary system that can NOT be sustained. This is just a crack in the wall.

This is more like the air being let out a little on the bubble. This is definitely enough to shake confidence in the market, its going to cause people to divest.

RonZeplin
02-05-2018, 06:18 PM
Ron Paul was right, she's gonna blow! End the FED.

nikcers
02-05-2018, 08:36 PM
It was sarcasm. Even with the drop were still at historic highs. It could drop over a thousand points for a few days and it would still be in 2017 territory.
Right, my post was sarcasm, atleast Trump was honest when he was running for president he said that 2016 was a bubble. Now that 2017 is an even bigger bubble you think the confidence can be rocked and people won't take their money and run. I wouldn't be surprised if the FED can correct this, but you can't possibly think that the fed can correct mal investment every time and the bubble can just keep getting bigger right?

XNavyNuke
02-05-2018, 08:54 PM
Bot traders are controlling the spinning wheel.


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5Xv8nYvolwY

XNN

kahless
02-05-2018, 10:07 PM
Some have speculated market manipulation. The timing is suspicious. Fake Russia investigation exposed for what it is, Dems exposed, possible prosecutions coming and globalists not getting their way through legislation. Next tactic is to tank the economy to give the Dems an edge in November.

If the Dems control either chamber they could create another obstacle to Trump's agenda, and possibility impeachment. It would also give them control of congressional committees, with the ability to conduct oversight of the administration and issue subpoenas.

The problem is if this collusion could be proven who would lock up the elites.

TheCount
02-05-2018, 10:10 PM
In this thread, kahless and dannno will be playing the role of Zippy in 2015...

timosman
02-05-2018, 10:13 PM
Ron Paul was right, she's gonna blow! End the FED.

Is it time to buy silver?:cool:

timosman
02-05-2018, 10:14 PM
In this thread, kahless and dannno will be playing the role of Zippy in 2015...

Don't worry. You are still the top candidate for the role.

nikcers
02-05-2018, 10:16 PM
Some have speculated market manipulation.
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/customavatars/avatar58229_4.gif

kahless
02-05-2018, 10:40 PM
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/customavatars/avatar58229_4.gif

https://i.imgur.com/o840ocE.gif

Origanalist
02-05-2018, 10:41 PM
Bot traders are controlling the spinning wheel.


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5Xv8nYvolwY

XNN

Yep.

timosman
02-05-2018, 10:42 PM
Does Trump know how to use the Plunge Protection Team?

oyarde
02-05-2018, 10:56 PM
Is it time to buy silver?:cool:

I would have got some at 15 if I did not have any .

kpitcher
02-05-2018, 11:38 PM
Trump actually had it right.. from his SOTU "The stock market has smashed one record after another". Now we get a new record for the largest point drop

oyarde
02-06-2018, 12:13 AM
Dow futures at -431 , so , probability could go below 23K tomorrow . S & P and Nascrap look flat .

oyarde
02-06-2018, 12:15 AM
So how many paper dollars have gone up in smoke ?

oyarde
02-06-2018, 12:22 AM
A simple 20 percent correction would take it from 26K to 20K . Or , nearly the past three years of gains I think .

timosman
02-06-2018, 12:30 AM
A simple 20 percent correction would take it from 26K to 20K . Or , nearly the past three years of gains I think .

Let's do it. Blame it on the Deep State. Bwahahaha.:cool:

dude58677
02-06-2018, 07:17 AM
Is it time to buy silver?:cool:

https://goo.gl/images/2ZNJSB

Anti Federalist
02-06-2018, 08:06 AM
Bot traders are controlling the spinning wheel.


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5Xv8nYvolwY

XNN

This.

Real market forces, supply and demand and real worth are irrelevant anymore.

Up or down, these markets are a fantasy, a computer enhanced hallucination.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 01:49 PM
Lets make sure people understand what I am not saying. Im not saying "this is the big one" or "the whole thing is now collapsing", only indicating that these things would not occur with Sound Money. There is a "Big One" that is coming, but this isnt it. This news article only shows that there are structural flaws in a monetary system that can NOT be sustained. This is just a crack in the wall.

How would stock prices behave with "sound money"? Would they always be the same? Would they always go up? Always go down?

timosman
02-06-2018, 01:55 PM
How would stock prices behave with "sound money"? Would they always be the same? Would they always go up? Always go down?

You used "always" 3 times in 3 questions. Are you trying to be tricky? :cool:

DamianTV
02-06-2018, 04:13 PM
How would stock prices behave with "sound money"? Would they always be the same? Would they always go up? Always go down?

