Obama up eight points in VA in new WaPo poll

[Anti Federalist]

Post Poll: Obama up 8 points over Romney in Virginia

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/post-poll-obama-up-8-points-over-romney-in-virginia/2012/09/18/ca691d9a-0193-11e2-9367-4e1bafb958db_story.html?tid=pm_local_pop

By Laura Vozzella, Dan Balz and Jon Cohen, Updated: Tuesday, September 18, 5:42 PM
The Washington Post

With just seven weeks of campaigning left before the November election, President Obama holds a clear lead over Mitt Romney in Virginia, buoyed by growing optimism about the state of the country and fueled by a big gender gap working in his favor, according to a new Washington Post poll.

Obama leads his Republican rival by 52 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Among all registered voters, the president leads by 50 percent to 43 percent, a margin identical to that recorded in a survey in early May. That indicates that Romney has made up little ground during four months of intense advertising and campaign visits.

[sailingaway]

Virginia is a DC suburb. Theres a REASON DC and Maryland real estate markets never cratered.

[Anti Federalist]

Virginia is a DC suburb. Theres a REASON DC and Maryland real estate markets never cratered.

Mordor money.

[ronpaulfollower999]

Virginia is becoming a blue state. From what I've heard, a lot of DC employees are moving there.

I made this map last Friday. Left Iowa and Florida blank, but in this scenario it doesn't really matter:

http://desmond.imageshack.us/Himg823/scaled.php?server=823&filename=2swing.png&res=landing

Even if I take away the "traditional" swing states, Obama only needs 2 electoral votes to win (I think it is very likely he'll win Ohio, even though it is a traditional swing state).

http://desmond.imageshack.us/Himg140/scaled.php?server=140&filename=allswing.png&res=landing

Say he doesn't win Ohio, he'd recoup 13 electoral votes from Virginia, and Wisconsin would put him over the top.

[James Madison]

Romney stands a decent chance of winning Nevada and possibly Colorado.

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Virginia has basically become blue. The northern part of the state is being infested by D.C. types, who vote 85%+ for democratic candidates (see how D.C. votes in presidential elections.)

Same thing is happening to Montana and New Hampshire, with leftists flooding in from California and Massachusetts.

[ronpaulfollower999]

Romney stands a decent chance of winning Nevada and possibly Colorado.

A new Rasmussen poll gives Romney the lead in Colorado.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/colorado/election_2012_colorado_president

All the Nevada polls I've seen give Obama the W, but there hasn't been a new one in a month.

[oyarde]

Va has never been up for grabs , Always been in the Socialist bag. Simple as that .

[Carehn]

For me... I don't care who wins. So I say F*ck the GOP. I want to see then cry. And I want them to know its because of how I have been treated.

[ronpaulfollower999]

A plausible Romney win:

http://desmond.imageshack.us/Himg607/scaled.php?server=607&filename=newtt.png&res=landing

[Anti Federalist]

RCP has Obama up 4.2% in Ohio.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html

[Anti Federalist]

It should be very clear to the GOP that the margins in states needed to win could have been filled easily by us.

[oyarde]

Easy , comes down , to Oh & Fla , Obama wins one, he is in .

[James Madison]

RCP has Obama up 4.2% in Ohio.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html

The problem with Barry has always been tapping into historically unreliable voting blocks. He won in '08 because of massive youth and minority support. I think a lot of the enthusiasim associated with his campaign four years ago has been lost.

[phill4paul]

ANYTHING can happen between now and Nov. But, the Cavuto Show made clear that Obama will destroy him once the debates get under way. Everytime you see a GOP'er do this...

http://t2.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSNY_sESfliEUUpP-_YU6bBy3C2TUDrxmIa8UnLDJxV0inK5z67-w

[Anti Federalist]

The problem with Barry has always been tapping into historically unreliable voting blocks. He won in '08 because of massive youth and minority support. I think a lot of the enthusiasim associated with his campaign four years ago has been lost.

The black vote is monolithic.

I saw some polls posted around here that were 98 to 0.

GOTV will be crucial there.

[phill4paul]

The problem with Barry has always been tapping into historically unreliable voting blocks. He won in '08 because of massive youth and minority support. I think a lot of the enthusiasim associated with his campaign four years ago has been lost.

Until Romney's gaffe. Hell, I've not seen such enthusiasm for Obama since.. well, since he was elected.

[QWDC]

I would like a see another Virginia poll with Mr.Goode, I don't think this one tells the whole story.

[Anti Federalist]

Easy , comes down , to Oh & Fla , Obama wins one, he is in .

Obama up 1.4 % in FL.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html

[Bastiat's The Law]

I saw this coming months ago.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?381309-My-prediction-for-the-2012-Presidential-Election...and-the-winner-is&highlight=prediction

[AJ Antimony]

Always been in the Socialist bag.

They currently have a Republican governor and legislature.

Don't be so quick to blame Virginia. Remember, the GOP nominated a very weak candidate.

[AuH20]

Virginia is a DC suburb. Theres a REASON DC and Maryland real estate markets never cratered.

New York as well. Sodom and Gomorrah. And we remember what happened to those two cities. ;) Just saying.

[AJ Antimony]

For me... I don't care who wins. So I say F*ck the GOP. I want to see then cry. And I want them to know its because of how I have been treated.

Well, they're never going to know any of that because they're not going to stand in the voting booth with you.

[Philhelm]

I wish Ron went third party.

[Anti Federalist]

I wish Ron went third party.

So do I