House Seat Up For Grabs in GA, Polls Close 7pm EST

[r3volution 3.0]

CD6 has been a safe GOP seat for decades, but the latest polls have the democrat in the lead, though under 50%, which would mean a run-off.

...should give us a bit of a preview of 2018.

Live results (http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6)

[CPUd]

It will be very hard for Ossoff to break 50%

[r3volution 3.0]

It will be very hard for Ossoff to break 50%

I expect he'll be around 45% and then lose narrowly in the run-off.

A close loss is still bad news for the GOP given how red this seat ought to be.

If he actually wins, it's a big canary in the coalmine.

[CPUd]

I think this was Newt's seat at one time.

Ossoff is polling 20+ over the other candidates mainly due to:
- Tom Price and the TrumpCare fail
- DCCC dumping $8M into his campaign

[CPUd]

live returns:
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

[r3volution 3.0]

Apparently the early voting (which will come in first) is expected to be heavily Democratic.

More than 60% would indicate a good chance for the Dem to win.

[Suzanimal]

I think this was Newt's seat at one time.

Ossoff is polling 20+ over the other candidates mainly due to:
- Tom Price and the TrumpCare fail
- DCCC dumping $8M into his campaign

It was Newt's seat and the Dem's did dump a lot of money in that race. It really was the perfect GA district for a libertarian but...oh, well.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?509226-Tom-Price-s-replacement-in-Congress-(Georgia-6th-District)&highlight=Ossoff

[r3volution 3.0]

It really was the perfect GA district for a libertarian but...oh, well.

Article on that by a Johnson-Weld guy:

http://www.businessinsider.com/georgia-special-election-libertarian-candidate-2017-4

[CPUd]

It was Newt's seat and the Dem's did dump a lot of money in that race. It really was the perfect GA district for a libertarian but...oh, well.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?509226-Tom-Price-s-replacement-in-Congress-(Georgia-6th-District)&highlight=Ossoff

This guy considered running:

http://i.imgur.com/gmUyif5.png
https://www.facebook.com/chasethehouse/posts/1864217177190717

[r3volution 3.0]

First results should be coming out imminently...

[CPUd]

early vote:

http://i.imgur.com/ZvNHaw9.png

[misterx]

Results so far are entirely from Dekalb County, the most corrupt, liberal cesspool in Georgia. The rest of the district will be solidly against Ossoff.

[CPUd]

854470602295574528
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/854470602295574528

[r3volution 3.0]

Just early voting at this point, but Ossoff's 14% ahead of Hillary in DeKalb.

[r3volution 3.0]

854470602295574528
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/854470602295574528

LOL at the Trumptard tweeting photos in that feed

If Ossoff wins, it'll be largely because of that kind of stuff.

Reminds me of "China Jon" (but real).

[r3volution 3.0]

Early vote now in for Cobb County, 57% (Hillary had 40% there).

Total district-wide so far is 63.4% for the Dem.

[r3volution 3.0]

Fulton County early voting, 61% for Ossoff (Hillary 46%)

62% district-wide

I'd say it's going to be close.

[misterx]

Early vote now in for Cobb County, 57% (Hillary had 40% there).

Total district-wide so far is 63.4% for the Dem.

I believe Hillary won the early vote in Cobb County too. Don't worry about it.

[oyarde]

This will decide future dem strategy . They went All In on this . If it works expect more .

[r3volution 3.0]

Turnout so far is higher than expected

[CPUd]

Another live results page:
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

[r3volution 3.0]

Just early voting at this point, but Ossoff's 14% ahead of Hillary in DeKalb.

With 14% of Dekalb precincts reporting, Ossoff still up 9.5 points over Hillary.

[misterx]

With 14% of Dekalb precincts reporting, Ossoff still up 9.5 points over Hillary.

Obviously that margin will keep narrowing though as the election day vote becomes a higher percentage of the total.

[CPUd]

854494612517523457
https://twitter.com/LakeChip/status/854494612517523457

[r3volution 3.0]

Obviously that margin will keep narrowing though as the election day vote becomes a higher percentage of the total.

