Bradley in DC
06-27-2007, 10:12 PM
June 27, 2007 - Giuliani Slipping In Swing States As Clinton, Thompson Gain, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds --- FLORIDA: Giuliani 48 - Clinton 42; OHIO: Clinton ties Giuliani 43 - 43; PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton, Giuliani tied at 45 (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1079&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0)
[my summary: Paul at 2% in FL (3% among men), not registering in OH and PA (down from 1% in May).]
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Gingrich 7 6 5
Giuliani 27 25 29
Huckabee 1 2 1
Hunter - - -
McCain 13 16 15
Paul 2 - -
Romney 6 7 3
Tancredo 1 - -
Thompson, F. 21 17 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3
DK/NA 18 22 24
WITHOUT McCAIN (Based on second choice of McCain supporters)
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Gingrich 7 7 6
Giuliani 33 31 34
Huckabee 1 3 1
Hunter - - -
Paul 2 - -
Romney 6 8 5
Tancredo 1 - -
Thompson, F. 22 18 17
Thompson, T. 2 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3
DK/NA 21 26 28
WITHOUT GINGRICH (Based on second choice of Gingrich supporters)
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Giuliani 29 26 29
Huckabee 1 2 1
Hunter - - -
McCain 13 16 16
Paul 2 - -
Romney 8 8 4
Tancredo 1 1 -
Thompson, F. 22 18 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3
DK/NA 19 23 25
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................
WtBrnAgn Jun 7
FL......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback - - - - 1
Gilmore - - - - -
Gingrich 7 10 3 7 7
Giuliani 27 27 26 26 31
Huckabee 1 - 1 1 -
Hunter - - - - 1
McCain 13 14 12 8 10
Paul 2 3 - - -
Romney 6 6 5 4 8
Tancredo 1 2 - 1 -
Thompson, F. 21 22 20 24 14
Thompson, T. 1 1 - 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 4 - 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 1 4 3
DK/NA 18 10 27 24 21
WtBrnAgn May 16
OH......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback - - - - -
Gilmore - - - - -
Gingrich 6 8 3 7 6
Giuliani 25 25 25 24 23
Huckabee 2 3 2 4 2
Hunter - - - - -
McCain 16 13 18 16 17
Paul - - - - -
Romney 7 7 7 7 11
Tancredo - - - - -
Thompson, F. 17 24 9 14 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1 - 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 2
DK/NA 22 13 31 24 18
WtBrnAgn May 31
PA......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Gilmore 1 2 - 2 -
Gingrich 5 5 4 8 8
Giuliani 29 28 30 27 28
Huckabee 1 1 1 2 1
Hunter - - - - -
McCain 15 15 15 17 11
Paul - - - - 1
Romney 3 3 4 3 9
Tancredo - - - - 1
Thompson, F. 15 19 10 15 10
Thompson, T. 1 2 - - -
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 4 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 5 3
DK/NA 24 20 28 19 23
[my summary: Paul at 2% in FL (3% among men), not registering in OH and PA (down from 1% in May).]
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Gingrich 7 6 5
Giuliani 27 25 29
Huckabee 1 2 1
Hunter - - -
McCain 13 16 15
Paul 2 - -
Romney 6 7 3
Tancredo 1 - -
Thompson, F. 21 17 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3
DK/NA 18 22 24
WITHOUT McCAIN (Based on second choice of McCain supporters)
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Gingrich 7 7 6
Giuliani 33 31 34
Huckabee 1 3 1
Hunter - - -
Paul 2 - -
Romney 6 8 5
Tancredo 1 - -
Thompson, F. 22 18 17
Thompson, T. 2 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3
DK/NA 21 26 28
WITHOUT GINGRICH (Based on second choice of Gingrich supporters)
FL OH PA
Brownback - - 1%
Gilmore - - 1
Giuliani 29 26 29
Huckabee 1 2 1
Hunter - - -
McCain 13 16 16
Paul 2 - -
Romney 8 8 4
Tancredo 1 1 -
Thompson, F. 22 18 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3
DK/NA 19 23 25
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, Fred Thompson and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote?
REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................
WtBrnAgn Jun 7
FL......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback - - - - 1
Gilmore - - - - -
Gingrich 7 10 3 7 7
Giuliani 27 27 26 26 31
Huckabee 1 - 1 1 -
Hunter - - - - 1
McCain 13 14 12 8 10
Paul 2 3 - - -
Romney 6 6 5 4 8
Tancredo 1 2 - 1 -
Thompson, F. 21 22 20 24 14
Thompson, T. 1 1 - 1 1
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 4 - 3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 1 4 3
DK/NA 18 10 27 24 21
WtBrnAgn May 16
OH......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback - - - - -
Gilmore - - - - -
Gingrich 6 8 3 7 6
Giuliani 25 25 25 24 23
Huckabee 2 3 2 4 2
Hunter - - - - -
McCain 16 13 18 16 17
Paul - - - - -
Romney 7 7 7 7 11
Tancredo - - - - -
Thompson, F. 17 24 9 14 15
Thompson, T. 1 1 1 - 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 - 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 2
DK/NA 22 13 31 24 18
WtBrnAgn May 31
PA......................Tot Men Wom Evnglcl 2007
Brownback 1% 1% - 1% 1%
Gilmore 1 2 - 2 -
Gingrich 5 5 4 8 8
Giuliani 29 28 30 27 28
Huckabee 1 1 1 2 1
Hunter - - - - -
McCain 15 15 15 17 11
Paul - - - - 1
Romney 3 3 4 3 9
Tancredo - - - - 1
Thompson, F. 15 19 10 15 10
Thompson, T. 1 2 - - -
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 4 1 2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 5 3
DK/NA 24 20 28 19 23