2014 Battle For The Senate - Official Thread

[Matt Collins]

Here are Nate Silver's predictions:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast/


Here is RCP:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html


Looks like the following states are in play:

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Alaska
Louisana
Georgia
Arkansas
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Kentucky

[Matt Collins]

bump

[Aratus]

I'm going to drumrolls call NEW HAMPSHIRE... Matt!!!
i really think Mr. RomneyCare Personified is going to
trounce Ms. PartyLoyal ObamaCare by a slight margin.
Thanks for bumping the thread. i feel that it adds to
today's excitement. Gotta luv our Liberty Hobbit! :toady:

[Anti Federalist]

I'm going to drumrolls call NEW HAMPSHIRE... Matt!!!
i really think Mr. RomneyCare Personified is going to
trounce Ms. PartyLoyal ObamaCare by a slight margin.
Thanks for bumping the thread. i feel that it adds to
today's excitement. Gotta luv our Liberty Hobbit! :toady:

Shaheen will win re-election handily.

[limequat]

I'm having trouble caring.

So what if the R's gain the senate? I'll eat my shorts if we actually get an up/down vote on audit the fed, even with Reid out.

[green73]

I can't wait til the Republicans take over and do absolutely nothing but increase the scope of government.

[Brett85]

I hope the Republicans win so that Rand's Supreme Court nominees will get confirmed when he becomes President.

[Matt Collins]

I can't wait til the Republicans take over and do absolutely nothing but increase the scope of government.If they were like they were in the late 90's, while they may not go in reverse they may at least slow down the growth slightly.

[green73]

If they were like they were in the late 90's, while they may not go in reverse they may at least slow down the growth slightly.

That sounds orgasmic. Where can I vote?

[Occam's Banana]

I can't wait til the Republicans take over and do absolutely nothing but increase the scope of government.


If they were like they were in the late 90's, while they may not go in reverse they may at least slow down the growth slightly.

So, in other words: if they are like they were in the late '90s, they will increase the scope of government - just like green said ...

[Bastiat's The Law]

South Dakota is coming into play for the democrats because the republican is a real stinker.

[Matt Collins]

So, in other words: if they are like they were in the late '90s, they will increase the scope of government - just like green said ...
At a slower rate at least :(

[limequat]

I plan to vote libertarian. Randpac is pushing hard to support the Rs, but I just don't care about them.

[nobody's_hero]

If they were like they were in the late 90's, while they may not go in reverse they may at least slow down the growth slightly.

And if they were like they were in the 2000's . . .

Let's face it, there haven't been enough leadership changes in the past decade or so within the GOP to make a rat's dick of difference if the GOP regains the majority.

John Boehner still in charge? Check.
Mitch McConnell? Check.
Reince Priebus? Does anyone even care about him? No? Well, check anyway because the only time he does anything noticeable is when he's trying to block the liberty movement.

So there you have it. The GOP's lead-off hitters are the same ones who blew the world series before spring training even started the last time around. I've been trying to advocate we do everything politically possible to remove them from their ivory towers, but, ehem, we gotta 'play ball' or something.

[Aratus]

sad but true...

[Matt Collins]

https://scontent-b-dfw.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/10626520_912609482099686_2037158094200267774_n.png ?oh=adbee1cde3859e9276f33183bcf33f8d&oe=54F7A486

[Vanguard101]

At a slower rate at least :(
This didn't actually happen tbh

[thoughtomator]

It's going to be a massive wipeout for the Dems. I predict 53-54 GOP seats, and I think that's probably a conservative estimate. Only unprecedented election fraud can stop the sick-of-Obama train.

[muzzled dogg]

Shaheen will win re-election handily.


Shaheen will win re-election handily.

I'm not so sure about this. I think Brown (and Guinta) can win

[Lord Xar]

Voting machines flipping votes to democrat
Crazy marxist stuffing ballots
~5% New deferred status illegals are shown to be registered to vote.

Republicans are not gonna gain control. There will be feigned surprise at the "close" races and how dems have
Lost some ground but miraculously held control.

[Matt Collins]

one week to go

[jllundqu]

I predict a 50/50 split in the Senate with VP Biden holding the ring of power for the next 2 years!