To some extent. We'll see.

[misterx]

854494612517523457
https://twitter.com/LakeChip/status/854494612517523457

Not a chance of that happening. Extreme wishful thinking.

[CPUd]

http://i.imgur.com/WNd4NY6.png

[CPUd]

Precincts are starting to come in now:

http://i.imgur.com/7tOeM1F.png

[CPUd]

http://i.imgur.com/STks0gv.png

[r3volution 3.0]

20% reporting district-wide, Ossoff still at 56.7%

[misterx]

To some extent. We'll see.

Down to 1.5% over Hillary in Dekalb.

[CPUd]

854503380433108993
https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/854503380433108993

[r3volution 3.0]

First results from Fulton County in, 16% reporting, Ossoff 55% (Hillary 46%).

[r3volution 3.0]

Tweet from this guy (https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC) which I can't manage to embed...


Projection from EV + 48/210 votes in: Ossoff 49-51%. All depends on GOP strength/weakness from Fulton County Election Day vote.

[r3volution 3.0]

40% reporting, Ossoff down to 50.8%, probably going to fall short

[jmdrake]

CD6 has been a safe GOP seat for decades, but the latest polls have the democrat in the lead, though under 50%, which would mean a run-off.

...should give us a bit of a preview of 2018.

Live results (http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6)


It will be very hard for Ossoff to break 50%

Right now it looks like he might. As I'm posting this he's at 51%. I don't get how this election was done without a primary in the first place. :confused: I heard on talk radio this afternoon that a voting machine got stolen a few days before. That doesn't bode well.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/04/18/new-details-emerge-in-theft-ga-voting-machines.html

[jmdrake]

40% reporting, Ossoff down to 50.8%, probably going to fall short

I hope you're right. With the stolen voting machine in play there definitely needs to be a runoff.

[misterx]

50.1 now. Next results to come in will take him under.

[r3volution 3.0]

DeKalb is 100% in, he's beat Hillary by 1.6%, still at 50.7% overall

[AuH20]

8 million dolllars and 8,000 volunteers. They ran this like a small Senate race and still came up short. I may not be thrilled with the Trump or the GOP, but I despise Blue.

[CPUd]

8 million dolllars and 8,000 volunteers. They ran this like a small Senate race and still came up short. I may not be thrilled with the Trump or the GOP, but I despise Blue.

Blue is no different than Red

[misterx]

8 million dolllars and 8,000 volunteers. They ran this like a small Senate race and still came up short. I may not be thrilled with the Trump or the GOP, but I despise Blue.

I'll be happy if they keep wasting their money on this strategy. The money won't run out unfortunately, but the volunteers will become demoralized.

[oyarde]

DeKalb is 100% in, he's beat Hillary by 1.6%, still at 50.7% overall

Pretty poor really , a dead Dem in Dekalb should beat Clinton by 5 percent .

[misterx]

DeKalb is 100% in, he's beat Hillary by 1.6%, still at 50.7% overall

That's an incredibly poor performance for all the money and effort they poured into this race. He will not stand a chance in the runoff when the money is a little more even.

[AuH20]

Blue is no different than Red

Red signifies a slower pace to 1984. But Blue is the real face of evil with no mask. Dems can burn in hell for all I care.

[r3volution 3.0]

That's an incredibly poor performance for all the money and effort they poured into this race. He will not stand a chance in the runoff when the money is a little more even.

Keep in mind this is a heavily GOP district. Price won it by 23 points.

[r3volution 3.0]

Red signifies a slower pace to 1984. But Blue is the real face of evil with no mask. Dems can burn in hell.

GOP = wolf in sheep's clothing, Dems = wolf in wolf's clothing, both wolves

[spudea]

how long until they blame russia?

[AuH20]

GOP = wolf in sheep's clothing, Dems = wolf in wolf's clothing, both wolves

The entire last century was a democratically ruled one. America was destroyed under Democratic rule and the best the phony GOP could do, was to act as reluctant brakemen on an out of control train.

[misterx]

Keep in mind this is a heavily GOP district. Price won it by 23 points.

