JustAnotherV
11-27-2007, 03:23 PM
Sorry if this is a dupe but I could not find another. I am also not putting it in the 15/16 section because it exists to be discussed comparatively.
I understand that the campaign is emailing out for money, and they are receiving some response as well as some projects (rudysreadlinglist) to help. I think that with the reading list, email response, and a fairly standard debate boost (assuming CNN will give him time to talk), the campaign will keep seeing some gradual money in the coming week. We may even be able to crack into double digits before the end of November, which could garner some press attention of its own. When you are dealing with pre-school style reporting, 2 numbers gets more attention than 1...
However, as some have noted on the boards, the public *and Ron Paul* know about the 16th. The media is mentioning it here and there, and Dr. Paul has mentioned it ON AIR more than once. Unlike the 5th of November, the Tea Party is not a surprise party. This one is scheduled. That means expectations, and that means risk.
We have an obligation to hit at least the ballpark range of the 5th, otherwise it will be seen by some as a disappointment even if that's not true (as other candidate's money-bomb flops can attest to). I cannot predict the media but I am also willing to bet that some (like FOX) would be all too willing to not pay too much respect if not brush the event off if it came in short of that.
Some expectations might even be set as high as 10 million, but 5 or 6 will probably get the talking heads going again for a while. 10 of course would probably set off more alarm bells, especially given that would make 20+ for the quarter and possible out-raise the frontrunners.
One way or another though, this event has both more potential up and down sides to it than the last. With a good showing, and live support of rallies/etc. on the 15th, this could work out really well, with more lead up coverage and a solid response on Monday, but I would suggest in those last two weeks that we really focus on boosting that weekend and not worry so much about other funds. If we keep leeching out the buildup, it may end up being a mediocre or disappointing haul, and I don’t think we want to allow the opportunity for that. I do not trust the media to offer fair coverage we need a good enough spectacle.
Remember, all of this is about EXPOSURE, and second to that POSITIVE exposure. The media attention itself is as much the goal as the advertising that the money will pay for. We should be forging ahead with the most effective plans to win that exposure. Your dollars in event like this are paying for two things at once.
I am of course only talking about fundraising here, NOT activism. Activism could spike as much as it wants. Maybe we could use that time to focus more on local/early state work, and in-person events leading up to the 15th/16th.
Again, we obviously want to keep some money coming in, but I think between random donations, live fundraisers, and email-spurred requests (and even some interesting tangents, like the blimp), the campaign will be fine. They have not spent all of their money and if they know more is coming they can spend down a bit more. It is only two weeks at that point to wait for the lump funds, after what is likely to be a small jump this week. That’s more than enough to keep them healthy for the time being. So if you agree with this, let’s galvanize this effort once December hits, and make sure the Tea Party an weekend of liberty are not easy to ignore.
I understand that the campaign is emailing out for money, and they are receiving some response as well as some projects (rudysreadlinglist) to help. I think that with the reading list, email response, and a fairly standard debate boost (assuming CNN will give him time to talk), the campaign will keep seeing some gradual money in the coming week. We may even be able to crack into double digits before the end of November, which could garner some press attention of its own. When you are dealing with pre-school style reporting, 2 numbers gets more attention than 1...
However, as some have noted on the boards, the public *and Ron Paul* know about the 16th. The media is mentioning it here and there, and Dr. Paul has mentioned it ON AIR more than once. Unlike the 5th of November, the Tea Party is not a surprise party. This one is scheduled. That means expectations, and that means risk.
We have an obligation to hit at least the ballpark range of the 5th, otherwise it will be seen by some as a disappointment even if that's not true (as other candidate's money-bomb flops can attest to). I cannot predict the media but I am also willing to bet that some (like FOX) would be all too willing to not pay too much respect if not brush the event off if it came in short of that.
Some expectations might even be set as high as 10 million, but 5 or 6 will probably get the talking heads going again for a while. 10 of course would probably set off more alarm bells, especially given that would make 20+ for the quarter and possible out-raise the frontrunners.
One way or another though, this event has both more potential up and down sides to it than the last. With a good showing, and live support of rallies/etc. on the 15th, this could work out really well, with more lead up coverage and a solid response on Monday, but I would suggest in those last two weeks that we really focus on boosting that weekend and not worry so much about other funds. If we keep leeching out the buildup, it may end up being a mediocre or disappointing haul, and I don’t think we want to allow the opportunity for that. I do not trust the media to offer fair coverage we need a good enough spectacle.
Remember, all of this is about EXPOSURE, and second to that POSITIVE exposure. The media attention itself is as much the goal as the advertising that the money will pay for. We should be forging ahead with the most effective plans to win that exposure. Your dollars in event like this are paying for two things at once.
I am of course only talking about fundraising here, NOT activism. Activism could spike as much as it wants. Maybe we could use that time to focus more on local/early state work, and in-person events leading up to the 15th/16th.
Again, we obviously want to keep some money coming in, but I think between random donations, live fundraisers, and email-spurred requests (and even some interesting tangents, like the blimp), the campaign will be fine. They have not spent all of their money and if they know more is coming they can spend down a bit more. It is only two weeks at that point to wait for the lump funds, after what is likely to be a small jump this week. That’s more than enough to keep them healthy for the time being. So if you agree with this, let’s galvanize this effort once December hits, and make sure the Tea Party an weekend of liberty are not easy to ignore.