[jllundqu]

I think republicans are overconfident. Either way, whether or not they regain the senate, liberty loses. The GOP has shit and pissed on everything I hold sacred too many times for me to drink their kewl aid again... And I sure as hell don't want to hear the "lesser of two evils" argument. I'd rather have liberal democrats in 100% control than flipping back and forth and dying slowly. The sooner we hit the reset button on this failed experiment, the better.

[Bastiat's The Law]

I'm still bummed we didn't get Brannon the nomination in North Carolina. Tillis is such a terribly milquetoast candidate he's actually down in the polling!

[invisible]

I'm still bummed we didn't get Brannon the nomination in North Carolina. Tillis is such a terribly milquetoast candidate he's actually down in the polling!

I know what you mean. OK will have Senator wankford instead of Randy Brogdon. Then in AR, there's tom cotton becoming firmly entrenched as a Senator as well. Not to mention MS. Hopefully we can at least get more Liberty Candidates into our State Legislatures to offset these sort of setbacks.

[William Tell]

Gridlock beats 1 party rule, but none of the GOP senate nominees deserve a liberty supporter's vote.

[TaftFan]

I know what you mean. OK will have Senator wankford instead of Randy Brogdon. Then in AR, there's tom cotton becoming firmly entrenched as a Senator as well. Not to mention MS. Hopefully we can at least get more Liberty Candidates into our State Legislatures to offset these sort of setbacks.

I guess the good thing is that Brannon, McDaniel, and Wolf are primed to win something in 2016. Maybe Miller will run for House if Don Young retires.

[Matt Collins]

I just saw an article that NM is in play

[Brett85]

The most important races of the night for the liberty movement might be in the Kentucky house. We need the GOP to take the Kentucky house so that they can pass a law allowing Rand to run for the Senate and the Presidency at the same time.

[Matt Collins]

Republicans forecast to win 5 state Senates and 9 state Houses:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/10/31/republicans-forecast-to-win-5-state-senates-and-9-state-houses/

[Brian4Liberty]

I'm still bummed we didn't get Brannon the nomination in North Carolina. Tillis is such a terribly milquetoast candidate he's actually down in the polling!

Tillis always had big negative numbers, even amongst the GOP. If Hagan wins, it is the fault of Karl Rove and the corrupt crony establishment. This should have been an easy race to win for the GOP, and would have been if the GOP candidate was someone other than Tillis.

[A Son of Liberty]

If they were like they were in the late 90's, while they may not go in reverse they may at least slow down the growth slightly.

Are you actually fucking kidding me? You rush into every anti-voting, anti-state thread to parrot your nonsense about "winning at their game", and this is what we stand to gain? It would be BETTER for the out-and-out spenders to win, if that's the case!! Better to bring about the ultimate collapse than painfully prolong it. That's what you're selling us?!

[erowe1]

What's this thread about? The 2 big political parties?

[r3volution 3.0]

I can't wait til the Republicans take over and do absolutely nothing but increase the scope of government.

Me too.

That will make the base angry with the leadership, giving a certain anti-establishment candidate from Kentucky a better shot in 2016.

[Pauls' Revere]

I'm having trouble caring.

So what if the R's gain the senate? I'll eat my shorts if we actually get an up/down vote on audit the fed, even with Reid out.

Yep, could really care less the GOP is as crappy as the DEMS.

[parocks]

Are you actually fucking kidding me? You rush into every anti-voting, anti-state thread to parrot your nonsense about "winning at their game", and this is what we stand to gain? It would be BETTER for the out-and-out spenders to win, if that's the case!! Better to bring about the ultimate collapse than painfully prolong it. That's what you're selling us?!

I think you're mistaken about what "the ultimate collapse" means.

It's better to avoid making things suck more on purpose.

[Matt Collins]

Are you actually fucking kidding me? You rush into every anti-voting, anti-state thread to parrot your nonsense about "winning at their game", and this is what we stand to gain? It would be BETTER for the out-and-out spenders to win, if that's the case!! Better to bring about the ultimate collapse than painfully prolong it. That's what you're selling us?!No, again, go back and read what I wrote... this is a multi-decade process, things won't change overnight. The first thing to dismantling a 1000 story building that should only be 100 stories is to slow down the construction then stop the construction. After that we can work on getting it back to the proper size.