He didn't have a serious challenger, and the district's demographics are shifting rapidly.

[CPUd]

Red signifies a slower pace to 1984. But Blue is the real face of evil with no mask. Dems can burn in hell for all I care.

Whoever wins this seat will vote for CRs and AUMFs whenever they are needed to. Unless it was Ron Paul.

[Krugminator2]

Blue is no different than Red

They are very different. A Democratic government gives you Obamacare, Dodd-Frank, bailouts the stimulus, and radical liberal Supreme Court nominees like Kagan and Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

That doesn't mean Republicans in general are good but the worst Republicans are better than the best Democrats.

[misterx]

The entire last century was a democratically ruled one. America was destroyed under Democratic rule and the best the phony GOP could do, was to act as reluctant brakemen on an out of control train.

The Republic is all but dead, but it would be dead if Democrats had won every election.

[r3volution 3.0]

He didn't have a serious challenger, and the district's demographics are shifting rapidly.

And he was an incumbent, but still, going from a 23 point landslide to a coin flip overnight is not trivial.

[AuH20]

They are very different. A Democratic government gives you Obamacare, Dodd-Frank, bailouts the stimulus, and radical liberal Supreme Court nominees like Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

That doesn't mean Republicans in general are good but the worst Republicans are better than the best Democrats.

Republicans are basically a vote for the status quo not to worsen. That's all we're left with. The democrats are now openly Fabian socialists with no regard for their citizens.

[misterx]

And he was an incumbent, but still, going from a 23 point landslide to a coin flip overnight is not trivial.

It's not overnight. It was close last November too. This is the first time the congressional seat has ever seriously been challenged by the Dems, and they literally threw EVERYTHING at it. I'm not surprised they came close. Dekalb county is almost 100% black/Muslim/Hispanic.

[r3volution 3.0]

Republicans are basically a vote for the status quo not to worsen. That's all we're left with. The democrats are now openly Fabian socialists with no regard for their citizens.

The last time the GOP controlled Congress and the White House, things worsened a great deal: as much as under any Dem government.

There is a small faction within the GOP which represents something different and better, but they have never been in control.

The majority of the party (i.e. the part that actually governs) is not meaningfully different from the Dems.

[r3volution 3.0]

It's not overnight. It was close last November too.

It was last November that Price won it by 23%..

It was only close for Trump in the POTUS race.

What this suggests is that the GOP of Price is a lot more popular in CD6 than the GOP of Trump.

[CPUd]

They are very different. A Democratic government gives you Obamacare, Dodd-Frank, bailouts the stimulus, and radical liberal Supreme Court nominees like Kagan and Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

That doesn't mean Republicans in general are good but the worst Republicans are better than the best Democrats.

They all vote to spend money we don't have.

[misterx]

It was last November that Price won it by 23%..

It was only close for Trump in the POTUS race.

What this suggests is that the GOP of Price is a lot more popular in CD6 than the GOP of Trump.

Yes, that's because he wasn't seriously challenged. Trump was seriously challenged, so the Presidential was close, as it always is in the district. This was to be expected with $8 million dollars of outside money being poured into the district. All it suggests is that more money = more name recognition = more votes. If Price's nobody challenger had $8 million to spend, that would've been close too. This election proves that the Democrats have been wise not to waste money in the district. One day it will be a good investment, but not yet, still too many whites in Cobb County.

[AuH20]

The last time the GOP controlled Congress and the White things, things worsened a great deal: as much as under any Dem government.

There is a small faction within the GOP which represents something different and better, but they have never been in control.

The majority of the party (i.e. the part that actually governs) is not meaningfully different from the Dems.

Look at the major kickoff points where the state massively grew. 1913, 1933, 1965. Dem presidents with major democratic majorities permanently altering the fabric of a withering republic. Historically speaking, Democrats are the equivalent to drinking Liquid Drano, while the Repugs are more like downing vodka, which will still get you cirrhosis of the liver. Republican voters have always been far more conservative than the phony party that they vote for.