It seems to me like you are putting Wall Street ahead of Main Street, as usual, and exactly what the top 1% are doing also. There would still be ups and downs, but not huge Boom and Bust cycles because the real wealth of the country would be on Main Street, not Wall Street, where they gamble with everyone elses future.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 06:30 PM
It seems to me like you are putting Wall Street ahead of Main Street, as usual, and exactly what the top 1% are doing also. There would still be ups and downs, but not huge Boom and Bust cycles because the real wealth of the country would be on Main Street, not Wall Street, where they gamble with everyone elses future.

Booms and busts happen no matter what you use for money. It is human nature- not the nature of money.

r3volution 3.0
02-06-2018, 06:33 PM
Booms and busts happen no matter what you use for money. It is human nature- not the nature of money.

No, the business cycle is a result of monetary policy.

Imagine, Zippy, that the government implemented massive subsidies to ABC Inc, and then stopped them. What would happen to ABC Inc? First a boom, then a bust. It's essentially the same thing with loose monetary policy: certain sectors (those closest to the money spigot) are effectively subsidized and then, when the subsidy is withdrawn (monetary policy tightens), they bust. It's really not that complicated.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 06:40 PM
No, the business cycle is a result of monetary policy.

Imagine, Zippy, that the government implemented massive subsidies to ABC Inc, and then stopped them. What would happen to ABC Inc? First a boom, then a bust. It's essentially the same thing with loose monetary policy: certain sectors (those closest to the money spigot) are effectively subsidized and then, when the subsidy is withdrawn (monetary policy tightens), they bust. It's really not that complicated.

Did monetary policy cause the tulip fascination in Holland or the Beanie Baby Craze in the US?

Bubbles are emotional- a few get interested in something. Others learn about it and maybe get interested to. The asset is perceived to be more valuable. Others think they too can make money so they jump in- higher demand drives up the price. Others don't want to feel left out so they jump on too. Eventually you run out of people to enter the market and drive up the price so demand falls and once the price starts to fall, all the more casual people drop out, causing the price to fall even more.

dannno
02-06-2018, 06:50 PM
https://WWW.INFOWARS.COM/EXECUTE-ORDER-666-STOCK-MARKET-PLUNGE-GLOBALIST-SIGNAL-TO-TRUMP/

EXECUTE ORDER 666: STOCK MARKET PLUNGE GLOBALIST SIGNAL TO TRUMP?

Was the recent 666 point drop in the stock market last week a warning to president?

Jamie White (https://www.infowars.com/author/jamie-white/) | Infowars.com - FEBRUARY 6, 2018

https://hw.infowars.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/satanstockmarket.jpg

Last Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average plunged 666 points amid interest rate fears and news of the FISA memo’s release.

Ominous? Yes. Coincidence? Maybe not.

On Monday, the Dow dropped 1,175 points (4.6%), the biggest single day selloff in history.

Conservative radio host Michael Savage surmised the globalists were behind the market shakeups because the FISA memo story is gaining steam and they need to hurt Trump where he’s strongest: the economy.

“The establishment, meaning the ‘Deep State,’ call it whatever you want, went into overdrive to destroy Trump, or try to destroy him, where he is strongest, because they couldn’t get him where they thought he was weakest,” Savage said (https://www.infowars.com/michael-savage-thinks-stock-market-plunge-is-a-deep-state-plot-to-destroy-trump/) Monday.

“So they are taking the market down. They are trying to hurt you. They are the enemies of the average American. Make no mistake about it, they are going for you! These people are so evil and so power-drunk that they’d burn the nation to the ground rather than let Donald Trump live another day in office.”Economist Peter Schiff said the Federal Reserve may be attempting to destroy the “Trump effect” that’s been rallying the stock market for the last year.

“Maybe the Fed would be happy to see a bear market that could be blamed on Trump,” Shiff said (https://www.thestreet.com/story/14309564/1/federal-reserve-system.html) in an interview with The Street.

“We’ve had a huge move up since the election of Trump even though prior to the election the expectation was if Trump won it [would be a disaster for markets].”

Are the globalists playing their last hand out of desperation?

Intelligence insider known as QAnon recently posted on 8chan suggesting the globalists’ next move was to rattle the stock market to send a signal to Trump they are still in control.

“[666]. Signal to POTUS they control the market? Signal? Threat? Welcome to the global war.”

r3volution 3.0
02-06-2018, 06:59 PM
Did monetary policy cause the tulip fascination in Holland or the Beanie Baby Craze in the US?

Tulipmania coincided with a massive precious metals inflation in Holland (resulting from huge gold and silver imports from Spanish America).

The Beanie Baby mania coincided with the tech bubble, and occurred for the same reason (loose monetary policy, in the US & Japan).


