Electoral math: Romney will need Iowa (or New Hampshire) to win

[Agorism]

Romney’s plan...

1. Win all McCain States

2. Win IN NC and FL.

3. Win OH and VA (WI CO NV as backups)

4. Win IA (NH backup).


Looking at the latest numbers in New Hampshire, the state is still in play but less so than Iowa.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html

Which means Romney will need Iowa I'm guessing as the state to put him over the top.

[alucard13mmfmj]

I wish Ron could win just 1 state with write ins.. But that is probably impossible. Hehehe.

[Anti Federalist]

NH looking piss poor for Rmoney

RCP Average 6/20 - 8/12 -- -- 48.3 44.8 Obama +3.5
PPP (D) 8/9 - 8/12 1055 LV 3.0 51 45 Obama +6
WMUR/UNH 8/1 - 8/12 555 LV 4.2 49 46 Obama +3
NBC News/Marist 6/24 - 6/25 1029 RV 3.1 45 45 Tie
Rasmussen Reports 6/20 - 6/20 500 LV 4.5 48 43 Obama +5

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_romney_vs_obama-2030.html#polls

[RickyJ]

He won't win Florida so he has no chance.

[supermario21]

If you look at RCP the latest polls in Florida and Ohio have Romney winning (by 1 and 3 respectively).

[Badger Paul]

Romney campaign and Crossroads GPS have just pulled their ads from Michigan and Pennsylvania, probably to concentrate on the state's you just pointed out.

But three of those states (NH, NV CO) and maybe even Iowa are where Gary Johnson can say "Not so fast!"

[Keith and stuff]

Obama's presence in NH is several times larger than Romney's. They will both be in NH on Friday but Romney better step up his game if he wants to win. He should do ads where he is wearing Boston sports clothes, or at least his family is wearing them. Maybe have Boston sports stickers on his NH car or something. He could win NH if he just played it smart. He lives in NH part of the year and in MA part of the year, among other states. OH well, his lose :toady:

[ZENemy]

Votes are being counted in Spain, the winner is already picked.

http://ireport.cnn.com/docs/DOC-776220

[Anti Federalist]

Obama's presence in NH is several times larger than Romney's. They will both be in NH on Friday but Romney better step up his game if he wants to win. He should do ads where he is wearing Boston sports clothes, or at least his family is wearing them. Maybe have Boston sports stickers on his NH car or something. He could win NH if he just played it smart. He lives in NH part of the year and in MA part of the year, among other states. OH well, his lose :toady:

Which is why, all politics aside, I want him to lose.

I do not want the national security apparatus to descend on my home state.

[Agorism]

Romney losing Iowa because the state GOP is hostile to him and Paul voters stay home or vote against him would be a great form of revenge in my opinion.