PDA

View Full Version : Gary Johnson + Write in Votes could have given Romney the win




Elwar
11-07-2012, 09:22 AM
The vote total in Florida is:
Obama: 4,129,502
Romney: 4,083,441
Gary Johnson: 43,480

Obama - Romney votes = 46,061

I cannot find the write in totals statewide, but my county alone had 674 write-in votes.
Also in my county Gary Johnson received 1,676 votes, while in the primary Ron Paul received over 3,000. So I assume most of those write-ins are for Ron Paul.

We need to let the Republicans know that the LP votes and Ron Paul write-in votes cost them the election. Then in 2016 we need an announcement from the LP that they will not run a candidate against Rand Paul.

Brett85
11-07-2012, 09:26 AM
Romney still would've lost even if he had won Florida. He also lost Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, which were states he had to win. Gary Johnson didn't cost Romney Ohio or Colorado.

Acala
11-07-2012, 09:27 AM
Here's the problem with this line of thinking: the Republican party machine would rather LOSE to a democrat like Obama than win with a true liberty candidate. Why? Because the primary goal of BOTH parties is to preserve the corruption machine that they BOTH live for. Obama may divert largesse away from some of the Republican favorites, but he will leave the machine intact when he leaves so the Republican can make up the losses during the next administration. But a liberty candidate would destroy the machine. That is why the Republican establishment will NEVER allow a true liberty candidate to get the nomination. Same with the democrats.

TonySutton
11-07-2012, 09:33 AM
Romney still would've lost even if he had won Florida. He also lost Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, which were states he had to win. Gary Johnson didn't cost Romney Ohio or Colorado.

That is not necessarily true. Without looking at historical voting to see how many people may have stayed home or how many young RP supporters may have voted for Obama after the way the GOP treated RP. There are a lot of variables that will require some close scrutiny to determine for sure whether or not the GOP's/Romney's poor treatment of RP cost Romney the election.

jmdrake
11-07-2012, 10:27 AM
The vote total in Florida is:
Obama: 4,129,502
Romney: 4,083,441
Gary Johnson: 43,480

Obama - Romney votes = 46,061

I cannot find the write in totals statewide, but my county alone had 674 write-in votes.
Also in my county Gary Johnson received 1,676 votes, while in the primary Ron Paul received over 3,000. So I assume most of those write-ins are for Ron Paul.

We need to let the Republicans know that the LP votes and Ron Paul write-in votes cost them the election. Then in 2016 we need an announcement from the LP that they will not run a candidate against Rand Paul.

How many votes did Virgil Goode get?

From Washington Post: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/florida-election-results-2012-sen-bill-nelson-coasts-to-reelection-rivera-loses-house-seat-obama-leads-romney/2012/11/07/d7c85c22-239d-11e2-ac85-e669876c6a24_story.html

Florida
29 electoral votes

Barack Obama
4,129,502 votes
49.9%

Mitt Romney
4,083,441
49.3

Others
70,953

If 3,000 of those "other" votes in Florida were Goode, we can safely say Ron Paul supporters could have made the difference for the GOP....if they had picked Ron Paul for president.

Edit: I just found the Florida results link. Goode didn't quite make 3,000. (Only 2545).

http://enight.elections.myflorida.com/FederalOffices/

From this data it's hard to make the case that we made a difference. I'm assuming "WRI" stands for "write in". Ron Paul's name doesn't come up at all, and all of the "write ins" are 0 total and 0%. OP, where are you getting your data from?

VoluntaryAmerican
11-07-2012, 10:32 AM
That is not necessarily true. Without looking at historical voting to see how many people may have stayed home or how many young RP supporters may have voted for Obama after the way the GOP treated RP. There are a lot of variables that will require some close scrutiny to determine for sure whether or not the GOP's/Romney's poor treatment of RP cost Romney the election.

A lot of people stayed home I'm sure. I did. Romney shot himself in the foot when he snubbed Ron Paul and treated him so badly. Romney got what he deserved.

PreDeadMan
11-07-2012, 11:10 AM
Candidate Party % Popular Vote Popular Vote Electoral Vote
Winner B. Obama (i) Dem 62.7% 3,860,144 29
M. Romney GOP 35.9% 2,210,485 0
G. Johnson Lib 0.7% 42,100 0
J. Stein Grn 0.6% 35,342 0
V. Goode CST 0.1% 6,321 0
P. Lindsay PSL 0.0% 2,107 0

what the fuck I don't see any write in counts for Ron Paul how do they factor that in??? that is for New York which is where I live....... so basically my vote didn't count at all?

The Free Hornet
11-07-2012, 01:35 PM
Romney still would've lost even if he had won Florida. He also lost Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, which were states he had to win. Gary Johnson didn't cost Romney Ohio or Colorado.

