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View Full Version : US retail sales jump in a sign of freer-spending consumers




Zippyjuan
06-11-2015, 11:46 AM
http://www.stltoday.com/business/national-and-international/us-retail-sales-jump-in-a-sign-of-freer-spending/article_dc53d67f-2da8-51b2-8e40-b966a0c7d320.html


WASHINGTON • Americans stepped up their spending at retailers in May, especially for autos, clothes and building materials, in a sign that strong job growth has begun to boost store sales.

Retail sales rose at a seasonally adjusted 1.2 percent annual rate after a 0.2 percent gain in April, the Commerce Department said Thursday. Over the past 12 months, sales have risen a solid 2.7 percent.

The upswing in shopping reflects greater confidence in an economy still shaking off the ravages of a recession that officially ended six years ago. Employers have added more than 3 million jobs over the past year. Yet until last month, many workers appeared to be saving as much of their paychecks as they could.

"The whole package is looking heartier," said Jennifer Lee, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets. "Robust job growth, near decade-high auto sales, revolving credit rising at its second-fastest pace in eight years, and now, solid retail sales."

Excluding the volatile categories of autos, gas, building materials and restaurants, so-called core retail sales — which factor into the government's official measure of economic growth — rose at a solid 0.7 percent annual rate in May.

Some economists saw the increase as evidence of stronger economic growth during the current April-June quarter than earlier assumed. Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, responded to the report by suggesting that annualized second quarter growth could approach a healthy 3 percent annual rate.

Spending at auto dealers and building materials stores jumped at a 2 percent annual rate in May, evidence that consumers are making longer-term investments in their homes and cars.

More at link.

oyarde
06-11-2015, 11:47 PM
Actually , we are probably one event away about ea April from the next recession starting since it would only need a quarter like the one previous .... things must be boomimg .

Zippyjuan
06-12-2015, 12:58 PM
Officially, a recession is two consecutive quarters of economic (GDP) contraction. First quarter was barely up and may be revised higher. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/10/us-usa-economy-growth-idUSKBN0OQ1VL20150610

oyarde
06-12-2015, 11:13 PM
I imagine the first two quarters of the calendar yr.'s of 2014 & 2015 were , really , easily negative , Therefore , I stand by my statement , that you are about one , April , event of some type until the next recession , " officially starts , until all that data is ,released and moved the usual down around some July . That is just how great the economy really is .Basically it sucks , has been continued stagnation since the last downturn and I expect nothing else until the next downturn .

oyarde
06-12-2015, 11:14 PM
These could be remembered as the " great times " and probably will .

randomname
06-13-2015, 01:49 AM
with an adjustment factor (seasonally adjusted annual sales / unadjusted annual sales) of 275% in May 2015. Unadjusted retail sales rose by just 1.0%, the worst monthly print in over two years.

Just compare that 275% to adjustment factors of:

91% in 2014
86% in 2013
73% in 2012
101% in 2011
114% in 2010
86% in 2009
78% in 2008