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View Full Version : Per Five Thirty Eight, post debate, Romney improves chance to win from 15% to 20%




sailingaway
10-06-2012, 06:34 PM
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/


Mitt Romney continues to show improved numbers in polls published since the presidential debate in Denver on Wednesday and has now made clear gains in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. The forecast gives him roughly a 20 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, up from about 15 percent before the debate. Mr. Romney’s gains in the polls have been sharp enough that he should continue to advance in the FiveThirtyEight forecast if he can maintain his numbers over the next couple of days.

more and graphs at link

Seraphim
10-06-2012, 06:46 PM
It will be Obama by fair vote or fraud. Obama is the winner. A bet on Romney is a bet on a miracle (from a purely utilitarian, economic perspective). Romney sucks balls too, though.

Seraphim
10-06-2012, 06:47 PM
^^

Think of what they can do now if they fucked with the election that much back in 2001? Things have "progressed" since then.