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Bradley in DC
11-19-2007, 12:33 AM
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/articles/rudy-giuliani-extending-delegate-lead-november07.html

Rudy Giuliani is Extending His Primary Lead
11/18/07

We released a report last month, via Patrick Rhamey of the University of Georgia, showing that Rudy Giuliani would receive just 52% of the total number of Republican electoral votes at the nominating convention. A month later and now he is at 59%.

Based on the polls accumulated on this site, Patrick has once again given us a tally as to where the candidates stand in terms of the total number of delegates.

Everyday as new state polls are added, these numbers change, unless of course the results of the poll mirror closely to the previous polls results.

Candidate November October
Rudy Giuliani 1073 968
Mitt Romney 345 423
John McCain 175 163
Fred Thompson 163 268
Mike Huckabee 53 34
Ron Paul 19 10
Tom Tancredo 4 5
Duncan Hunter 1 0
Alan Keyes 0 0
In terms of percentages, this is what we've got:

Candidate November October
Rudy Giuliani 59% 52%
Mitt Romney 19% 23%
John McCain 10% 9%
Fred Thompson 9% 14%
Mike Huckabee 3% 2%
Ron Paul 1% 1%
Tom Tancredo <1% <1%
Duncan Hunter <1% 0%
Alan Keyes 0% 0%
As you can see, Giuliani has grown in the total number of expected delegates despite losing Iowa and New Hampshire thanks to strong February 5th polling numbers.

"Giuliani has continued to solidify his frontrunner position in large, late primary states, relying upon Super Tuesday to give him the necessary momentum to take the nomination. His potential challengers have been in decline, with Fred Thompson now dipping below John McCain in delegate support." - Patrick Rhamey.

Rudy Giuliani's strategy of focusing on the large delegate Feb 5 states is working but will they continue to back him if he loses the early states?

Despite a surge by Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul in the polls, they are still struggling to translate that into delegates but just realize that because not all the states put out polls in the past month, they are likely a bit higher than represented here.

Cyclone
11-19-2007, 12:44 AM
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cindy25
11-19-2007, 01:34 AM
all the primary polls except IA, NH and perhaps SC are meaningless as they depend on what will happen in the early states.

even a Hillary win in IA is a good thing, as the independents in NH will vote in the Republican primary.