[r3volution 3.0]

Trump was seriously challenged

No, Hillary was not a strong challenger. Anyone but Trump would have crushed her.

Romney won that district by 24% (about the same as Price).

Trump scraped it out by 1% because Trump sucks, which is also why Ossoff nearly won it tonight (GOP now = Trump).

[Krugminator2]

They all vote to spend money we don't have.

No they don't. The last 6 years of Obama and Clinton were borderline great because of Republican control of Congress. The sequester, ending lt unemployment benefits, no min wage hikes were the result of Republicans. Welfare Reform, cap gains cuts, Paygo only happen because of Newt and Kasich.

[misterx]

No, Hillary was not a strong challenger. Anyone but Trump would have crushed her.

Romney won that district by 24% (about the same as Price).

Trump scraped it out by 1% because Trump sucks, which is also why Ossoff nearly won it tonight (GOP now = Trump).

It has nothing to do with whites rapidly fleeing the district, and the redistricting that occurred after Romney.

[r3volution 3.0]

1913

Nelson Aldrich


1933

Hebert Hoover


1965

I'll raise you a 1964; the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution passed the House unanimously, the Senate with 2 dissenters.

[CPUd]

Look at the major kickoff points where the state massively grew. 1913, 1933, 1965. Dem presidents with major democratic majorities altering the fabric of a withering republic. Historically speaking, Democrats are the equivalent to drinking Liquid Drano, while the Repugs are more like downing vodka, which will still get you cirrhosis of the liver. Republican voters have always been far more conservative than the phony party that they vote for.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMqcLQzD-aA

[r3volution 3.0]

It has nothing to do with whites rapidly fleeing the district, and the redistricting that occurred after Romney.

Has there been massive white flight and redistricting since Price won by 23% six month ago?

[misterx]

Has there been massive white flight and redistricting since Price won by 23% six month ago?

What part of Price was essentially unchallenged don't you understand?

[CPUd]

Republicans are basically a vote for the status quo not to worsen. That's all we're left with. The democrats are now openly Fabian socialists with no regard for their citizens.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_reboXoPeC8

[r3volution 3.0]

What part of Price was essentially unchallenged don't you understand?

That doesn't explain the change.

[misterx]

That doesn't explain the change.

Of course not. Money doesn't matter in politics.

[r3volution 3.0]

Cobb and DeKalb now 100% reporting, Fulton at 16%; Ossoff still hanging on to narrow lead.

At this point, the thing to watch may be the 0.9% the other Dems are drawing.

[r3volution 3.0]

Mail in ballots for Fulton apparently not yet counted, expected to be heavy Dem like the in-person early votes.

[TheTexan]

Blue is no different than Red

It's an entirely different color.

[CPUd]

854531478448988161
https://twitter.com/IzzyOrtega/status/854531478448988161

[jmdrake]

It's at 50.3% now. Nailbiter.

[AuH20]

854544025042419713

[CPUd]

http://i.imgur.com/mRBNPop.png

[jmdrake]

Good result. There will be a runoff. The GOP candidate is a woman. Helpful because the dem will have trouble playing the "You hate women" card. Neither side can claim a clear cut "victory." A dem shouldn't have been able to force or runoff or worse be this close to clear cut victory. Expect a lot of tea leaf reading over this for the next few days.

http://i63.tinypic.com/qxnayh.jpg

[klamath]

It has nothing to do with whites rapidly fleeing the district, and the redistricting that occurred after Romney.Redistricting occurred in 2011 after the census. Romney won in 2012.

[nobody's_hero]

Well, there were like 5 million republicans running and 3 democrats.

Democratic Jon Ossoff 92,390 48.1
Republican Karen Handel 37,993 19.8
Republican Bob Gray 20,755 10.8
Republican Dan Moody 16,994 8.8
Republican Judson Hill 16,848 8.8
Republican Kurt Wilson 1,812 0.94
Republican David Abroms 1,637 0.85
Democratic Ragin Edwards 502 0.26
Democratic Ron Slotin 488 0.25
Republican Bruce LeVell 455 0.24
Republican Mohammad Ali Bhuiyan 414 0.22
Republican Keith Grawert 414 0.22
Republican Amy Kremer 349 0.18
Republican William Llop 326 0.17
Republican Rebecca Quigg 304 0.16
Democratic Richard Keatley 227 0.12
Independent Alexander Hernandez 121 0.06
Independent Andre Pollard 55 0.03

[r3volution 3.0]

Well, there were like 5 million republicans running and 3 democrats.

