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View Full Version : NH to Utah: The first-in-the-nation primary is ours, back off




Keith and stuff
03-09-2014, 12:00 AM
NH to Utah: The first-in-the-nation primary is ours, back off
By Thomas Burr
The Salt Lake Tribune
First Published Mar 06 2014 01:09 pm • Last Updated Mar 06 2014 09:50 pm
http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/politics/57642646-90/hampshire-primary-states-utah.html.csp

It should be noted that NH created and popularized the primary system. Before NH did that, party bosses decided the candidates in smoke filled rooms. If that environment existed in 2008 or 2012, Ron Paul wouldn't have even run. This website wouldn't even exist if NH didn't popularize the current system.

As for Utah, it had the MOST lopsided primary in 2012. If anything, it should be punished and made the last primary state. 93% of the votes and 100% of the delegates all went to the same candidate in UT. In fact, this bill is a sad embarrassment not just to the people of Utah, but all of the decent people in the nation. I don't think we in IA and NH (now Rand Paul supporters everywhere) have anything to worry about by this laughable bill. Still, it is good to be aware of it.

I quote most but not all of the article. Click the link to read the rest.


New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner is urging Utah lawmakers to reject a bill that would try to put the Beehive State ahead of Iowa or New Hampshire in the presidential primary race, arguing that New Hampshire’s 100-year-old contest is the best test of candidates.

A House committee this week advanced HB410, providing that if Utah wanted to fund an early presidential primary, it must do so a week before any similar balloting. It’s a clear shot at New Hampshire and Iowa, both of which grab the attention of the national news media and major candidates for months. Rep. Jon Cox, R-Ephraim, says it’s unfair for those two states to always get the spotlight and Utah could actually play a role in electing the next president.

But Gardner, who by law must place the New Hampshire primary a week before any similar contest, says his state’s contest allows all candidates to compete on the same level, working town markets and holding house parties instead of campaigning through major television ads and fly-in-fly-out stump speeches.

"I’ve heard the arguments over the years and I wish they wouldn’t," Gardner said when told about the Utah bill. "I would hope that another state wouldn’t do it."

There are benefits to holding the first contests in the presidential race, and New Hampshire is full of reminders of them. Walk into a diner in Manchester and you’ll find pictures of the owner with a variety of presidents and presidential wannabes, small-town newspapers command serious attention from candidates and voters get ample opportunities to ask specific questions of those they may vote for.

It’s a unique situation that now begins with Iowa, moves to New Hampshire, then South Carolina and Nevada. Being first can’t be beat, say political observers.

"If you want to get the prettiest girl, always best to get to the dance early," says Mark McKinnon, a former senior adviser to President George W. Bush’s campaigns and the co-founder of the No Labels effort.

Cox, a freshman lawmaker appointed, says other states need to stop letting Iowa and New Hampshire control the process of picking presidential nominees. It’s gone on far too long, he said.

"The reason for this bill, is in my mind, our presidential nominating process is blatantly discriminatory," Cox said during a committee hearing this week. "I believe it creates second-class states."

There are, however, consequences for jumping ahead.

The Republican National Committee has carved out the right for the traditional early states to go first without any retribution. Other states that try to move ahead lose a significant number of delegates at the national conventions. Utah’s GOP, for example, has 40 delegates but would be reduced to nine if it goes before March 1, 2016.

The Democratic National Committee hasn’t set its rules for primaries yet but is expected to follow its past protection of the traditional early states and penalize those who try to compete.

Cox says the benefits of being first would outweigh the delegate penalties because New Hampshire, for instance, only has 14 delegates to begin with.

His bill would allow the state to use online voting — which it currently permits for overseas military voters — as a way to let Utah be more flexible in choosing the eventual date for the primary, and to lower the cost of holding it. If the Legislature passes Cox’s bill and Gov. Gary Herbert signs it, the state would first have to fund the Western States Primary to move forward.

Former Gov. Mike Leavitt first pitched the idea of a primary that combined several states in the Rocky Mountain region as a way to get candidates to pay attention to the Intermountain West. Not enough states signed on to make the effort worthwhile.

New Hampshire, however, claimed the first-in-the-nation status by simply sticking with its primary during the early- and mid-1900s when other states jettisoned their contests. When less-well-known candidates with little money started winning delegates against more popular and well-funded contenders, the primary became the standard test it is today.

