eleganz
08-10-2015, 03:01 PM
This should be pretty common knowledge here. Trumps received over a billion dollars worth of free coverage, media has been talking about him non stop, you'd think that would somehow be the reason for his never ending climb in polling.
https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/silver-datalab-moartrump-1.png?w=610&h=543
If, like most Americans, you’ve been paying only passing attention to the GOP campaign, then pretty much the only candidate you’ll have been hearing about is Trump. According to data compiled by the Media Research Center, Trump has received more network news coverage than Jeb Bush, Scott Walker and Marco Rubio combined. So if a pollster calls you and rattles off 17 names, and there are six or seven candidates you like well enough, which name might you mention when asked for your first choice? Possibly Trump, since his name will be top-of-mind. There’s a near-perfect correlation, in fact1 between how much news coverage a candidate has received and where they rank in recent national polls:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-six-stages-of-doom/
https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/silver-datalab-moartrump-1.png?w=610&h=543
If, like most Americans, you’ve been paying only passing attention to the GOP campaign, then pretty much the only candidate you’ll have been hearing about is Trump. According to data compiled by the Media Research Center, Trump has received more network news coverage than Jeb Bush, Scott Walker and Marco Rubio combined. So if a pollster calls you and rattles off 17 names, and there are six or seven candidates you like well enough, which name might you mention when asked for your first choice? Possibly Trump, since his name will be top-of-mind. There’s a near-perfect correlation, in fact1 between how much news coverage a candidate has received and where they rank in recent national polls:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-six-stages-of-doom/