Bubbles are emotional- a few get interested in something. Others learn about it and maybe get interested to. The asset is perceived to be more valuable. Others think they too can make money so they jump in- higher demand drives up the price. Others don't want to feel left out so they jump on too. Eventually you run out of people to enter the market and drive up the price so demand falls and once the price starts to fall, all the more casual people drop out, causing the price to fall even more.

That would be Keynes' non-explanation explanation, yes.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 07:14 PM
Tulipmania coincided with a massive precious metals inflation in Holland (resulting from huge gold and silver imports from Spanish America).

The Beanie Baby mania coincided with the tech bubble, and occurred for the same reason (loose monetary policy, in the US & Japan).



That would be Keynes' non-explanation explanation, yes.

Why did it only effect tulips? Shouldn't all or at least most things go into a bubble if it was monetary policy and not emotions? If it was monetary policy it should have effected many parts of the economy. (information on what exactly was happening with Dutch money supply in the early 1600's is difficult to come by- do you have any links? )

I find this information from Mises (the bubble burst in 1637):

https://mises.org/library/truth-about-tulipmania


Bank of Amsterdam*
Years** Total Balances Metal Stock
1630 4,166,159 3,105,449
1631 3,784,047 2,976,742
1632 3,636,079 3,281,113
1633 4,272,224 3,866,890
1634 3,995,666 3,474,527
1635 3,860,342 3,416,112
1636 3,992,338 3,486,306
1637 5,680,522 5,315,576
1638 5,593,750 5,256,606
1639 5,802,729 5,446,002
1640 8,075,358 7,823,964
1641 8,056,232 8,356,437


There seems to have been no significant change in money supply during the bubble.

r3volution 3.0
02-06-2018, 07:31 PM
Why did it only effect tulips? Shouldn't all or at least most things go into a bubble if it was monetary policy and not emotions?

When the money supply increases, the new money isn't evenly distributed to everyone/every sector (if it were, there would be [ignoring the diminishing marginal utility of money and a few other minor issues] no effect on relative prices and no change in the 'real' economy). It ends up concentrating in certain people's hands/certain sectors. Sometimes this is a straightforward result of government policy (as with federal housing guarantees driving money into housing in the lead up to 2008), and other times it's just a matter of whatever happens to be on the upswing in the market.


I find this information from Mises (the bubble burst in 1637):

https://mises.org/library/truth-about-tulipmania

There seems to have been no significant change in money supply during the bubble.

That chart shows a nearly 50% increase in two years, right at the height of the bubble.

https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/15/80/60/158060f51a12d686cb44ec30b528a2e1.png

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 07:47 PM
When the money supply increases, the new money isn't evenly distributed to everyone/every sector (if it were, there would be [ignoring the diminishing marginal utility of money and a few other minor issues] no effect on relative prices and no change in the 'real' economy). It ends up concentrating in certain people's hands/certain sectors. Sometimes this is a straightforward result of government policy (as with federal housing guarantees driving money into housing in the lead up to 2008), and other times it's just a matter of whatever happens to be on the upswing in the market.



That chart shows a nearly 50% increase in two years, right at the height of the bubble.

https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/originals/15/80/60/158060f51a12d686cb44ec30b528a2e1.png

Your chart seems to be showing tulip prices- not money supply. "Gouda Tulip Bulbs- selected prices in Guilders".

r3volution 3.0
02-06-2018, 07:54 PM
Your chart seems to be showing tulip prices- not money supply. "Gouda Tulip Bulbs- selected prices in Guilders".

It does show tulip prices.

I'm saying that your chart shows a nearly 50% increase in money supply during the height of the bubble depicted on my chart.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 08:07 PM
It does show tulip prices.

I'm saying that your chart shows a nearly 50% increase in money supply during the height of the bubble depicted on my chart.

Only during the final year- after the bubble had already run its course. It was basically unchanged the years before that on the chart. If a bump in money supply was the cause of the bubble, that should happen at the start of or before the bubble- not afterwards.

r3volution 3.0
02-06-2018, 09:56 PM
Only during the final year- after the bubble had already run its course. It was basically unchanged the years before that on the chart. If a bump in money supply was the cause of the bubble, that should happen at the start of or before the bubble- not afterwards.

The figures in the money supply chart are for January 31st of the year indicated.

i.e.

3,992,338 is for January 31st 1636

5,680,552 is for January 31st 1637

That's a 42% increase in 1 year, 1/31/1636 - 1/31/1637.

Look at the price chart I posted, that corresponds exactly to the build-up of the bubble.

Zippyjuan
02-06-2018, 10:10 PM
The figures in the money supply chart are for January 31st of the year indicated.

i.e.

