The Democrats are winning at redistricting.

[RonRules]

This is an important topic for the future not just for Republicans but also for liberty-minded folks. Redistricting has a huge effect on the political makeup of Congress and once the districts are set, it's very hard to get them changed again.

The Republicans are losing to the Democrats at this game and liberty-minded candidates are probably even worse off.

You may remember that when you chart political demographics, per precinct, statewide, you get nice flat-lines.
http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Demographics/2010_CA_AllCaliforniaDemographicscsv.png

I got some fresh data from the 2012 primaries from the Secretary of State website:
http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/ror/ror-pages/15day-presprim-12/

That data has voter registration data separated in different ways such as by city, by US Congressional District, by US Senate District, State Assembly District, by County Supervisorial District etc.

I decided to chart all the same registered voters in California using the different groupings above.

By City:
http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByPartyEachCitycs v.png
(Large cities like LA and San Fran influence the chart a bit here)

By Unincorporated area:
http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByPartyEachUninco rpAreacsv.png

By County Supervisorial District:
http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByPartyEachCounty SupDistcsv.png

That dip in the curve is due to Los Angeles Supervisorial District #2, held by Mr. Mark Ridley-Thomas. In that particular district, the Democrats have 537,759 registered voters and the Republicans only have 90,541. When things don't flat line, there's always a reason.

Riverside County by City:
http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_RiversideCountyVoterRegByPartyEachCi tycsv.png

Now look at the gains the Democrats are making due to redistricting when it comes to Washington Congress!

http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByPartyEachUSCong rDistcsv.png


This is a big problem that will require good party vision for the future. Our districts of the future will have to be adjusted for liberty candidates in mind. It's long term stuff, but we need to start thinking about it.

[RonRules]

It's also a big problem at the State Assembly and State Senate. Note the gains the Democrats are making in the larger districts:

http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStatefVoterRegByPartyEachState AssblyDistcsv.png

http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByPartyEachStateS enateDistcsv.png

[RonRules]

By removing the three main influences on the charts (Dem, Rep, NoParty) you better can see that the other parties are not set up to make gains with the current districting setup.

http://i269.photobucket.com/albums/jj80/RonRules/Elections2012_Primaries_CA/2012_May21_CA_EntireStateVoterRegByOtherPartiesEac hUSCongrDistcsv.png

[liberdom]

I wish you said "win at de-restricting

[Zippyjuan]

It goes back and forth. For a long time it was Republicans benefiting the most from redistricting.

[gerryb]

Run as a democrat..