[Anti Federalist]

No, again, go back and read what I wrote... this is a multi-decade process, things won't change overnight. The first thing to dismantling a 1000 story building that should only be 100 stories is to slow down the construction then stop the construction. After that we can work on getting it back to the proper size.

This is how you dismantle a 1000 story building.

http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view1/1654515/wtc7-controlled-demolition-o.gif

[Occam's Banana]

This is how you dismantle a 1000 story building.

http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view1/1654515/wtc7-controlled-demolition-o.gif

http://media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/736x/fe/5a/f8/fe5af82d99f564684c97e78e0a531270.jpg


You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to Anti Federalist again.

[Matt Collins]

This is how you dismantle a 1000 story building.

I said dismantle, not destroy.

[Occam's Banana]

I said dismantle, not destroy.

http://www.pelgranepress.com/birds/comics/327%20Semantic%20quibble.png

[erowe1]

No, again, go back and read what I wrote... this is a multi-decade process, things won't change overnight. The first thing to dismantling a 1000 story building that should only be 100 stories is to slow down the construction then stop the construction. After that we can work on getting it back to the proper size.

I don't see how what you say here has anything to do with this thread.

[A Son of Liberty]

http://www.pelgranepress.com/birds/comics/327%20Semantic%20quibble.png

lol!


You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to Occam's Banana again.

[A Son of Liberty]

I don't see how what you say here has anything to do with this thread.

I don't see how anything Matt has ever said here has anything to do with anything.

[Anti-Neocon]

No, again, go back and read what I wrote... this is a multi-decade process, things won't change overnight. The first thing to dismantling a 1000 story building that should only be 100 stories is to slow down the construction then stop the construction. After that we can work on getting it back to the proper size.
Cotton and Sullivan are like TNT used for a full-blown implosion.

[GunnyFreedom]

I'm still bummed we didn't get Brannon the nomination in North Carolina. Tillis is such a terribly milquetoast candidate he's actually down in the polling!

You can thank Karl Rove personally for that one, and Tillis always was the weakest candidate in the Primary field. Most of us knew he would lose to Hagan the moment he got nominated.

[lx43]

I don't have anyone worth voting for in my area.

[invisible]

I don't have anyone worth voting for in my area.

Then why aren't you or another nearby Ron Paul supporter running?

[GunnyFreedom]

Then why aren't you or another nearby Ron Paul supporter running?

cha-ching.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0kcet4aPpQ

[Matt Collins]

Only a few hours to go

[milgram]

What's the story on Gardner in Colorado? I know Udall was often a wingman for Ron Wyden on Intelligence Committee civil liberties issues.

EDIT: Looks like he's a mixed bag: http://www.thenewamerican.com/freedomindex/profile.php?id=G000562

[Anti-Neocon]

What's the story on Gardner in Colorado? I know Udall was often a wingman for Ron Wyden on Intelligence Committee civil liberties issues.

EDIT: Looks like he's a mixed bag: http://www.thenewamerican.com/freedomindex/profile.php?id=G000562
Gardner is your typical Republican pretty much (aka a worthless traitor). I'd rather Udall's voice stay in the Senate.

[AuH20]

What's the story on Gardner in Colorado? I know Udall was often a wingman for Ron Wyden on Intelligence Committee civil liberties issues.

EDIT: Looks like he's a mixed bag: http://www.thenewamerican.com/freedomindex/profile.php?id=G000562

Both Udall and Gardener suck. Gardner is a Paul Ryan clone.

[jurgs01]

https://www.facebook.com/candidates4libertydotcom/posts/313383805513795

Do your research before voting!!!
People we consider liberty candidates:
http://www.candidates4liberty.com/national-liberty-candidates.html
http://www.candidates4liberty.com/state-liberty-candidates.html
http://www.candidates4liberty.com/local-liberty-candidates.html

People we consider fellow travelers:
http://www.candidates4liberty.com/national-fellow-travelers-1.html
http://www.candidates4liberty.com/state-fellow-travelers.html

A good resource from New Hampshire:
http://www.libertyballot.com/

A link to the answers from Campaign for Liberty surveys:
http://www.campaignforliberty.org/surveys/

A list of third party candidates (we have only vetted the ones we list on our liberty candidates page, so do your own research):
https://www.lp.org/candidates-14
http://www.constitutionparty.com/get-involved/election-central/

[Matt Collins]

Toady's the day

[philipped]

I'm still bummed we didn't get Brannon the nomination in North Carolina. Tillis is such a terribly milquetoast candidate he's actually down in the polling!

