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View Full Version : Has Romney's chance of winning really fallen on intrade since Ryan pick? [no nor jumped]




sailingaway
08-11-2012, 10:12 AM
Nicholas Kristof ‏@NickKristof
On Intrade, Mitt Romney's chance of election has fallen today since selecting Ryan for VP slot. Seems right to me.

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meh, I'll delete thread. ONE buy was made making it go up, apparently. Obviously manipulable, but this seems inaccurate that it went down:

https://data.intrade.com/graphing/temp/chart134444601848124405.png
https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?contractId=743475&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com


It is back where it was Aug 8. At really, really bad. (38.6 %)

wgadget
08-11-2012, 10:13 AM
I dunno...I'll go check.

Edit: Obama is predicted to win by about 60:40. Hmmm.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/

Aratus
08-11-2012, 12:12 PM
i had a feeling it would be paul ryan.
paul ryan's standing hath soared as
intrader bets get totally squared away