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View Full Version : Larry Sabato Super Tuesday Prediction (Has Ron Paul Winning Most Alaska Delegates)




RonPaulFanInGA
03-02-2012, 08:26 PM
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/santorum%E2%80%99s-super-headache-why-his-best-super-tuesday-outcome-might-be-stalemate/

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/content/images/LJS2012030101-chart1.png

Gingrich's 'win only Georgia' strategy looks to be a bust, if Sabato is correct.

Scott_in_PA
03-02-2012, 08:37 PM
From the OP's link

hxxps://public.sheet.zoho.com/public/aramanujan/republican-delegate-estimator-by-sean-trende-realclearpolitics-com

Agorism
03-02-2012, 08:38 PM
Gingrich isn't even going to win Georgia guessing by the polling.

Either Romney or Santorum will.

SCOTUSman
03-02-2012, 08:56 PM
Gingrich isn't even going to win Georgia guessing by the polling.

Either Romney or Santorum will.

Gingrich is leading in the Georgia polls....

floridasun1983
03-02-2012, 09:45 PM
Gingrich's 'win only Georgia' strategy looks to be a bust, if Sabato is correct.How's it a bust? He will have won a state and won more delegates than Paul will if these numbers hold true (I am not saying they will).

tbone717
03-02-2012, 09:48 PM
Gingrich isn't even going to win Georgia guessing by the polling.

Either Romney or Santorum will.


Yeah I was going to say, he is up by 12 in a Rasmussen from yesterday. I don't see Newt losing GA, but I don't see him competitive anywhere else. My guess is that he is done sometime after Tuesday, but he might hang in til the 13th to see if he can pull AL & MS. I would if I was him.

RonPaulFanInGA
03-02-2012, 09:52 PM
How's it a bust? He will have won a state and won more delegates than Paul will if these numbers hold true

Winning one state and getting more delegates than Paul is not the same as actually winning the nomination.