Gardner, who has overseen the New Hampshire primary since 1976, says he understands when other states say it isn’t fair that the Granite State gets all the presidential focus but he says the legacy came naturally — the state didn’t steal it away from anyone or try to jump ahead — and that it’s a proud tradition voters there won’t give up on.

"We’ve had it 100 years, why would we say, ‘OK, just take it from us?’ " Gardner said, adding that every state has its own long-established culture. New Hampshire’s happens to be politics.

ClydeCoulter
03-09-2014, 12:25 AM
Cox says the benefits of being first would outweigh the delegate penalties because New Hampshire, for instance, only has 14 delegates to begin with.

smh

compromise
03-09-2014, 07:28 AM
Utah would be good for a liberty minded candidate. We will do the best in Western states, especially with an endorsement from Lee and either Love or Chaffetz.

RonPaulFanInGA
03-09-2014, 07:49 AM
Mike Lee's state vs. Kelly Ayotte's state.

A conservative state vs. a two-time Obama state.

No contest.

specsaregood
03-09-2014, 08:17 AM
As for Utah, it had the MOST lopsided primary in 2012.

I'm pretty sure that was true for 2008 as well.

Tywysog Cymru
03-09-2014, 10:42 AM
Utah was lopsided because Romney had won months ago. Romney being a Mormon couldn't have hurt.

Keith and stuff
03-09-2014, 11:16 AM
Utah was lopsided because Romney had won months ago. Romney being a Mormon couldn't have hurt.

In 2008, 1 candidate also won 89% of the vote (not as bad as the 93% in 2012 but still likely the worst in the nation). In 2008, just like in 2012, all of UT's delegates went to 1 candidate. If past results are any indication, UT should be the last state to vote. Not to mention that there is already an early state designed to reach out to Westerns and LDS - NV. This freshman's idea is insane, IMO. Not only would it hurt liberty candidates, it would hurt anyone that isn't LDS or didn't have millions of dollars up front. It might as well be called the Mitt Romney Election Act.

Tywysog Cymru
03-09-2014, 12:19 PM
In 2008, 1 candidate also won 89% of the vote (not as bad as the 93% in 2012 but still likely the worst in the nation). In 2008, just like in 2012, all of UT's delegates went to 1 candidate. If past results are any indication, UT should be the last state to vote. Not to mention that there is already an early state designed to reach out to Westerns and LDS - NV. This freshman's idea is insane, IMO. Not only would it hurt liberty candidates, it would hurt anyone that isn't LDS or didn't have millions of dollars up front. It might as well be called the Mitt Romney Election Act.

If Iowa or NH were the last states they would probably be lopsided, too.

Keith and stuff
03-09-2014, 01:22 PM
If Iowa or NH were the last states they would probably be lopsided, too.
UT wasn't anywhere near the last state in 2008, just the most lopsided. The majority of the contests happened after UT held it's contest.

Tywysog Cymru
03-09-2014, 06:21 PM
UT wasn't anywhere near the last state in 2008, just the most lopsided. The majority of the contests happened after UT held it's contest.

Utahns liked Romney because he was Motmon, not because he was establishment.

MichaelDavis
03-09-2014, 06:30 PM
The United States should have a national primary election day, just like we have a national general election day. Allowing some states to have their primaries before others gives them more power to decide the party nominee than other states. A national primary election day would give every voter the same power to decide each party's nominee.

Keith and stuff
03-09-2014, 07:26 PM
The United States should have a national primary election day, just like we have a national general election day. Allowing some states to have their primaries before others gives them more power to decide the party nominee than other states.
Your solution wouldn't solve the problem. Since most people live in the major metros, candidates might be likely to spend most of their campaign time in those areas. Plus, it would mean ONLY establishment candidates would have any chance at all of winning since it would take tons of staff and money to win. IMO, it would mean candidates like Ron Paul and Rand Paul would never, ever be able to come even close to a nomination.

MichaelDavis
03-09-2014, 07:36 PM
Your solution wouldn't solve the problem. Since most people live in the major metros, candidates might be likely to spend most of their campaign time in those areas. Plus, it would mean ONLY establishment candidates would have any chance at all of winning since it would take tons of staff and money to win. IMO, it would mean candidates like Ron Paul and Rand Paul would never, ever be able to come even close to a nomination.

That's how every gubernatorial or senatorial election works. Instead of taking place at a state level, it would take place at a national level. People were saying the same thing in Kentucky four years ago. Trey Grayson had the staff and the money, but he didn't have the dedication of the grassroots on his side. He lost in a Randslide. Besides, national opinion polling shows Rand holding his own against his establishment opponents.