bc2208
12-08-2007, 03:13 AM
Finally, some usable data. Follow me through on this one.
All data taken from Newsweek poll pdf:
http://www.newsweek.com/media/75/0714_newsweek_poll.pdf
What's great about this poll is they give the data for all polled people, with subsections. This allows us to eliminate biases.
1408 people were polled, of which 5% supported Ron Paul. This is 70 voters.
Of the 275 likely Republican caucus-goers, 8%, or 22, support Paul.
What I've done is thrown away their idea of likely caucus goers, because we don't fit that definition. Every Paul supporter will vote!
NOW, we can fit all 70 Paul supporters into the likely Republicans group, and instead of 22 of 275, we have 70 of 323.
70/323 = 21.7%!
All data taken from Newsweek poll pdf:
http://www.newsweek.com/media/75/0714_newsweek_poll.pdf
What's great about this poll is they give the data for all polled people, with subsections. This allows us to eliminate biases.
1408 people were polled, of which 5% supported Ron Paul. This is 70 voters.
Of the 275 likely Republican caucus-goers, 8%, or 22, support Paul.
What I've done is thrown away their idea of likely caucus goers, because we don't fit that definition. Every Paul supporter will vote!
NOW, we can fit all 70 Paul supporters into the likely Republicans group, and instead of 22 of 275, we have 70 of 323.
70/323 = 21.7%!