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View Full Version : Gary Johnson now beating Clinton in Idaho!




RJ Liberty
09-15-2016, 04:19 AM
Gary's numbers in Idaho just picked up a lot of steam. The last few polls have shown ever-increasing numbers, despite the MSM black-out of third-party candidates. The radio ads in Idaho have been effective.

Aug 8 - Aug 31: 23% Clinton, 44% Trump, 13% Johnson
Aug 9 - Sept 1: 25% Clinton, 44% Trump, 19% Johnson
Sept 7 - Sept 13: 12% Clinton, 42% Trump, 17% Johnson


Johnson's also surging nationally, reaching 13% (https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us09142016_U27xtpb.pdf) in the latest Quinnipiac poll, released yesterday. Healthy poll numbers (11%-17%) in a bunch of other western and mid-western states (Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Indiana, Nevada, etc), according to the latest GCS poll.

69360
09-15-2016, 05:07 AM
What's interesting is that quinnipac has Johnson at 29% in 18-34 and 19% in 35-49.

That's got to give you some hope. Yeah Clinton is going to win and all, and kids don't vote. But when all the boomers die off and the millennials start voting, maybe the country isn't screwed?

RJ Liberty
09-15-2016, 07:56 AM
What's interesting is that quinnipac has Johnson at 29% in 18-34 and 19% in 35-49.

Yeah, his numbers among Millennials and Gen X are huge. If he could capture some Boomers, he'd be formidable.



That's got to give you some hope. Yeah Clinton is going to win and all, and kids don't vote. But when all the boomers die off and the millennials start voting, maybe the country isn't screwed?
Maybe. But when the millennials start voting, won't they start voting like boomers?

AZJoe
09-15-2016, 08:04 AM
Awesome

JohnM
09-15-2016, 08:07 AM
Johnson's also surging nationally, reaching 13% (https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us09142016_U27xtpb.pdf) in the latest Quinnipiac poll, released yesterday.

I think you exaggerate. According to RCP, of the four most recent 4 way polls, the Quinnipiac poll is the only one showing Johnson at over 10%. The other three have him at 5%, 7%, and 8%.

The average of the last 9 polls has Johnson at 8.3%

JohnM
09-15-2016, 08:17 AM
What's interesting is that quinnipac has Johnson at 29% in 18-34 and 19% in 35-49.



The figures are interesting:

18-34:
Clinton - 31%
Trump - 26%
Johnson - 29%
Stein - 15%

So a pretty close 3 way fight.

35-49
Clinton - 44%
Trump - 31%
Johnson - 19%
Stein - 2%

So the Stein vote disappears among the over 35s.

And once you get to the over 65s, the Johnson vote has pretty much disappeared as well.

Also interesting to see that in that poll, Johnson takes votes almost equally from Trump and Clinton.

adissa
09-15-2016, 08:39 AM
Can you say "President Donald J. Trump"? :D

Ender
09-15-2016, 09:37 AM
Most all of the younger voters I know are getting on the Johnson bandwagon.

EBounding
09-15-2016, 10:05 AM
I'll vote for Johnson if he commits more strongly to pardoning Snowden.

silverhandorder
09-15-2016, 10:56 AM
When voters are young they are more liberal. They turn more conservative with age.

angelatc
09-15-2016, 11:11 AM
I'll vote for Johnson if he commits more strongly to pardoning Snowden.

If he does that during the campaign, he will lose votes. Democrats and Republicans seem to agree that he is a traitor who should be shot. I am Team Edward, but realistically that is NOT something he should campaign on.

undergroundrr
09-15-2016, 11:34 AM
Can you say "President Donald J. Trump"? :D

trump supporters should be spending massive effort trying to sell Clinton-supporting acquaintances on voting for Johnson instead of Clinton. Tell them he's pro-choice, pro-immigration, pro-civil rights.

You'll never get a Clinton supporter to vote for trump, but you might get them to vote for Johnson.

eleganz
09-15-2016, 02:34 PM
I'll vote for Johnson if he commits more strongly to pardoning Snowden.

I remember hearing him saying this a few days ago and it sounded very firm...don't know what else you want him to do.

RJ Liberty
09-16-2016, 07:39 AM
If he does that during the campaign, he will lose votes. Democrats and Republicans seem to agree that he is a traitor who should be shot. I am Team Edward, but realistically that is NOT something he should campaign on.

^^ This.