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openfire
10-06-2016, 01:26 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycsFGthkVbk


Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on
SR 1236 – Forget MSM Polls - Trump Leads Electoral College – UPI
http:// www.billstill.com/
10:09 – Oct. 4 , 2016
Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on Trump.
Forget the MSM fake, pay-for-play polls. The new UPI/CVoter poll is out and it shows that Donald Trump has made gains in all but 5 states over the last week
The biggest swing state gain came in Minnesota, where Trump is now trailing Clinton by only 2.4%.
Other highlights in the swing states are – in alphabetical order –
Colorado – Clinton’s lead was cut to 1.6%.
Florida – Trump leads by 2.6%
Iowa – Trump leads by 1.5%
Michigan – Clinton’s lead cut to 3.5%
Minnesota – again, Clinton’s lead cut to 2.4%
Nevada – Clinton’s lead cut to 0.4%
New Hampshire – Clinton’s lead cut to 0.8%
North Carolina – Trump’s lead extended to 4.5%
Ohio – Trump’s lead grows to 1.2%
Penn – Trump’s lead grows to 3.1%
Virginia – Trump’s lead grows to big 5.1%
Wisconsin – Clinton’s lead cut to 2.5%
There are two other states coming into play that aren’t considered to be swing states with this week’s results:
New Mexico – Clinton’s lead cut to 5.1%
Oregon – Clinton’s lead cut to 5.6%
Now if you count the minimum Monster vote at 5%, that puts them in range.
So, if the election were held today, according to the UPI/CVoter poll, this is what the map looks like – Trump winning easily with 292 Electoral College votes to Clinton’s 246 – with 270 needed to win.
However, if you add in the momentum factor in, here is my version. I give Trump Nevada – just too much momentum to hold for the Dems. Same thing for Colorado, plus the old cowboy factor that still lives in the true westerners.
I’m giving Trump New Hampshire because I think Trump really wants to take back this typically lone Republican property in the Northeast. I’m also giving Trump Maine’s 2nd District, and my long-shot pick is Minnesota.
So my current best guess now is 322 Trump to 216 Clinton.
However, I’m taking a strong option on Wisconsin and Michigan. With Clinton leads of only 2.5% in Wisconsin and 3.5% in Michigan, they are still very strong candidates for a flip.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.

CaptUSA
10-06-2016, 01:39 PM
I have no idea who this guy is, but there is NO way this happens. This is nothing but some pipe dream of wishful thinking by someone who bought the Trump con. I'm sure that Trump University degree is going to make him rich, too.

Clinton will easily take PA and VA. IA, NH, NC, NV, and CO will be closer, but he'll lose those too. He may or may not take FL and OH. I'm still doubtful about OH since the GOP machine here isn't supporting him.

If you trick yourself into believing this stuff, I'm afraid you're going to have a really bad night in November... Ah, but maybe that's what it's going to take to make you see you've been conned.

Ender
10-06-2016, 01:43 PM
I have no idea who this guy is, but there is NO way this happens. This is nothing but some pipe dream of wishful thinking by someone who bought the Trump con. I'm sure that Trump University degree is going to make him rich, too.

Clinton will easily take PA and VA. IA, NH, NC, NV, and CO will be closer, but he'll lose those too. He may or may not take FL and OH. I'm still doubtful about OH since the GOP machine here isn't supporting him.

If you trick yourself into believing this stuff, I'm afraid you're going to have a really bad night in November... Ah, but maybe that's what it's going to take to make you see you've been conned.

I think Utah will be a toss-up as well. No one I know wants to vote for either Trump Or Hitlery

openfire
10-06-2016, 01:58 PM
I have no idea who this guy is

Yeah, you do... He's Bill Still. 2012 Libertarian Party candidate, lost to GJ. Creator of the famous video "Money Masters -History of the Federal Reserve".


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VfgVCDIrKYo


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ByFfzMORXSM

torchbearer
10-06-2016, 02:13 PM
using state by state polls on real clear politics-

https://scontent-dft4-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-0/s552x414/14492350_532802516919004_2655355212375244796_n.jpg ?oh=83f84f44415ab82af638eb98b43f3a54&oe=586B7CC3

Next week Ohio will be swinging blue making it even worse for Trump.

dannno
10-06-2016, 02:17 PM
Bill Still is pretty legit, I disagree with him on quite a few things but generally he is well researched. I'll have to watch this later.

kahless
10-06-2016, 02:22 PM
She may still win NY but I could see the county map of NY going mostly red except for the NYC boroughs, Albany and parts of Buffalo at this point.