Sure, but the total Dem vote was 49%.

That shouldn't have happened in this district.

Ossoff's likely going to lose the run-off, and one seat doesn't matter...

....but, if this is at all representative of the country at large, TrumpGOP's got problems going forward.

[CPUd]

Sure, but the total Dem vote was 49%.

That shouldn't have happened in this district.

Ossoff's likely going to lose the run-off, and one seat doesn't matter...

....but, if this is at all representative of the country at large, TrumpGOP's got problems going forward.

And the Trumpsucker candidate didn't even make the runoff

[r3volution 3.0]

And the Trumpsucker candidate didn't even make the runoff

With any luck the Trumpsucker-In-Chief will have a similar experience come 2020...

...when America gets A Better Vision.

[Suzanimal]

P
OLL: Handel holds slight lead over Ossoff in 6th District

ATLANTA - A new WSB-TV, Landmark Communications poll shows Republican Karen Handel and Democrat Jon Ossoff are neck-and-neck in the tightly contested 6th Congressional District race.

The new poll of 611 likely voters shows Handel with 49.1 percent of the vote and Ossoff with 46.5 percent.

But with 4.4 percent undecided and a margin of error of 4 percent, the race is still very close.

Landmark Communications President Mark Rountree says this shows Handel may be consolidating Republicans around her campaign.

“There were more Republicans that actually voted, or more people who voted Republican I should say, and they’re now getting behind Handel in bigger numbers. And she has now taken the lead in the race. It’s a small lead, but she has taken a small lead,” Rountree said.

Ossoff said he always knew the runoff was going to be a close, hard-fought race.

“It’s a tight race. I think it’s going to stay a tight race. I think it’s going to come down to who can offer a compelling vision for fresh leadership, independent leadership,” Ossoff said.

On Thursday, a Federal Court Judge agreed with several civil rights organizations and ordered the state to reopen voter registration for the June 20 runoff.

Some experts say that could have some impact on this race.

Handel’s campaign spokesperson, Charlie Harper, says it shows the Democrats are desperate.

“It shows what happens when Democrats know they’re losing. They sue to change the rules midstream,” Harper said. “They can’t win with the votes they have. They’re going to try and get more.

A Democratic Super-Pac released an internal poll Friday, In it, Ossoff is leading Handel by two points.



http://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/plenty-undecided-in-tightly-contested-6th-district-runoff/519809623

[Suzanimal]

873149629407297536



Ossoff raises another $15M in Georgia 6th, setting new fundraising record

Democrat Jon Ossoff reported another unprecedented fundraising haul Thursday in the race for Georgia’s 6th District, collecting an additional $15 million in roughly the last two months in a race that’s already the most expensive of its kind.

So vast it filled about 58,000 pages, Ossoff’s fundraising shattered the quarterly record he set earlier this year, when the former congressional aide astonished the political world by collecting more than $8.3 million.

All told, he’s raised about $23.6 million in a quest to flip the suburban Atlanta district. And he’s burned through most of it: He reported about $1 million left in the bank.

It was not immediately clear how much of the donations came from out-of-state, but his last report showed only about 1 in 20 contributions were from Georgia residents. His campaign said the average donation was $20.49.

Republican Karen Handel, his opponent in the June 20 runoff, reported late Thursday that she raised more than $3.8 million during the same two-month period. She had about $1.4 million on hand.

The staggering fundraising report underscores the national attention on the contest, considered a must-win by both parties. Costing more than $40 million overall, the race is by far the most expensive U.S. House election in the nation’s history.

An Atlanta Journal-Constitution analysis shows that includes about $25 million spent or reserved for advertising since April 18, when Handel and Ossoff notched spots in the June 20 runoff. Democrats have outspent Republicans by nearly $2 million in the runoff phase.