3,992,338 is for January 31st 1636

5,680,552 is for January 31st 1637

That's a 42% increase in 1 year, 1/31/1636 - 1/31/1637.

Look at the price chart I posted, that corresponds exactly to the build-up of the bubble.

1637 was when the bubble broke- it inflated prior to then. Your chart shows it starting in 1634 and ends in February 1637 with prices crashed to near zero by then. If inflating the money supply led to the bubble, we need to see the money supply inflating prior to the bubble. Do we?

What did the money supply do before 1634? It stayed pretty close to 4 million guilders- all the way until 1637. By then the bubble was over . It did grow 16% in 1633 but declined the following two years.

1630: 4,166,159

1631: 3,784,047

1632: 3,636,079

1633: 4,272,224

1634: 3,995,666

1635: 3,860,342

1636: 3,992,338

1637: 5,680,522

dannno
02-06-2018, 10:19 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU8_H7x0KwA

oyarde
02-06-2018, 10:22 PM
Did monetary policy cause the tulip fascination in Holland or the Beanie Baby Craze in the US?

Bubbles are emotional- a few get interested in something. Others learn about it and maybe get interested to. The asset is perceived to be more valuable. Others think they too can make money so they jump in- higher demand drives up the price. Others don't want to feel left out so they jump on too. Eventually you run out of people to enter the market and drive up the price so demand falls and once the price starts to fall, all the more casual people drop out, causing the price to fall even more.
In another month or so I should have some more tulips available at low , low prices .

DamianTV
02-07-2018, 02:07 AM
Booms and busts happen no matter what you use for money. It is human nature- not the nature of money.

Any time you make the value of a currency a variable depending on the interest rate of a Central Bank you have Boom & Bust cycles. Sound / Honest Money remains constant and the value is held by those who create, build and produce, not market manipulators.

Please stop trying to discredit Sound Money or other topics that Ron Paul was pushing strongly for, youre only making yourself look worse and worse. Youre not gonna get yourself out of your Reputation Hole that you have dug for yourself by digging that hole deeper. Doesnt work with Reputation, it wont work with Money. So just quit even though you are dead last.

r3volution 3.0
02-07-2018, 08:38 AM
@Zippyjuan (http://www.ronpaulforums.com/member.php?u=17293)

Over 1634 and 1635, the money supply was about flat, and tulip prices approximately doubled (natural bull market).

Over 1636 and 1637, the money supply increased 42% and tulip prices rose 30X (inflationary bubble).

I don't know how much clearer it can be...

https://i.imgur.com/E6RhJ4s.png


When the money supply increases, the new money isn't evenly distributed to everyone/every sector (if it were, there would be [ignoring the diminishing marginal utility of money and a few other minor issues] no effect on relative prices and no change in the 'real' economy). It ends up concentrating in certain people's hands/certain sectors. Sometimes this is a straightforward result of government policy (as with federal housing guarantees driving money into housing in the lead up to 2008), and other times it's just a matter of whatever happens to be on the upswing in the market.

TheCount
02-07-2018, 08:43 AM
If the market was brought down by the deep state, was the rebound the rest of the pure American greatness of Trumpkins? Dank memes?

nikcers
02-07-2018, 09:37 AM
If the market was brought down by the deep state, was the rebound the rest of the pure American greatness of Trumpkins? Dank memes?
The market is shakey right now especially because congress can't agree on how much of an increase in spending they are going to do. They probably just haven't received all of their marching orders and know they can use artificial "deadlines" to pass "must pass" bills to fund government to avoid nasty shut downs that are unpopular to the public. All of this uncertainty is causing panic, especially when there might be more lucrative opportunities to lobby government for more money then they can make in the stock market. So yeah basically the state, not the deep state.

dannno
02-07-2018, 09:41 AM
If the market was brought down by the deep state, was the rebound the rest of the pure American greatness of Trumpkins? Dank memes?

https://i.imgflip.com/244ibp.jpg

r3volution 3.0
02-07-2018, 09:50 AM
https://i.imgflip.com/244j4e.jpg

Influenza
02-07-2018, 10:00 AM
People often say "the market is rational," but I don't really think that's the case. With my limited trading experience, I see stocks getting pumped up 70-80% on little/no news, and crashing hard when a really small piece of bad news comes. These kind of intraweek 1000% gains and 60% losses that have happened to a few companies, like $HMNY for example, are fairly common and indicative of a highly irrational market, in my opinion...

I don't think trump's policies have anything to do with this pullback, but similarly, they didn't have much to do with the huge gains of recent either. But when Trump unjustifiably takes credit for the stock market gains, he should also take credit for their losses.