Ohio (Quinnipiac): Clinton 46, Paul 42 - Everyone else FAR behind

[LibertyEsq]

Ohio Poll just released today by Quinnipiac:

Clinton: 46 (+4)
Paul: 42

Rand is tied with Clinton among voters ages 18-29, 44-44

Clinton: 48 (+11)
Bush: 37

Clinton: 46 (+9)
Christie: 37

Clinton : 47 (+7)
Kasich: 40

Margin of Error: +/- 2.7%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2066


"Secretary Clinton, on the other hand, is almost everyone's favorite candidate. She squeaks past U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and easily defeats each of the other Republicans she is matched against..."

[PaleoPaul]

I'd like to know the MOE.

[LibertyEsq]

I'd like to know the MOE.

Sorry, edited. 2.7 as per the article.

[Shane Harris]

More good swing state polling. Colorado, Iowa, Ohio.. Rand is the most competitive and the most ELECTABLE republican in swing states. Spread the word.

[supermario21]

FWIW, Quinnipiac's last 2 Ohio polls had Rand down 10 and 8, respectively. The big difference is with young people.

[PaleoPaul]

We need to start making inroads with the middle aged and the elderly.

[William Tell]

We need to start making inroads with the middle aged and the elderly.

And the chicks.

[philipped]

More good swing state polling. Colorado, Iowa, Ohio.. Rand is the most competitive and the most ELECTABLE republican in swing states. Spread the word.

10-4

[philipped]

We need to start making inroads with the middle aged and the elderly.

This would turn it into a "wide margin" in polls a month or two after he successfully does that, I say once that has been achieved, it's officially GAME ON. No slowing down from here.

[Michael Landon]

We need to start making inroads with the middle aged and the elderly.

No we don't, most of them will be dead before the 2016 election anyway.

- ML

[supermario21]

Let's be honest. Clinton's poll numbers are inflated largely due to memories of her husband and the fact that she hasn't been out on the political trail lately. As soon as people realize she is not late 90s Bill, her numbers will tank, especially with the older people who are more conservative anyways.

[PaleoPaul]

Let's be honest. Clinton's poll numbers are inflated largely due to memories of her husband and the fact that she hasn't been out on the political trail lately. As soon as people realize she is not late 90s Bill, her numbers will tank, especially with the older people who are more conservative anyways.
THIS.

[philipped]

Let's be honest. Clinton's poll numbers are inflated largely due to memories of her husband and the fact that she hasn't been out on the political trail lately. As soon as people realize she is not late 90s Bill, her numbers will tank, especially with the older people who are more conservative anyways.

Best theory to bet on if you're thinking she wont run. Let's hope the electorate taps into this thinking come the end of this year.

[Okaloosa]

By a 52 - 43 percent margin, Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. For Republicans, favorability ratings are:
Negative 29 - 35 percent for Bush;
35 - 30 percent for Paul;
34 percent favorable to 36 percent unfavorable for Christie;
46 - 30 percent for Kasich.

Paul gets 44 percent of independent voters to Clinton's 41 percent, but she leads other candidates among this pivotal group by margins of 6 to 14 percentage points.

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?

------- Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+

Clinton 46 08 88 41 37 55 44 49 47 44
---Paul 42 81 05 44 52 33 44 39 42 45



Most notable of this is that Rand is tied for 18-29 considering how well Obama did with them but those voters may have just shifted into the 30-49 age which is Rand's worst age group.

Rand did best of the Republicans with 18-29, Democrats, Men, 50-64, 2nd for 30-49, 2nd for 65+ winning by 1 and only behind OH's governor.

Compared to Bush, Christie, and Kasich Rand did worst with Republicans and with women.

All in all this is a good poll that shows Rand can win provided the GOP doesn't destroy him and he can improve with women and the elderly.

[Bastiat's The Law]

We should keep a map of the Paul vs. Clinton numbers in every state as these polls roll out with more frequency now.

[anaconda]

More good swing state polling. Colorado, Iowa, Ohio.. Rand is the most competitive and the most ELECTABLE republican in swing states. Spread the word.

The ultimate irony would be that, by the time of the Democratic primaries, Democratic voters say they will not vote for Hillary because "she can't win." Perhaps someone like O'Malley or Warren will be polling much stronger against Paul. Who knows what will happen in 18 months?

[Crashland]

The ultimate irony would be that, by the time of the Democratic primaries, Democratic voters say they will not vote for Hillary because "she can't win." Perhaps someone like O'Malley or Warren will be polling much stronger against Paul. Who knows what will happen in 18 months?

I agree - Clinton is not a done deal. Her numbers are bound to tank, the only question in my mind is whether that will happen before or after the democrats seal up their nomination.

[alucard13mm]

I still thought Mrs. Paul would've helped Ron with the female vote :p.. I think she should come back and help her son win some female votes, particularly the older women.

You want to humanize the politician and having a motherly figure and/or wife is good. You don't want a robot, like Romney.

It will be a battle for women. We all know a lot of voters will vote for Hillary just because she has a uterus and that is just messed up. We all know Hillary will win those votes, but we must siphon some away.

[PaleoPaul]

Yeah, exactly. Plus, Ann Romney didn't exactly come off as very "human" herself.

I think both Mrs. Pauls (his mom and his wife) have a VERY human persona and would connect very well with female voters.

[Koz]

Hillary won't be the nominee.

[willwash]

Bias due to proximity to Kentucky?

[Galileo Galilei]

Ohio Poll just released today by Quinnipiac:

Clinton: 46 (+4)
Paul: 42

Rand is tied with Clinton among voters ages 18-29, 44-44

Clinton: 48 (+11)
Bush: 37

Clinton: 46 (+9)
Christie: 37

Clinton : 47 (+7)
Kasich: 40

Margin of Error: +/- 2.7%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/ohio/release-detail?ReleaseID=2066

I don't see Bush, Christie or Kasich running for president with these horrible numbers.

[Bastiat's The Law]

Yeah, exactly. Plus, Ann Romney didn't exactly come off as very "human" herself.

I think both Mrs. Pauls (his mom and his wife) have a VERY human persona and would connect very well with female voters.

Kelly Paul will be able to connect with female voters much better than Ann Romney, who comes across as a Stepford Wife.

[Bastiat's The Law]

Hillary won't be the nominee.

Okay, who will the Dems nominate?

[Crashland]

Okay, who will the Dems nominate?

If they were smart they would nominate Cory Booker. But I think he has his sights set beyond 2016