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View Full Version : PPP 2016 GOP Poll - Kansas (Feb '14)




tsai3904
02-24-2014, 12:39 PM
Kansas
February 18-20, 2014
375 Republican primary voters
+/-5.1%





Feb (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/02/kansas-miscellany.html)


Huckabee

20%


Bush

13%


Christie

13%


Cruz

12%


Paul

11%


Ryan

7%


Rubio

5%


Walker

4%


Jindal

2%


SE/NS*

13%


*SE/NS = Someone else/Not Sure

Brett85
02-24-2014, 01:00 PM
Not good. Good thing it's still early.

eduardo89
02-24-2014, 01:01 PM
Cruz should fizzle out and I hope Huck doesn't run.

philipped
02-24-2014, 01:01 PM
I need this guy Huckabee to go on Fox next month and confirm he is NOT running.

James Madison
02-24-2014, 01:11 PM
PPP needs to stop asking stupid questions. It makes reading the crosstabs almost unbearable.

Brett85
02-24-2014, 01:15 PM
PPP needs to stop asking stupid questions. It makes reading the crosstabs almost unbearable.

I agree. Favorability rating of the wicked witch? Lol. It just makes their polls lack credibility.

Keith and stuff
02-24-2014, 01:17 PM
It's not good when the worst person in the race is doing the best in the poll. Maybe Bill Clinton can run in the GOP Primary. He wasn't as bad a governor as Huckabee.

FSP-Rebel
02-24-2014, 01:17 PM
Even though KS is irrelevant in the primary hunt, it shows that Rand is in the top tier any way you cut it. Just like Hillary, the only place that Huck will go upon further examination is downward.

compromise
02-24-2014, 01:19 PM
Cruz + Paul -> 23% Paul

eduardo89
02-24-2014, 01:20 PM
I agree. Favorability rating of the wicked witch? Lol. It just makes their polls lack credibility.

What an absurd question:


In a hypothetical gubernatorial race between Dorothy and the Witch, Dorothy wins 74/5, one of the most lopsided horse race outcomes we've ever found in our polling.

compromise
02-24-2014, 01:21 PM
What an absurd question:

The liberals have a habit of comparing female Tea Party candidates to witches.

philipped
02-24-2014, 01:33 PM
Cruz + Paul -> 23% Paul
Can't assume 100% of Cruz votes will go to Paul, at least this early.

compromise
02-24-2014, 01:38 PM
Can't assume 100% of Cruz votes will go to Paul, at least this early.

Maybe a few will go to Huckabee. The majority will go to Paul.

philipped
02-24-2014, 01:56 PM
Maybe a few will go to Huckabee. The majority will go to Paul.
Once Huckabee confirms in an interview that he doesn't have interest in running, or lost it THEN Cruz makes a speech denouncing his run and asking his base to support Rand, then Rand will not only be top-tier it'll be Paul Vs. Christie or Paul Vs. Bush.

Barrex
02-24-2014, 01:57 PM
What an absurd question:


In a hypothetical gubernatorial race between Dorothy and the Witch, Dorothy wins 74/5, one of the most lopsided horse race outcomes we've ever found in our polling.




Are those people retarded or what? Dorothy has ZERO, I say ZERO, experience in running any state. On the other hand Witch is experienced and her recognition through the roof, everyone heard about her.

SilentBull
02-24-2014, 02:00 PM
Huckabee will run I believe, but it's OK. Rand Paul knows how to run attack ads. I can't wait for the common core ones. Huckabee won't survive against Rand's attacks.

whoisjohngalt
02-24-2014, 02:12 PM
Once Huckabee confirms in an interview that he doesn't have interest in running, or lost it THEN Cruz makes a speech denouncing his run and asking his base to support Rand, then Rand will not only be top-tier it'll be Paul Vs. Christie or Paul Vs. Bush.

It's gonna be Paul vs Walker.

Matthew5
02-24-2014, 02:12 PM
To be honest, this is a worthless poll and isn't worth posting or discussing. You might as well start posting stuff from Buzzfeed. Did a high school student write this survey?

