Ted Cruz Needs 90% of Remaining Delegates (as of March 15th)

[Zippyjuan]

Trump needs 57% to clinch the nomination. Everybody else mathematically eliminated. Most contests from here on in are "winner take all".

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/15/donald-trump-just-gobbled-up-8-percent-more-of-the-delegates-he-needs-to-be-the-nominee/

https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=https://img.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/files/2016/03/Delegates_11.jpg&w=1484


The gray bars are where the candidates would be if they won every delegate after Tuesday.

Needless to say, that's unlikely. If no more delegates came in for any candidate tonight, Trump would need to more than two-thirds of the delegates from tomorrow onward to be the uncontested nominee, and Ted Cruz would need to win 90 percent of them. But there are still votes to be counted tonight. As it stands, Trump needs about 57 percent of every remaining delegate -- including the ones we know he'll add in Illinois -- to be the nominee for the Republican Party.

[Unknown.User]

..

[Jan2017]

Trump has half the delegates he needs (621/1237), and there are less than half still available (1134) to be decided . . .
New York is NOT winner take all(95 delegates), although the trumpettes probably wish it were.
Pennsylvania (only 14 bound) and Colorado make-up together nearly 90 totally unbound
Oregon, Washington, Rhode Island, West Virginia, New Mexico are proportional I believe.

Last 294 delegates decided on June 7 . . . Trump needs 54.3% of the 1134 now remaining available with these delegate totals

[otherone]

brokered convention.
hopefully, party splits.

[Cleaner44]

Trump has half the delegates he needs (621/1237), and there are less than half still available (1134) to be decided . . .
New York is NOT winner take all(95 delegates), although the trumpettes probably wish it were.
Pennsylvania (only 14 bound) and Colorado make-up together nearly 90 totally unbound
Oregon, Washington, Rhode Island, West Virginia, New Mexico are proportional I believe.

Last 294 delegates decided on June 7 . . . Trump needs 54.3% of the 1134 now remaining available with these delegate totals

According to Google, Trump has 661.
http://bfy.tw/4mWj

At this point Cruz staying in the race is blatantly a vindictive effort to derail the presumptive nominee. This certainly hasn't happened in recent history. The GOP establishment pushed Romney to drop out in early February, while it was still a competitive race.

I hope all of this causes Trump to smash the RNC and do as much damage as possible to the entrenched Republican crooks.

[klamath]

It all is going to depend on how Rubio and Kasich delegates break when the actual voting starts. If they break vastly for Cruz he doesn't need 90%

[CaptUSA]

brokered convention.
hopefully, party splits.

I agree. The best possible scenario for us (as I see it) would be:

No candidate reaches the threshold.
The rules committee makes some changes that piss off whoever loses.
They end up selecting someone other than Trump.
They lose the general to Hillary.
Hillary is left holding the economic hot potato and things begin to unravel.

Then, 2020 comes along. The public is sick of the Dems being in charge and want a change. The GOP is in disarray, but they can't blame their loss on Trump. (Which will happen if Trump is the nominee.) The GOP base is apoplectic at the party and wants a real anti-establishment candidate. The party wants to regain some sort of acceptance with their base. They begrudgingly accept the libertarian streak in the party and Rand takes the mantle.


Ahh... dreams....

[Chester Copperpot]

Acccording to Roger Stone Trump needs more than 1237... he needs 54% because the GOP has the equivalent of superdelegates even though they dont call them that.