Brannon could've beat Hagan. Sean Haugh would have my vote if I lived there personally tho.

[sluggo]

NC Senate race was about teachers, women, teachers, obamacare, and teachers.

Hagan will win tonight.

[Matt Collins]

looks like Crist will win FL

[Matt Collins]

Looks like Mitch won

[jkob]

Tom Cotton wins in Arkansas

yuck

[Matt Collins]

Tom Cotton wins in Arkansas

yuckA Republican state in a Republican year? Yeah that was a foregone conclusion...

[jkob]

Scott Brown loses but Ed Gillepsie is looking good in Virginia, running ahead of Cuccinelli

[HVACTech]

that was the one I held my nose for...

I got carried away after that... and voted straight Libertarian/independent.... :)

[thoughtomator]

Scott Brown loses but Ed Gillepsie is looking good in Virginia, running ahead of Cuccinelli

Gillespie is one Republican who is definitely worse for us than his Democrat opponent. He is war-party tyrannical corporatism on steroids, and an extremely dangerous character.

[HVACTech]

Tom Cotton wins in Arkansas

yuck

oh yeah. keeping pryor would have been a better choice....

-rep

[Nic]

Gillespie is one Republican who is definitely worse for us than his Democrat opponent. He is war-party tyrannical corporatism on steroids, and an extremely dangerous character.

Not sure I can differentiate between him and Warner after reading that lol I voted for Sarvis.

[mad cow]

Scott Brown loses but Ed Gillepsie is looking good in Virginia, running ahead of Cuccinelli

That would be running against Warner.

[anaconda]

https://scontent-b-dfw.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-xfp1/v/t1.0-9/10626520_912609482099686_2037158094200267774_n.png ?oh=adbee1cde3859e9276f33183bcf33f8d&oe=54F7A486

MN? Isn't Franken up by 11% in the polls?

[thoughtomator]

That would be running against Warner.

He's comparing to the results of last year's race for Governor, which was quite close. As the big Dem counties all turn in their results last, where Gillespie stands vs. Cuccinelli at the same level of precincts reporting is significant.

Gillespie winning would be extremely bad for us. He is the type of GOP-e that finds us a bigger threat than the Democrats and acts accordingly.

[Matt Collins]

Looks like some of these are too close to call

[mad cow]

Looks like they have called a Cassidy-Landrieu runoff in La.

[Matt Collins]

Looks like they have called a Cassidy-Landrieu runoff in La.
Yeah that could be the most expensive runoff in the history of the US

[green73]

Freedom has never been so free. o_O

[jkob]

Yeah that could be the most expensive runoff in the history of the US

I don't think Dems will go all in on it unless control of the senate is it at stake, I think the GOP takes it tonight.

[HVACTech]

Freedom has never been so free. o_O

I got a neg rep for helping to win a senate seat. (I also had to hold my nose when I cast the vote)

such is Life. :)

[thoughtomator]

Yeah that could be the most expensive runoff in the history of the US

I don't see why the Dems would spend a dime on it. Landrieu is toast even with a billion dollars to spend on the runoff. Sitting Senator polling at 41%, way below the Incumbent Threshold of Doom (45%). Nothing she can do will win the runoff for her.

[enhanced_deficit]

I got a neg rep for helping to win a senate seat. (I also had to hold my nose when I cast the vote)

such is Life. :)

Don't sweat it :)

[Matt Collins]

I wonder if we'll get a vote on Audit The Fed now?

[Anti Federalist]

I wonder if we'll get a vote on Audit The Fed now?

Hahahahahahahahah!

[Occam's Banana]

I wonder if we'll get a vote on Audit The Fed now?


Hahahahahahahahah!

Oh, there might be a vote on it - and something called "Audit the Fed" might even pass.

But the chances of such a thing actually resulting in a genuine audit of the Federal Reserve is about as likely as the "Affordable Care Act" resulting in affordable health care ...

[enhanced_deficit]

We won.

[kcchiefs6465]

I got a neg rep for helping to win a senate seat. (I also had to hold my nose when I cast the vote)

such is Life. :)
You voted for Tom Cotton?

Jesus Christ this country is fucked.