69360
02-24-2014, 02:30 PM
Statistically tied for 2nd and 1st place not a real candidate is fine.

philipped
02-24-2014, 04:03 PM
It's gonna be Paul vs Walker.
Where does Walker stand within the Tea Party, Establishment and Liberty section of the GOP?

Tywysog Cymru
02-24-2014, 04:23 PM
Where does Walker stand within the Tea Party, Establishment and Liberty section of the GOP?

I'd say he has support from the Tea Party. Ever since the failed recall vote he's been widely popular among Conservatives. He's not Liberty material, but he's much better than Christie, Bush, and several others. My non-Liberty Conservative friends like him, but I don't think I'm worried about him winning my state's (Kentucky) primary.

invisible
02-24-2014, 05:28 PM
Even though KS is irrelevant in the primary hunt, it shows that Rand is in the top tier any way you cut it. Just like Hillary, the only place that Huck will go upon further examination is downward.

Unfortunately, this very same thing was said repeatedly in 2007-8, and the huckster went on to sweep most of the caucus states. In IA, I remember seeing a huckster attack ad that romney had aired quite often. It had a sad looking picture of the huckster and a voiceover that started with "mike huckabee, christian leader", then went into a scrolling list of all the taxes he had raised as Governor. That scrolling list continued for quite a while, it seemed like there were thousands of them. Yet he still handily took the ballot vote on caucus night.

serenityrick
02-24-2014, 07:13 PM
Polls having Huckabee so far ahead really goes to show just how massive the evangelical vote is.

Occam's Banana
02-24-2014, 07:22 PM
Are those people retarded or what? Dorothy has ZERO, I say ZERO, experience in running any state. On the other hand Witch is experienced and her recognition through the roof, everyone heard about her.

The Witch also has an army of flying monkeys. What does Dorothy bring to the table? One little dog and a pair of pretty red shoes ...

Flying monkeys FTW!!

anaconda
02-24-2014, 11:37 PM
Jeb worries me the most at this point.

Bastiat's The Law
02-25-2014, 12:27 AM
Kansas is pretty late in the primary season aren't they?

FSP-Rebel
02-25-2014, 01:24 AM
Unfortunately, this very same thing was said repeatedly in 2007-8, and the huckster went on to sweep most of the caucus states. In IA, I remember seeing a huckster attack ad that romney had aired quite often. It had a sad looking picture of the huckster and a voiceover that started with "mike huckabee, christian leader", then went into a scrolling list of all the taxes he had raised as Governor. That scrolling list continued for quite a while, it seemed like there were thousands of them. Yet he still handily took the ballot vote on caucus night.
Desperate times are coming and will heed the day. Huck won't survive. Even in central-showism.

MikeStanart
02-25-2014, 07:09 AM
Kansas is pretty late in the primary season aren't they?

Yes, the Kansas Primary season is in August.

tsai3904
02-25-2014, 11:17 AM
Kansas is pretty late in the primary season aren't they?

The 2012 caucus was on March 10.

Brett85
02-25-2014, 11:32 AM
This poll just has completely bogus results, at least for the general election, when you consider that Romney beat Obama by 22% in Kansas in 2012, but yet the gap among those surveyed in this poll is only 16%, 54% to 38%. Republicans tend to have much better turnout in mid term elections and do better in Midterms, so that gap should really be higher than 22%, not lower. There's just no way in the world that the voters who show up to vote in 2014 are going to be more Democratic and more liberal than those who showed up to vote in 2012. I'm referring to the numbers that they have for U.S Senate and Governor. They have Brownback's numbers way lower than they should be, simply because the sample is skewed toward the Democrats.

Bastiat's The Law
02-25-2014, 11:49 AM
Kansas and Nebraska have always been weird when it comes to liberty and supporting libertarians. Like they're behind the times.

AlexAmore
02-25-2014, 12:25 PM
A 5.1% margin of error? Isn't that getting a bit ridiculous with so many candidates being polled so closely? I guess if I was polling and it was close, I would keep going.