Will Rand surprise in Iowa? Keep an eye on Rand Paul

[Joeinmo]

Another outlet says lookout for Rand in Iowa

http://rare.us/story/will-rand-paul-surprise-in-iowa/

[trey4sports]

I like it Joe!

[kbs021]

Yep!

[Brian4Liberty]

At this point, might be best to keep it quite. Stealth campaign on the ground. Eric Cantor never saw it coming...

[Crashland]

By the way, on a conference call today with supporters, Steve Munisteri said that they will be bringing a "special guest" to Iowa in the few days before the caucus which should help energize the base. I wonder who that could be :cool:

[LifeLibertyPursuit]

S B D, Rand is going to stink up the narratives for the media and pollsters when the final votes disprove their faulty logic and their bias gets displayed.

[Brett85]

By the way, on a conference call today with supporters, Steve Munisteri said that they will be bringing a "special guest" to Iowa in the few days before the caucus which should help energize the base. I wonder who that could be :cool:

Yes! That's what really needs to happen. The Des Moines Register poll showed that the people who voted for Ron in 2012 were only 5% of their poll. Many people here think that means that that poll is inaccurate and Rand should be much higher. But, someone pointed out to me in another forum that it could also mean that Ron Paul supporters aren't enthusiastic about Rand and are telling pollsters that they aren't going to vote in the caucus. If that's the case, it would really help a lot for Ron to campaign with Rand in the remaining days.

[kbs021]

I wish I was on that call!

[RonPaulRules]

Rand will 100% win in Iowa. 1st Place!

[Foreigner]

By the way, on a conference call today with supporters, Steve Munisteri said that they will be bringing a "special guest" to Iowa in the few days before the caucus which should help energize the base. I wonder who that could be :cool:

Jesse Benton??? or Matt Collins???

[kbs021]

This seems to correlate with what Billy Grant stated a week ago.. That could be perfect. 100 percent sure to get press that way.

[derek4ever]

At this point, might be best to keep it quite. Stealth campaign on the ground. Eric Cantor never saw it coming...

That's why I'm keeping my cards next to my chest. When we least expect it, a surprise will happen! ;)

[Indy Vidual]

1.5 weeks to go:
Who's making calls from home?

[erowe1]

S B D, Rand is going to stink up the narratives

I like how you kept the metaphor going there.

[opinionatedfool]

Jesse Benton??? or Matt Collins???

Lol, my first thought too!

[adam220891]

Jesse Benton??? or Matt Collins???

Talk about a let down.

[spudea]

Lets keep our heads out of the clouds. Fivethirtyeight aka Nate Silver is never wrong, has Rand's win chance at less than 1%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-republican/

[Peace&Freedom]

Jesse Benton??? or Matt Collins???

RON would be the best guy to excite Rand's supporters.

[derek4ever]

RON would be the best guy to excite Rand's supporters.

YUPPP!!! Only ron can bring the passionate base out!! :)

[Rudeman]

Lets keep our heads out of the clouds. Fivethirtyeight aka Nate Silver is never wrong, has Rand's win chance at less than 1%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-republican/

That's based on latest polls and can change. I doubt Nate Silver had Satorum's chances very high when he was polling around 5% in 2012.

[kbs021]

1.5 weeks to go:
Who's making calls from home?

Me too!

[LatinsforPaul]

689993643193712641

[kbs021]

Yep Thomas Massie will be there! Love that he has our back.

[simon1911]

Lets keep our heads out of the clouds. Fivethirtyeight aka Nate Silver is never wrong, has Rand's win chance at less than 1%

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...wa-republican/


That's based on latest polls and can change. I doubt Nate Silver had Satorum's chances very high when he was polling around 5% in 2012.

If you look at the current prediction, you'll see the latest polling was from Jan 5-10. This was before the, let's call it, debate-exclusion-gate. Early indication seems to point that Rand's polling has improved by skipping. Let's hope this holds true for future polls.

I found this on Nate Silver prediction for 2012 for Iowa.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/in-iowa-six-candidates-compete-to-beat-expectations/ which placed Mitt in the first place.

It will be intresting to see how Rand does in recent polling and how they change Nate Silver's prediction. I know that Nate Silver does well predicting the general election outcome but I wonder his accuracy for the party nominees.

[derek4ever]

1.5 weeks to go:
Who's making calls from home?

Still waiting for a reply. One of the people in charge of the FB page told me that there's something for me, so I'm antsy and keeping my mind open to different ideas! ;)

[PCKY]

By the way, on a conference call today with supporters, Steve Munisteri said that they will be bringing a "special guest" to Iowa in the few days before the caucus which should help energize the base. I wonder who that could be :cool:
And this from Thomas Massie...a big deal in the works? https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1151650818193264&set=a.205278132830542.51687.100000450716058&type=3

[Rudeman]

If you look at the current prediction, you'll see the latest polling was from Jan 5-10. This was before the, let's call it, debate-exclusion-gate. Early indication seems to point that Rand's polling has improved by skipping. Let's hope this holds true for future polls.

I found this on Nate Silver prediction for 2012 for Iowa.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/in-iowa-six-candidates-compete-to-beat-expectations/ which placed Mitt in the first place.

It will be intresting to see how Rand does in recent polling and how they change Nate Silver's prediction. I know that Nate Silver does well predicting the general election outcome but I wonder his accuracy for the party nominees.

I tried to find one a couple weeks before the caucus but this was the closest I could find. Santorum had 1.6% chance and Romney was at 10.6%

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/12/13/our-first-iowa-forecast-gingrich-leads-paul-gaining-race-still-wide-open/

[VictorB]

By the way, on a conference call today with supporters, Steve Munisteri said that they will be bringing a "special guest" to Iowa in the few days before the caucus which should help energize the base. I wonder who that could be :cool:

I just posted this in another thread but I'll post it here too: I have a theory where they don't want Ron in Iowa too early as to avoid any "negative" hit pieces (see racist news letters). I think Ron will hit Iowa 2-3 days before Feb 1st to give the base and fence sitters that extra push and yet not leave the enemy enough time to formulate any attacks.

It'll be huge to have him there right before the caucus. Might be just enough to get Rand between 1st and 2nd or 2nd and 3rd.

[trey4sports]

President Paul!

The liberty triad
Rand Paul, Thomas Massie, Ron Paul.

[FSP-Rebel]

RON would be the best guy to excite Rand's supporters.

There's your answer big timer.