View Full Version : Important Detail NH poll
mathamagician
11-20-2007, 12:26 AM
It's important to read and understand page 16 of this pdf document and discuss how we can appeal to and improve these numbers.
http://www.wmur.com/download/2007/1119/14642031.pdf
Anti Federalist
11-20-2007, 12:29 AM
First page:
Leaning or still deciding = 75%
The "negatives" against RP further down can and will be changed.
tiznow
11-20-2007, 12:34 AM
the age breakdown is key
(N=)
18 to 34 34
35 to 49 120
50 to 64 133
65 and over 88
plus the hardcore support is showing up in the polls
61% said definitely supporting for ron paul quite a bit above the others
we on the right track
the hardcore support is key
they will be showing up, these small batch samples really don't matter, what matters who shows up to vote and who has the firmest support
if we are polling in the teens moving to the primary i think we'll shock the polling pundits
DRV45N05
11-20-2007, 12:39 AM
The most telling statistic:
Ron has had the best net-swing since July of any of the candidates.
tiznow
11-20-2007, 01:04 AM
lets do a little math to show you what i mean
NH population
1,314,895
ron paul
31 of 401 support ron paul
so that is 101650 people population wise 61% say support no matter what or 62006 votes
mitt 131 of 401
so that is 429954 19% would support no matter what or 81615
mccain 73 of 401
so that is 239369 with 29% saying they support no matter what 69417
so in raw terms of "support no matter what" we aren't that far behind
ronpaulyourmom
11-20-2007, 01:17 AM
lets do a little math to show you what i mean
NH population
1,314,895
ron paul
31 of 401 support ron paul
so that is 101650 people population wise 61% say support no matter what or 62006 votes
mitt 131 of 401
so that is 429954 19% would support no matter what or 81615
mccain 73 of 401
so that is 239369 with 29% saying they support no matter what 69417
so in raw terms of "support no matter what" we aren't that far behind
Well said sir. However the closer we get to election day, the higher the "definitely support" numbers will go. We need to take advantage of this opportunity to bring them to our side. :)
Primbs
11-20-2007, 01:42 AM
Ron Paul will be in play in New Hampshire. Everybody make your plans to be there.
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