csen
06-30-2007, 10:11 AM
In 2000 there were 205 million people of voting age in the US, 215 million by 2004. So for 2008 it'll likely be 225 million. I've also seen the stat somewhere that the primary turnout is roughly 20% in the US, so that takes us down to 45 million likely primary voters. Given apathy, especially on the Republican side, I don't think it's unreasonable to think that of this 45 million, 20 million will be Republican and 25 million will be Democrat in 2008. Let's also assume that Thompson, Giuliani, Romney, McCain, and Huckabee all stay in the race. Given the votes those guys are likely to split, we might only need a 30% share, or 6 million votes.
Let that sink in for a minute. Of the 225 million Americans of voting age, we might just have to get 6 million, or 2.7% of them, to vote for Ron Paul in the Republican primary. Is that really so impossible?
Let that sink in for a minute. Of the 225 million Americans of voting age, we might just have to get 6 million, or 2.7% of them, to vote for Ron Paul in the Republican primary. Is that really so impossible?