OHIO:


OH General Election
November 6, 2012
99.7% reporting (9526/9550)

Barack
Obama
50.1%
2,680,988


Mitt
Romney
48.2%
2,580,790


Gary
Johnson
0.9%
48,782

2,680,988 - 2,580,790 = 100,198...

Damn - you are correct. I wanted to flame your ass.

That said, the anti-liberty nature of Romney and his campaign could not have helped. It is not unlike the stench from "legitimate rape" and "aborting rape babies" issues.

It scares me how close Romney came to winning.

Tpoints
11-07-2012, 01:40 PM
yep. between OH, CO, VA, FL, the differences were about 100,000 and they almost all went to a 3rd party :)

pcosmar
11-07-2012, 01:52 PM
Why would anyone want Romney to win..?

That would have been worse than Obama.

This whole debacle sucked.

Tpoints
11-07-2012, 01:53 PM
Why would anyone want Romney to win..?

That would have been worse than Obama.

This whole debacle sucked.

I don't think anybody here wants Romney to win, but just laughing at how Romney would've wish he won if it wasn't for some of us :)

jmdrake
11-07-2012, 02:09 PM
Candidate Party % Popular Vote Popular Vote Electoral Vote
Winner B. Obama (i) Dem 62.7% 3,860,144 29
M. Romney GOP 35.9% 2,210,485 0
G. Johnson Lib 0.7% 42,100 0
J. Stein Grn 0.6% 35,342 0
V. Goode CST 0.1% 6,321 0
P. Lindsay PSL 0.0% 2,107 0

what the fuck I don't see any write in counts for Ron Paul how do they factor that in??? that is for New York which is where I live....... so basically my vote didn't count at all?

Ummm....you were surprised by this? Some of us have been saying that's what would happen for months now. We've been shouted down by the "But you can figure out the write in by calculated the undervote" crowd. It took forever just to quit having Gary Johnson listed as an "opposition candidate". Mind you I didn't vote for GJ. But the idea but recklessly pushed by some that anyone not on the "write in Ron Paul" bandwaggon was some how not supporting Ron Paul. Those who tried to point out the truth were banned, got neg repped, or (more recently) received infractions. Oh it's okay to call those voting 3rd party "disloyal" but don't call those who thought writing in Ron Paul meant something "unrealistic". It's just like when we were pushing the "delegate strategy" and those who pointed out why that wasn't going to work were ostracized. Then....we found out from the campaign that it wasn't going to work. I know this may come across as overly negative, and perhaps it is. But at some point we have to mature to the place were we can all be honest about the chances of various strategies having a positive effect without such honest analysis itself becoming an issue.

TonySutton
11-07-2012, 02:11 PM
OHIO:



2,680,988 - 2,580,790 = 100,198...

Damn - you are correct. I wanted to flame your ass.

That said, the anti-liberty nature of Romney and his campaign could not have helped. It is not unlike the stench from "legitimate rape" and "aborting rape babies" issues.

It scares me how close Romney came to winning.

Wrong, in 2008 in Ohio there were 500k more votes cast than in 2012. That means unless there has been a mass immigration from OH a lot of voters sat on the sidelines.

COpatriot
11-07-2012, 02:13 PM
You also have to factor in the votes that went to Jill Stein who siphoned off some of Obama's support.

pcosmar
11-07-2012, 02:16 PM
I don't think anybody here wants Romney to win, but just laughing at how Romney would've wish he won if it wasn't for some of us :)

I am noticing a bit of hand wringing and angst.

I totally expected this result,, months ago.

Tpoints
11-07-2012, 02:18 PM
I am noticing a bit of hand wringing and angst.

I totally expected this result,, months ago.

I want to say I did too, but then Redskins picked Romney and I heard he allegedly owned companies who run the voting machines, so I was suspicious.

WesSeid
11-07-2012, 06:41 PM
Those who tried to point out the truth were banned, got neg repped, or (more recently) received infractions. Oh it's okay to call those voting 3rd party "disloyal" but don't call those who thought writing in Ron Paul meant something "unrealistic".
You saved me some typing.

"Wow, look at all that media coverage of Ron Paul write-in votes!"
"What media coverage of Ron Paul write-in votes?"
"Exactly."

Heck, Gary Johnson was even interviewed on Fox News today and telling the GOP what they need to do to win over more people.

torchbearer
11-07-2012, 06:54 PM
You saved me some typing.

"Wow, look at all that media coverage of Ron Paul write-in votes!"
"What media coverage of Ron Paul write-in votes?"
"Exactly."

Heck, Gary Johnson was even interviewed on Fox News today and telling the GOP what they need to do to win over more people.

tube?