Teh Collins Election Night Prediction

[Matt Collins]

I don't think we'll have an answer on Tuesday night.

This race is so close that no one knows where it will land. The trends tend to point to Obama winning, but there is no way to prove that because practically every reliable dataset is within the margin of error.


Ultimately I do think Romney will be defeated, but not by much. I do NOT think Minnesota is in play as some of the pundits have suggested, and they are claiming Romney has Florida which I tend to also doubt, but the economy there is bad so it's quite possible voters there are willing to try something new.



What do YOU think will happen on Tuesday night?

[RickyJ]

What do YOU think will happen on Tuesday night?

Wednesday morning will follow. Then one side will cheer and the other side will cry. Really stupid since they have the same view on almost all the issues.

[heavenlyboy34]

Americans will lose again. :(

[Keith and stuff]

What do YOU think will happen on Tuesday night?

I don't know. We have 170 liberty candidates on the ballot. I know the eyes are on us. Hopefully we perform well and don't disappoint but these things are hard to predict. We shall see! There is still a chance The Collins can win New Hampshire!

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?385401-Huge-list-of-New-Hampshire-2012-pro-liberty-candidates-and-recommendations

[69360]

Romney wins FL, VA, NC, CO. The rest of the swing states decide the election and Obama wins by less than 10 EC votes.

[LibertyGOP]

I saw a Dem strategist on TV last night, who was not working for the Obama campaign, and gave a pretty reasoned analysis. He stated that whoever wins is going to have 300+ in the EC, and that it won't be close. It all comes down to which turnout model turns out to be true. If the turnout is similar to 2008, then Obama wins the bulk of the toss ups, if the turnout is similar to 2010 then Romney wins the bulk of the toss ups. I took a look at it and it appears to be a correct analysis.

[Matt Collins]

Brit Hume on Fox yesterday said he says that Obama has it, but the polls are too close to call.

[realtonygoodwin]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/obama_vs_romney_create_your_own_electoral_college_ map.html?map=HI_2%2CAK_6%2CFL_6%2CNH_2%2CMI_2%2CVT _2%2CME_2%2CME2_2%2CRI_2%2CNY_2%2CPA_2%2CNJ_2%2CDE _2%2CMD_2%2CVA_6%2CWV_6%2COH_2%2CIN_6%2CIL_2%2CCT_ 2%2CWI_2%2CNC_6%2CDC_2%2CMA_2%2CTN_6%2CAR_6%2CMO_6 %2CGA_6%2CSC_6%2CKY_6%2CAL_6%2CLA_6%2CMS_6%2CIA_2% 2CMN_2%2COK_6%2CTX_6%2CNM_2%2CKS_6%2CNE_6%2CNE2_6% 2CSD_6%2CND_6%2CWY_6%2CMT_6%2CCO_6%2CID_6%2CUT_6%2 CAZ_6%2CNV_2%2COR_2%2CWA_2%2CCA_2

^My predicted election map

Obama 281
Romney 257

I also think the Dems will hold onto the Senate 52-48

[brandon]

I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict a Massie win. That's right, you heard it here first folks.

[fisharmor]

I don't think we'll have an answer on Tuesday night.

My prediction, that you can take to the bank:
Tuesday night is when we'll stop hearing about flood related problems.

[CaptUSA]

My prediction, that you can take to the bank:
Tuesday night is when we'll stop hearing about flood related problems.And Benghazi, if Romney wins. After all, the only thing that matters about libya is how is affects this race.

[trey4sports]

I got my chant ready to go.


oh bomb uhh!

oh bomb uhh!

oh bomb uhh!

oh bomb uhh!

[CPUd]

I think the pundits grossly underestimate how many people like ponies:

http://i.imgur.com/H0M3l.jpg

[Sola_Fide]

Gary Johnson below 1%

[Confederate]

A bunch of electoral vote scenarios:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kGk-X-4CZ0I

[EBounding]

*PANT* *PANT*

HORSERACE! HORSERACE!

*PANT!* *PANT!*


Romney has to secure Ohio and I don't see that happening. If he does though, it will be a landslide for Romney since the turnout that delivers him Ohio will probably be reflected in other swing states. But I'm placing my bet on blue though.

May God have mercy on us.

[squarepusher]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[acptulsa]

http://i.imgur.com/rD1N3l.png?1

http://i.imgur.com/rD1N3.png?1
..