enoch150
04-26-2012, 09:02 PM
Ron Paul received 16.8% of the vote in Connecticut towns where the Super Brochure was mailed (Six towns also had it as an insert in newspapers, one town had it included as an insert in newspapers, but did not have it mailed to super voters.) Paul received 13.28% of the vote from towns that did not get the Super Brochure. Towns that got the brochure were generally smaller.
http://i47.tinypic.com/102jtwl.jpg
Many of the Super Brochures were deliberately distributed to towns where Paul did relatively well in 2008. Paul received an average of 5.5% of the vote in 2008 in towns that got the Super Brochure in 2012 and only 4.0% of the vote in towns that did not get the brochure. This could explain some of the better results from towns that got the brochure in 2012.
http://i50.tinypic.com/33ab47b.jpg
However, towns that received the brochure actually increased at a slightly higher rate than towns that did not receive the brochure. I find this impressive because it is more difficult to increase from 12% of the vote to 24% of the vote than it is to go from 6% to 12%.
http://i45.tinypic.com/jrcnf4.jpg
FWIW: I did not encourage this anywhere outside of Connecticut, which was ignored by the official campaign. But I see no real evidence that it caused any damage other than diverting some funds away from the official campaign and some evidence that it did some good locally.
http://i47.tinypic.com/102jtwl.jpg
Many of the Super Brochures were deliberately distributed to towns where Paul did relatively well in 2008. Paul received an average of 5.5% of the vote in 2008 in towns that got the Super Brochure in 2012 and only 4.0% of the vote in towns that did not get the brochure. This could explain some of the better results from towns that got the brochure in 2012.
http://i50.tinypic.com/33ab47b.jpg
However, towns that received the brochure actually increased at a slightly higher rate than towns that did not receive the brochure. I find this impressive because it is more difficult to increase from 12% of the vote to 24% of the vote than it is to go from 6% to 12%.
http://i45.tinypic.com/jrcnf4.jpg
FWIW: I did not encourage this anywhere outside of Connecticut, which was ignored by the official campaign. But I see no real evidence that it caused any damage other than diverting some funds away from the official campaign and some evidence that it did some good locally.