...

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2017/06/08/fundraising/

[Brian4Liberty]

Democrats are desperate for a win, and they are focused on this race which would usually be ignored.

[Suzanimal]

Today's the day. I've only seen Handle signs and there were a bunch of them in Decatur around where Ossoff lives.

LOL, ten minutes, my ass. He can't even get to the interstate in 10 minutes from Emory.


WASHINGTON — America is watching Tuesday’s race for a congressional seat that represents the wealthy Atlanta suburbs, wondering whether it will turn blue for the first time in nearly 40 years.

Democrat Jon Ossoff — a 30-year-old documentary filmmaker and congressional aide — has put up a surprising fight and raised a record-breaking $23 million in his race against former Georgia secretary of state Karen Handel. It is now the most expensive congressional race in history.

Some Democrats are hoping the special election runoff is a referendum on President Trump and that a win would be the start of a Democratic wave that will continue into the 2018 midterm elections. Republicans say that even if Ossoff wins, it would be hard to replicate the massive amount of money and outside focus for races during a normal cycle.

“The campaign has built a coalition of Democrats, independents and Republicans who want to send some fresh leadership to Washington, who want to focus on results rather than partisanship, who want to see a greater commitment to accountability,” Ossoff told USA TODAY after a campaign event in the district last week.

“No one knows who he is,” Handel, a three-time candidate for statewide office, told USA TODAY. “He clearly was a handpicked candidate by (House Minority Leader) Nancy Pelosi. He’ll go to D.C., he’ll be just another vote for her. And what we need is a person like myself who understands the 6th District what the issues are, what the priorities are and can really be a fierce advocate for the people of the 6th.”
...

Ossoff does not live in the district he’s aiming to represent. He lives with his fiancee near the Emory University campus, where she is in medical school.

“I’m proud to support her career even if I take some heat for it,” Ossoff said. “As soon as she finishes her medical training — you know she starts her hospital shifts at 4 a.m. — I’ll be 10 minutes back up the road in the district where I grew up.”

Ossoff said voters don’t care that he doesn’t live in the district because they’re more focused on other issues. But Handel said that’s not what she’s hearing.

“It matters to people. They want someone with whom they can be connected, someone who knows the community, who has relationships in the community, who's been a part of this community for almost 25 years,” Handel said. “I’ve been here longer — almost longer than he’s been alive.”

Polls will close at 7 p.m. ET unless hours are extended due to delayed openings, according to Candice Broce, a spokeswoman with the Georgia secretary of state's office.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/06/20/jon-ossoff-and-karen-handel-face-off-georgia-special-election/103022920/

[Swordsmyth]

Free Beacon Barred From Covering Jon Ossoff Campaign Event
The Washington Free Beacon was told by Georgia Democrat Jon Ossoff's campaign that it was not welcome to cover remarks that he was scheduled to deliver to supporters on the night before Tuesday's special election.
The Free Beacon was approached immediately upon entering Ossoff's Monday night event by Ossoff spokesperson Sacha Haworth, who proceeded to escort the reporter out of the event.
Asked why the Free Beacon was being restricted from covering the event, Haworth said, "Thank you very much for your interest in covering our race." Asked why the Free Beacon wasn't being allowed to cover the race despite its interest, Haworth said, "Thank you very much for your interest in covering our race."
The Ossoff campaign has previously declined (http://freebeacon.com/politics/what-its-like-to-cover-jon-ossoffs-accessible-campaign/) to provide the Free Beacon with information on the campaign's schedule.

The @FreeBeacon (https://twitter.com/FreeBeacon) has been told that it is not welcome at tonight's @ossoff (https://twitter.com/ossoff) event pic.twitter.com/lzXfForIGG (https://t.co/lzXfForIGG)
— Brent Scher (@BrentScher) June 20, 2017 (https://twitter.com/BrentScher/status/876963800947322880)

more at: http://freebeacon.com/politics/free-beacon-barred-from-covering-jon-ossoff-campaign-event/